To The Moon

$Frencken(E28.SI)$ Frencken (E28.SI) watchlist Conditional view: cautious in the near term. The share-price momentum is clearly weak and 2026H1 earnings softened, although the balance sheet remains comparatively sound and the valuation is not demanding on a price-to-sales basis. Latest close (2026-11-10): S$1.78, up 2.89% on the day, but down 12.32% over five trading days, 27.64% over 20 days and 35.51% over 60 days. It sits at only 21.54% of its 52-week range, 49.72% below the 52-week high of S$3.54. This indicates that the one-day rebound has not yet reversed the broader downtrend. Trading activity: 4.44 million shares traded; volume ratio was 1.04, close to normal rather than a decisive high-volume reversal. Frencken 1.78 0.05 +0.05(2.89

$Sheng Siong(OV8.SI)$ Sheng Siong 2.34 -0.01 -0.01(-0.43%) Nov 10 17:16 SGT Sheng Siong (OV8.SI) watchlist — conditional view: the business remains operationally solid and defensively positioned, but the share-price trend is decisively weak and the valuation is still not obviously cheap for a mature supermarket operator. The key near-term question is whether earnings growth can remain ahead of cost and competitive pressure. Market snapshot (2026-11-10): closed at S$2.34 , down 0.43% on the day. It is down 18.18% over 20 trading days and 28.00% over 60 trading days , only 2.63% above its 52-week low of S$2.28 and 31.58% below its S$3.4202 high. Volume ratio was 1.02 , so today’s trading activity was near normal rather than a clear capitulat

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ The reported decline was primarily an underwriting deterioration at GEICO, rather than a drop in premium volume. GEICO’s Q3 2026 pre-tax profit fell 45% year on year to US$982 million . Premiums written were broadly unchanged, edging down 0.3% to US$11.71 billion . Tiger News The key pressure was claims: total losses and loss-adjustment expenses increased 8.5% . Berkshire attributed this in part to higher claim frequency. Tiger News As claims and expenses rose faster than premiums, GEICO’s combined ratio worsened to 91.4% , from 84.3% a year earlier. A higher combined ratio means less underwriting profit per dollar of premium, explaining the bulk of the insurance-group profit pressure. Tiger News So the short vers

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ For SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) watchlist , the near-term setup is a rebound within a still-fragile medium-term pullback. The key test is whether it can hold above the $740–$743 area; sustained trade above $761–$766 would improve the technical picture. Level / zone Why it matters $755–$756 Immediate overhead: 2026-11-10 intraday high was $755.42 . A move back above it would indicate the rebound is extending. $761–$766 Main near-term resistance band. Multiple recent resistance readings fall here, including $761.35–$761.94 on 2026-11-05/06 and $766.05 on 2026-11-09. $771–$775 Next supply zone, corresponding to late-October swing highs/resistance. $781.62 Major resistance and the 52-week high, recorded on 20

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ At $186.64 , NVIDIA (NVDA) watchlist trades $137.18 below the stated analyst mean target of $323.82 . That implies the mean target represents 73.50% upside from the current price; conversely, the share price is 57.64% of that target. Analyst targets are typically 12-month estimates, not forecasts of a guaranteed outcome, and they can change materially with earnings, AI-demand expectations, margins, and valuation assumptions. Information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Conditional view: for the nearest weekly expiry, Tesla (TSLA) watchlist ’s positive net gamma setup is more consistent with mean-reverting, range-bound trading around $372–$380 than with a self-reinforcing trend—provided the stock remains above the zero-gamma level near $372.36 and no major new catalyst changes option positioning. Why $380 may act as a near-term magnet/resistance: TSLA was at $378.05 on 2026-11-10, immediately below the $380 call wall for the 2026-11-11 weekly expiry. In a positive-gamma regime, dealer hedging generally works against the immediate price move: buying shares on dips and selling into rallies. That can damp volatility and make repeated tests of $380 fade or gravitate toward the strike into ex

$MP 20261113 35.0 PUT$ The U.S. needs roughly an additional 18,000 metric tonnes per year of usable rare-earth compounds/metals to cover its current aggregate import gap—but that is only a broad quantity benchmark, not full independence from China. The much harder requirement is targeted capacity for separated NdPr and especially heavy rare earths such as dysprosium and terbium, plus metal/alloy and permanent-magnet conversion. Available 2025 data indicate U.S. apparent rare-earth consumption of about 27,000 tonnes , against domestic compounds-and-metals output of roughly 8,900 tonnes . The implied gap is 18,100 tonnes per year (27,000 − 8,900 = 18,100). Net import dependence was reported at 67% . Xueqiu What “enough capacit

$ORCL 20261113 109.0 PUT$ Conditional view: ORCL put premiums are elevated, but selling cash-secured puts is only selectively attractive—not broadly compelling—because current implied volatility is high versus its own history but below realised volatility, while the underlying remains in a medium-term downtrend. Oracle (ORCL) watchlist closed at US$119.79 on 2026-11-10. Its 30-day IV is 72.07% and its 52-week IV percentile is 73.71% —high, though below the 52-week IV average of 63.85% by 8.22 percentage points . However, 52-week historical volatility is 79.49% , so IV is 7.42 percentage points below realised volatility. That matters: the option seller is not obviously being paid more than recent actual movement would sug

$INTC 20280121 95.0 CALL$  Use the elevated IV as a reason to define risk and avoid paying for open-ended volatility—not as a standalone bearish signal. For Intel (INTC) watchlist , the useful read is cautious but mixed, rather than simply “puts are bullish/bearish.” Intel closed at US$56.28 on 2026-11-07 , up 7.71% for the session. 30-day IV was 79.66% ; the IV percentile was 72.91% , meaning implied volatility is high relative to its own recent distribution. However, IV/HV was 0.58 , so the current implied reading was below the tool’s historical-volatility measure. The option-chain expected move was US$7.21 , or 12.81% of spot (calculated), which is already a large move priced into option premiums. Put flow was heavy, b

$ONDS 20261113 5.0 PUT$ Base case: Ondas is more likely to miss than beat the current Q3 EPS consensus of -$0.138 , although the unusually wide estimate range means a small beat remains plausible if acquisition-related costs were materially lower than analysts expect. [Symbol:ONDS|Ondas Holdings (ONDS)] is due to report 2026Q3 on 2026-11-12 before the US market opens . Consensus is for revenue of $148.0 million and EPS of -$0.138 (nine analysts), with EPS estimates spanning -$0.19 to -$0.08 . Why I lean toward a miss: The Q2 miss was substantial, not marginal. EPS was -$0.14 versus -$0.081 expected: a $0.059/share shortfall, or 72.8% worse than consensus (calculator result). At the same time, Q2 revenue beat by $15.8 millio