To The Moon

My stock in focus today is $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , after a standout earnings report that clearly beat expectations. Revenue grew 22% year-on-year, and the stock jumped 6.5% after hours—showing the market is starting to recognize its strength as a major AI beneficiary. The biggest highlight was Google Cloud, which surged 63% with operating income tripling. This signals a key shift: AI is not just driving growth, but also profitability. Management emphasized that enterprise AI is now the main growth engine, further supported by moves like selling its TPU chips directly. Overall, this reinforces Alphabet’s full-stack AI strategy—from infrastructure to applications. With strong demand, rising adoption of Gemini, and sustained investment capacity, the c

$Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ results confirm we’re in a supply-constrained, AI-driven upcycle. What stands out to me is the discipline — no capacity expansion despite strong demand, which reinforces pricing power. The sharp EPS re-rating shows the market is still underestimating how tight this cycle can get. That’s why the read-through to $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ matters. Different tech, same demand driver — hyperscaler AI capex. With $1,100 largely priced in, my year-end target is $1,200–$1,300, depending on whether the $48 cycle EPS gets revised higher. The key catalyst is LTA prepayments. If SanDisk locks in multi-year contracts, valuation can shift toward $1,500. Silence from SK Hynix and

From my perspective, the rate decision itself doesn’t matter — the pause is priced. What matters is whether Jerome Powell signals continuity or an exit. If he stays on as Governor, markets get stability; if he leaves entirely, that introduces uncertainty, which is far more disruptive than rates staying higher. That leadership clarity could matter more than any single data point in the near term. On Kevin Warsh, I think the market is too optimistic. He’s not meaningfully more dovish than Powell, so if cuts don’t materialize, equities could face a sharp repricing — especially with positioning already stretched. My bigger concern is the macro shift. With OpenAI missing expectations and yields rising, the market is moving from FOMO to FAFO. If growth and liquidity both weaken, the AI trade co

$Micron Technology(MU)$ My stock in focus for DCA right now is Micron Technology, and the main reason is the clear cyclical recovery in the memory market. After a deep downturn in DRAM and NAND pricing over the past couple of years, supply discipline has improved and demand is starting to rebound, especially from data centers and AI-related workloads. This creates a classic setup where entering gradually makes more sense than trying to time the exact bottom. Another key driver behind my DCA approach is Micron's strong positioning in the AI supply chain. High-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is critical for AI accelerators, is becoming a major growth engine, and Micron is one of the few players globally that can compete in this space. As AI infrast

My stock in focus today is $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ , after its Onvo L80 SUV pre-sales drove shares up about 8% in Hong Kong. Priced at 245,800 yuan — lower than the L90 and even cheaper under the BaaS model — the L80 highlights a more aggressive push into the mass market, signaling NIO’s intent to boost demand amid rising competition. Strategically, the L80 supports NIO’s shift toward volume growth through flexible offerings, including LiDAR and pure-vision variants. Combined with practical positioning around space and family use, this suggests NIO is prioritizing scalability over purely premium branding. The key test now is execu

I think $DBS(D05.SI)$ will deliver a decent set of Q1 results, even if it’s not a blowout quarter. The bar has clearly been reset lower after the FY25 miss & with NIM compression already well flagged, lot of downside feels priced in. What matters is whether wealth management & trading income can provide some upside surprise, especially with safe-haven flows coming into Singapore. From a positioning standpoint, I don’t expect the stock to break out aggressively. Rate cuts & softer SORA will likely keep a lid on sentiment & I don’t think this is the kind of quarter that drives a sharp re-rating. That said, as long as guidance remains stable and management doesn’t sound overly cautious on macro risks, the market should react positi

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ breaking $5T is impressive, but I’m not chasing it. What concerns me more is market structure: leadership is highly concentrated, VIX is rising off lows, and breadth is weakening. That makes the rally feel less stable even with NVDA driving new highs. I still respect its execution and CUDA ecosystem, but expectations are already very stretched at this level. On valuation, I understand the argument that it looks “cheap” versus other Mag-7 names on forward earnings, especially with strong CY27 projections. But the key risk for me is not the multiple — it’s the certainty embedded in long-term growth assumptions like $400B+ FCF and sustained 70% AI

I’m leaning toward Microsoft delivering the biggest upside surprise. AI demand is still outpacing supply, and Azure plus enterprise AI adoption give it the strongest near-term monetization story. More importantly, Microsoft is already converting heavy capex into visible revenue growth — something the market consistently rewards during earnings. I’m more cautious on Amazon and Alphabet. Both are investing aggressively, but the payoff timeline is less favorable. Amazon has signaled that much of its AWS investment won’t show up meaningfully until later years, while Alphabet is facing rising depreciation and margin pressure, which could limit short-term upside. Meta Platforms remains strong with its ad engine, but its massive capex plans add uncertainty around margins. Overall,

Going into this earnings cluster, I’m treating it as a test of AI monetization rather than just EPS. Among Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, I see $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ as the most likely to rally post-earnings. AWS has the clearest visibility with backlog tied to OpenAI and Anthropic, so even moderate upside in growth can justify further re-rating. On $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , I’m more cautious. The $24B capex gap is a real narrative risk — if Azure doesn’t reaccelerate meaningfully, the market could quickly question ROI on AI spending. A small slowdown in growth could have an outsized impact on sentiment, making this the most asymmetric risk setup among the four. For

My stock in focus today is $Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.(BBBY)$ . The latest results came in stronger than expected, with revenue growth returning after many quarters and shares jumping sharply after hours. Improving customer activity and higher order values suggest its e-commerce transition is starting to work. This is also the first time in a long while that the company is showing signs of rebuilding momentum. That said, the company still faces a weak consumer environment and execution risk from its expansion plans, including the Container Store deal. Losses also remain, so the turnaround is not fully proven yet. The path to sustainable profitability will be t