$Victoria's Secret & Co(VSCO)$ - Update (+12% Pre-Market)"** VSCO raises annual sales and profit forecast, betting on strong demand for its curated product assortment of iconic brands including Victoria's Secret and PINK** Now expects annual net sales of $6.45 billion to $6.48 billion vs. prior guidance of $6.33 billion to $6.41 billion** Also sees annual adjusted EPS in the range of $2.40 to $2.65 vs. prior guidance of $1.80 to $2.20** Co reports Q3 net sales rises 9% at $1.47 billion vs. estimates of $1.41 billion - as per data compiled by LSEG" For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Complete yo
Another Instance of Situational AwarenessStrengthening breadth must come alongside a growing count of industry groups hitting fresh 1-month RS highs in my opinion. Here’s what I’ve observed since we hit the all-time high on 29 October.29 October: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at $687 (ATH), Net High–Low: -543, Industry Groups at 1-Month Highs: 11 of 10912th November SPY $683, Net High–Low: +263, Industry Groups at 1-Month Highs: 5 of 1093rd December: SPY $683 (again), Net High–Low: +674, Industry Groups at 1-Month Highs: 21 of 109 Further reference, and full industry group ETF list are shared below; $VanEck Steel ETF(SLX)$$SPDR S&P Transportation ETF(XTN)$
got some excellent queries on the requirement to maintain the performance for much lower trade frequency; the lower the frequency, the higher the expectancy value is required of your trading.Yesterday's 35 trades average per month example will equate a trade 'Expectancy' of 0.65R per tradeExpectancy per R = (win rate x Avg R Gain) + ( (1 - win rate) x Avg R Loss).To churn a 6% avg monthly return to compound beyond 100% annualized return at lower trade frequency will require higher trade expectancy more than 0.65R per trade. I will further reduce 35 to 20, this is 40% reduction in trade frequency.eg. Reduce '35' trades avg per month to '20'since per R is 0.3% risk in my example. 6% monthly compounded return will require 20R. 20 R / 20 trade = trade expectancy of 1R per trade (up from 0.65R
NVDA Gap-Up Shows It: No Breakout Fuel in This Tape
We got the declining 10-MA rejection, but after being positioned short for going 2 weeks from early breadth deterioration. November has offered much more clarity than October — a far easier month to navigate, in my opinion. Even some long-biased focus ideas I shared with my X subscribers couldn’t trigger—none showed RVOL-driven breakouts or a <LoD 60% re-ORH setup within the first 30 minutes to sustain opening strength to ride a spring-coil intraday expansion momentum Yesterday's $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings gap-up is a great example. (Refer to Substack Chapter 6 for my 15 Pre-Execution Hard Rules.)The market is now in that classic phase where it’s too late to add shorts and too early to go long. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and en