To The Moon

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$'s push into record territory has set a high bar for the coming weeks. As we transition into mid-April 2026, the market is navigating a delicate balance between "earnings euphoria" and "macro reality." Here is an analysis of the catalysts that could determine if the bullish momentum sustains through next week. Earnings as a Catalyst: The Quality over Quantity Phase While the broad index has performed well, the earnings season is expected to be a major differentiator. Double-Digit Expectations: The S&P 500 is projected to report a year-over-year earnings growth of 13.2% for Q1 2026. If realized, this would be the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, providing a fundamental "floor" for the current rally. Finan

DBS Group closed nearly flat at SGD 57.26 today as the U.S.-Iran ceasefire dramatically lifted global risk appetite, temporarily dimming the shine on defensive assets like Singapore banks. 😤 This resilience comes despite broader market rotation toward U.S. growth equities, where ceasefire optimism has fueled S&P futures up 0.5% pre-open and Nasdaq gains on AI rebound plays. DBS's robust dividend profile, locked at 4.2% yield with a recent 38% payout boost, and its expanding regional wealth management franchise continue to anchor valuation support, proving its defensive characteristics shine brightest during geopolitical storms. The bank's AUM hit S$290 billion on high-net-worth inflows up 18%, offsetting NIM squeezes from rate cuts and keeping ROE steady at 18% — a testament to its abi

I think I am in a nostalgic mood. Why ? Because, lately I am looking over my back and revisiting some of the stocks that I have covered in the past. Here’s another for the road. I first covered $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ while covering the then red-hot $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$. As part of being “objective”, I looked up CRWV’s competitors, lo and behold, that was how I stumbled upon NBIS. For those who are interested in the initial posts, click on the titles for the scoop. 29 Dec 2025 - NBIS: Safer Haven or CRWV 2.0 ? Buy ? 26 Aug 2025 - CoreWeave the NEW Palantir. Not so fast !<

Q1 2026 showed Singapore equities staying resilient despite global volatility. The STI outperformed thanks to leaders like ST Engineering, Wilmar Intl and OCBC Bank, while AEM’s huge rally highlighted the upside in selective mid-cap exposure. Institutional buying into Singtel, SIA, Industrials, and telecom stocks, plus buybacks from Singtel, OCBC, and Keppel, adds strong price support. REITs like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ and $Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$ also remain appealing for dividend income. Liquidity staying st

Now everyone’s asking the same question: why did software stocks get hammered so badly yesterday, even when the broader market was rebounding? And why is money flowing into hardware but avoiding software? My take is simple — the market is reacting to fear. xAI just dropped a very powerful model, and suddenly it’s like Thanos snapped his fingers on software stocks. The narrative becomes: if AI can do everything, what’s the point of traditional software? So people sell first, think later. This fear isn’t new. It’s always been there. The recent optimism was just a pause — now we’re back to doubting software again. But let’s be clear: this selloff is not rational. Look at the data: $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ Software ETF IG

The announcement of a two-week ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered one of the most violent "risk-on" shifts in recent market history. After the latest TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out)—a term traders have coined for the President's tendency to pull back from peak escalation when market pain becomes extreme—investors are frantically unwinding hedges and short positions. As we look toward the end of this week, the reaction is expected to transition from "shock and awe" euphoria to a more calculated assessment of the ceasefire's durability. Equities: The "Squeezy" Macro Tape The initial jump was driven by a massive short squeeze, with the S&P 500 erasing a month’s worth of war losses in a single session. For the rest of the week: Momentum vs. Resistance: Analy

Markets are not buying Nvidia right now. They are testing it. And the $175 to $180 range is where that test plays out. 📉 What Just Happened NVDA bottomed at $164 in late March. It has since bounced 8% to around $178. But do not mistake this for a clean recovery. Oil above $111. Rates still elevated. Hedge funds sold US tech at the fastest pace in 13 years last month. NVDA is still below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This is a fragile bounce in a fragile environment. ⚖️ The $175 to $180 Zone Is Everything $175 - institutional support, where buyers defend the AI narrative $180 - momentum trigger, where flows come back fast $172 - the line you do not want to see break $161 - neckline of a head and shoulders pattern. Below this, the measured move targets $137. Above $180 with co

Why Kimly Is My Micro Cap Moonshot 🌟🌟🌟In a world obsessed with AI software and geopolitical drama, sometimes the biggest home runs are hidden in plain sight. While the market waits for Trump's Deadline for Iran, I am looking at a universal truth: People always need to eat. The Venture Mindset Strategy According to the principles of the Venture Mindset you don't look for steady 2% gains. You look for Moonshots where the upside is asymmetric. In the micro cap space, I am betting on a business that scales through human necessity. My Moonshot: Kimly $Kimly(1D0.SI)$ Kimly isn't just a stall. It is a massive, vertically integrated food empire in Singapore. Kimly is one of the largest traditional coffeeshop operators

$Intel(INTC)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ 📈📊⚡ $INTC Flow Regime Shift: Institutional Call Demand Forces Momentum Expansion ⚡📊📈 Institutional-grade call flow is asserting control over $INTC’s intraday structure, with $25M+ in aggressive single-leg call buying driving a clear shift from passive accumulation into active price discovery. This is not fragmented flow. It is coordinated, directional capital deploying with intent. The tape is confirming the flow. Price is now +10% on the session, but the more critical signal sits beneath the surface. Call premium is expanding in a sustained, stair-step pattern while put activity rema

I see this ceasefire more as a pause than a real resolution. I agree with Ray Dalio that geopolitical risks haven’t gone away, especially around energy routes. At the same time, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are right that a lot of fear is already priced in. So I think the rally can continue short term, but it’ll stay volatile. I’m most interested in $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ and $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ . TSMC is the clearest AI infrastructure play with strong visibility, while Seagate benefits from the growing need for low-cost data storage. Compared to that,