To The Moon

The indices continue to diverge.While $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ blasted to a new high, likely completing a final fifth-wave, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected at resistance and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ was so weak it couldn’t break the prior day’s high.Watch Level: Short to 6720–6550 triggers on a daily close below SPX 6816 and/or below last week’s low. A daily close below 6816 would confirm the sell signal toward 6550 - a break of Friday’s low likely seals the deal.The larger implication: A loss of 6650 confirms the start of a major Wave 4 correction, with downside scope toward 5500.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,00

Following bearish SMTs, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is testing the key Daily FVG support at 6816.A daily close below 6816 would confirm the sell signal toward 6550 - a break of Friday’s low likely seals the deal.The larger implication: A loss of 6650 confirms the start of a major Wave 4 correction, with downside scope toward 5500. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$

2026 Outlook: The Great ResetKey Takeaways• Equities enter a late-cycle correction phase • Bonds and the dollar strengthen as risk comes off • Crypto faces a deeper deleveraging cycle • Gold consolidates after a multi-year advanceThe table below outlines 2026 downside risk zones and expected year-end closing levels across major assets. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P500 has marginally exceeded the upper boundary of its multi-year trend channel — a common signature of terminal 5th waves.The Trigger: A reversal back below ~6,650 would confirm a false breakout.The Trade: We are positioning for a higher-degree Wave 4 correction toward 5,500–5,100 (-20–25%), which aligns perfectly with the 200-week MA. 2. $iShar

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ has failed to confirm new highs, forming bearish divergences versus both $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ (Dec 10) and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (Dec 26).The index is now printing higher lows but lower highs, compressing into a bearish triangle.This setup suggests tech is coiling for a sharp downside resolution, with a measured move to 23,500–22,900, aligning with equality of the initial leg down and the 200-DMA.A daily close below 25,165 would confirm the sell signal.If that zone is reached, the probability strongly increases that NDX has already peaked. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlim

At the beginning of the week -> I stated a close below $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 6910 is the first warning sign of a bearish reversal ✅ Now we are approaching the confirmation point: • If price crosses 6832, that would confirm the ABC up pattern for W5. • A close below 6816 would trigger the sell signal to at least 6720 Confirmation is still needed, but the setup increasingly favors the top being in. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 26

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed below the prior ATH, inverting the Daily FVG after a bearish SMT vs. $DJI & $NDX — a clear downside warning.That said, it’s a low-volume holiday week with bullish seasonality.Weekly Bias: Neutral/Bearish — expecting chop while price sets the stage for a larger move ahead.Key Levels:• Below 6832 → firmly bearish• Confirm: Daily Close below 6816 Triangle Breakdown ➡️ Target Hit. 📉We identified the triangle completion called for the drop to 6935 - $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ flushed to the lows ticking 6935 🎯We then expected a reversal back to the upper trendline from the lows✅ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit o

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ made new all-time highs, perfectly tagging the W5:W1 Fib ratio — exactly as the alternate bullish path anticipated.However, double SMT divergences are now present, suggesting this rally is marginal with index momentum fading. Key Levels:• First bearish Indication: A close below 6910 signals the immediate trend is weakening. • Confirmation: Bears need a Daily close below 6816.Until 6910 is lost, we may see a drift higher or choppy action due to the shortened holiday week. Once 6816 gives way, we look for a Wave 1 decline. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDA

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has made a new high, keeping the Santa Rally thesis alive with upside potential toward 6,950–7,000. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ have yet to confirm, however, leaving a bearish divergence on watch.Failure to see confirmation during this bullish seasonal window would be a bearish signal, suggesting peaks may already be in for NDX and DJI. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQ

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ | Primary CountWhile SPX respected Daily FVG support, $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ closed below it—triggering a sell signal following the bearish SMT with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ at all time highs.Despite the 50-DMA reclaim, price is capping at the 61.8% retracement and CISD resistance at 6833.This sets up a 3rd of a 3rd wave flush targeting 6400Confirmation: A close < 50-DMA is the warning. A cross of last week's low confirms the decline. SPX | Alternate SPX reclaimed the 50-DMA and printed a bullish CISD.Combined with bullish seasonality, the door is open for a push to 6950–7000.The Pivot: Bulls MUST hold the 50-DMA. A close bel

Although the bounce following the $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ sell signal was anticlimactic, the setup remains the same. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rally appears corrective, and despite the 50-DMA reclaim, the bearish SMT w/ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ keeps my bias down.I'm watching for a grind up to today's high and/or the 61.8% retrace to act as resistance before lower.A close below 6770 triggers a swing short, while a cross of 6720 confirms a flash crash to 6400. Bulls need a daily close above 6803 for a potential bullish shift. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on