Kelvin 梁

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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-29 22:52
      $TME 20261120 7.0 PUT$ TME (Tencent Music) — Recent Bullish & Bearish News Bottom line: The news flow over the past quarter is genuinely two-sided. The bull case rests on steady Q2 revenue/profit growth, a strong balance sheet plus investment-grade ratings, and a widening content-ecosystem push (Himalaya, film/TV partnerships, AI tooling). The bear case centres on "revenue up, profit not up" — margin pressure from the Himalaya integration, a still-unproven long-audio-to-paid-music conversion, and the structural threat AI-generated content poses to the "exclusive licensed content" subscription narrative. The stock has been drifting lower: TME (TME) watchlist closed 2026-09-29 at USD 7.945, −5.08% on the day, with the Hon
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-29 21:58
      $UPST 20261009 20.0 PUT$ Upstart Holdings (UPST) — Outlook Conclusion: the fundamental trajectory is improving, but the market is pricing in a lot of doubt — the stock is in a clear downtrend, sitting near its 52-week low, while consensus estimates still point to strong earnings growth. The gap between the two is the core tension: either the market is discounting a credit/funding deterioration that hasn't shown up in reported numbers yet, or the selloff has created a valuation setup that leaves a reasonable margin of safety. On the data available, the risk-reward skew looks modestly positive on a 12-month view, but it is not a low-volatility position.
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-29 06:12
      $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) — Recent Bullish & Bearish News Bottom line: The news flow over the past two months is dominated by two offsetting themes. Bullish: a strong Q2 (net profit more than doubled, buybacks stepped up), an aggressive new capital-deployment stance under CEO Greg Abel (Lennar, Taylor Morrison, Alphabet/AI), and a smooth chairman handover. Bearish: the stock has badly lagged the market this year, insurance underwriting is softening, and the company is concentrating fresh money into a US housing market still under pressure from ~7% mortgage rates.
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-29 06:12
      $Occidental(OXY)$ Occidental Petroleum (OXY) — Recent News Summary Bottom line: The most concrete recent developments are analyst target-price revisions (all upward, all bullish ratings) and a notable 2026-09-16 disclosure that value investor Duan Yongping sold all his OXY call options. On the price side, OXY has been drifting lower with the broader energy complex on weak crude prices.
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-29 06:12
      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ What the news search did surface One item referenced Nasdaq's plan to launch 23-hour, 5-day trading, noting that in Asian hours the most actively traded names are index ETFs including SPY, IVV, VOO and QQQ — this is a market-structure story, not a SPY-specific catalyst East Money . The same source carried general pre-Fed-meeting commentary (dated earlier, 2026-07-29) leaning toward a hold on rates; it is not recent and not a confirmed outcome East Money . A second result was essentially a quote-page snapshot (dated 2026-09-26) with technical readouts (MA5 770.07 / MA10 765.89 / MA20 764.71), not news Sina Finance . Risk notes Data gap is the main risk here. Absence of retrieved news does not mean absence of ne
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-29 06:12
      $Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF(SCHG)$ SCHG — Recent News Check Conclusion: I could not find any substantive, SCHG-specific news over the past month. The searches returned only generic quote pages for SCHG and for neighbouring Schwab/peer ETFs, not actual news coverage. What I can confirm is the instrument and its recent price action. What was verified Item Detail Instrument Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF (SCHG) watchlist — confirmed as a US-listed ETF Latest price USD 35.95 (2026-09-29) Change −0.31 USD, −0.85% on the day Day range 35.81 – 36.19 (amplitude 1.05%) Volume / turnover 11.13M shares, ~USD 401M Volume ratio 1.28 Turnover rate 0.63% Recent levels Support 32.80 / resistance 36.32 (as of 2026-09-25) Market status Closed The only
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-28 17:00
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-26
      $INTC 20280121 95.0 CALL$  Intel's most important recent news centres on its foundry comeback: the 18A node has officially entered mass production with reported ~80% yield, and Q2 results beat expectations substantially. That combination has made it one of the strongest chip stocks this year, though the rally has also pushed valuation to demanding levels. Key information 1. 18A node reaches mass production (2026-09-22) At the 2026 Intel Technology Innovation and Ecosystem Conference in Suzhou, Intel's CMO Annie Shea Weckesser said Intel 18A has entered mass production, with the enhanced 18A-P in risk trial production and 14A progressing well; risk production of internal products is planned for H2 2027 Tonghuashun finance.
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-26
      $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   NVIDIA (NVDA) — Outlook Bottom line: the growth engine is still running at full speed and the multiple has compressed sharply, so the medium-term risk-reward skew looks modestly positive — but the stock is priced for near-flawless execution, and the biggest swing factor is whether AI compute demand (and NVIDIA's own financing of it) holds up.
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    • Kelvin 梁Kelvin 梁
      ·09-26
      $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Risks to the constructive read Insurance underwriting deterioration. The strongest segment momentum (energy, manufacturing, retail) is offsetting a 13% decline in underwriting profit and a 45% drop at GEICO. If underwriting weakness persists, it can erode the earnings base that the low PE rests on — insurance is the engine that funds the whole structure. Succession and capital-allocation execution. Abel has ended 14 consecutive quarters of net selling and is now deploying the cash reserve, which the market read positively Tonghuashun . But a 365B USD reserve is only valuable if it is deployed well; large-scale buying at these levels is an unproven track record, and the analyst consensus target sitting below the cu
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