To The Moon

Oversubscribed Doesn't Mean Overperforming: What SG's Latest IPOs Are Actually Teaching Investors 🦖 🔍 The Angle I cannot shake the fact that Foundation Healthcare was 9.4 times oversubscribed on the public tranche, then closed 7.9 percent below its IPO price on day one. JustCo drew in big cornerstone names at S$0.94, then the market quietly took it down into the 60s. When the order book looks perfect but the first weeks of trading look like this, the message is not about demand, it is about how fragile post listing conviction really is. 💰 What It Means For You If you are using CPF or SRS to chase “oversubscribed” IPOs, you are effectively betting that marketing demand will translate into stable secondary yields, and the last two listings say that bet is not automatic. A 6 percent targeted

"I Reverse-Engineered UOB's Real Earnings From One Public Number.” 🦖 🔍 The Angle What if the most important number for your UOB income is not the yield, but the payout cap management quietly hard-codes into policy? Once you accept that UOB has nailed ordinary dividends to a 50 percent earnings ceiling, every 10 percent price jump suddenly looks very different. The real story is how far the earnings per share behind that S$1.56 dividend still has to climb before your income math clears your own hurdle, not what the stock did this week. 💰 What It Means For You If UOB keeps that S$1.56 ordinary dividend while the share price sits around S$44.40, you are only getting roughly 3.5 percent on your money, below a lot of CPF and SRS alternatives. To get to a 4.7 percent income hurdle at today’s pri

"I Reverse-Engineered UOB's Real Earnings From One Public Number.” 🦖 🔍 The Angle What if the most important number for your UOB income is not the yield, but the payout cap management quietly hard-codes into policy? Once you accept that UOB has nailed ordinary dividends to a 50 percent earnings ceiling, every 10 percent price jump suddenly looks very different. The real story is how far the earnings per share behind that S$1.56 dividend still has to climb before your income math clears your own hurdle, not what the stock did this week. 💰 What It Means For You If UOB keeps that S$1.56 ordinary dividend while the share price sits around S$44.40, you are only getting roughly 3.5 percent on your money, below a lot of CPF and SRS alternatives. To get to a 4.7 percent income hurdle at today’s pri

Singapore Ranks 6th in Wealth. Your CPF Statement Tells a Different Story 🦖 🔍 The Angle Singapore just ranked sixth in the world for average wealth, yet our median wealth is only US$96,434, a 5.5x gap that quietly rewrites the story of how secure the “typical” Singaporean really is. That gap exists because headline numbers are pulled up by a small group at the very top, while the midpoint reflects what most households actually hold. When I line up these statistics against SingStat’s household balance sheet, with 42.8% locked in property and 57.2% in financial assets, the picture looks far less like a millionaire’s paradise and far more like a cashflow puzzle for retirees. 💰 What It Means For You If your retirement plan is anchored to that US$527,217 average, you are benchmarking against a

SGX Banks Hit Record Highs, Here's What The Numbers Actually Show | Daily Pulse (11 Jul) | EP1699🦖 🔍 The Angle Everyone is celebrating DBS, OCBC and UOB smashing fresh highs, but the one thing almost nobody is talking about is how much income you are giving up if you buy them at these prices. The analysts lifting targets are answering a growth question, while I am staring at the cashflow you can actually lock in today. A strong balance sheet and a strong income entry are not the same thing, and this week is a textbook example of that tension. 💰 What It Means For You If you add DBS at around S$70 or OCBC at roughly S$27 now, your retirement portfolio is working harder to clear the same income needs than it was even a month ago. The price run helps anyone who bought earlier, but for CPF and

Johor Votes Saturday. Your Portfolio Should Be Watching the Ringgit Instead 🦖 🔍 The Angle Everyone is staring at Johor’s ballot box, but the real stress on your retirement sits in the FX and power bills behind it. Johor is pulling in RM16.9 billion of hard capital and posting 8% growth, yet your actual returns depend on a weakening ringgit and a region paying more for every kilowatt. The Johor-Singapore growth story is real, the part nobody prices properly is the currency and energy drag sitting between the headline and your payout. 💰 What It Means For You If the ringgit slides back toward 4.1350 against the US dollar while Singapore’s regulated electricity tariff jumps to 31.91 cents per kWh, your Malaysia-linked income stream quietly gets haircut before it reaches your CPF or SRS. A logi

40 Years In The Market Doesn't Change My Answer (Why I'm Still Cautious on DBS at All-Time Highs) 🦖 The comment that stuck with me was from someone who has been through five crises and still came out richer each time, with more than 60,000 DBS shares sitting there quietly compounding. I respect that record deeply, but I think his question and mine are different. He is testing whether DBS as a business deserves his long-term trust, I am testing what today’s price at all-time highs does to fresh money trying to buy income now. 💰 What It Means For You If you are adding DBS at today’s levels, your CPF or SRS money is no longer buying the same income per dollar that it did even a year ago, the yield has slipped below the hurdle I use when I stress test retirement cashflow. A great bank can stil

40 Years In The Market Doesn't Change My Answer (Why I'm Still Cautious on DBS at All-Time Highs) 🦖 The comment that stuck with me was from someone who has been through five crises and still came out richer each time, with more than 60,000 DBS shares sitting there quietly compounding. I respect that record deeply, but I think his question and mine are different. He is testing whether DBS as a business deserves his long-term trust, I am testing what today’s price at all-time highs does to fresh money trying to buy income now. 💰 What It Means For You If you are adding DBS at today’s levels, your CPF or SRS money is no longer buying the same income per dollar that it did even a year ago, the yield has slipped below the hurdle I use when I stress test retirement cashflow. A great bank can stil

Frasers Centrepoint Trust: UOB Kay Hian's BUY Call Ignores a Two-Gate Balance Sheet Problem 🦖 FCT just sold White Sands for an 8.4% premium and every broker headline reads like a clean-up win. What caught my eye was not the premium, it was what happened to the balance sheet after sacrificing 6.9% of group NPI to get there. Even after applying roughly S$454 million of net proceeds to repay debt, pro forma gearing only drops from 40% to 36.5%, and interest cover is still stuck below 4 times. If you hold FCT for retirement income, the yield near 5.4% to 5.6% looks comforting until you line it up against that 36.5% gearing and a 3.59x interest coverage ratio. The White Sands sale buys time, it does not remove the need for further deleveraging if you want your distributions to survive a nasty S

When A Stock Going Up Is Actually Bad News | Daily Pulse 9 July | 🦖 🔍 The Angle Everyone is staring at DBS’s new record high, but the real story today is that the “worst” performing bank stock on the screen is actually the one that quietly broke my own income test. UOB jumps almost 4%, OCBC has one of the strongest balance sheets in town, and yet DBS is the only one where price alone has pushed total yield, including special capital returns, below the line I’m willing to use for fresh retirement money. On paper nothing bad happened at the bank, the tension is that the tape looks celebratory while the CPF and SRS math just got harder. 💰 What It Means For You If you are 55 in Bedok and thinking of topping up DBS with CPF or SRS, today you are paying more for every dollar of income than you w