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Kanishka

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- KanishkaKanishka
  ·2025-09-16
  I I'll this affect Nasdaq?
  US Retail Sales Beat Expectations in August; Weakening Labor Market Dims Outlook
  US August Retail Sales MoM +0.6% (Est. +0.2%, Prior +0.6% Revised from +0.5%)
  US Retail Sales Beat Expectations in August; Weakening Labor Market Dims Outlook
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- KanishkaKanishka
  ·2024-06-12
  Report on NASDAQ 100 during CPI report
  How the Stock Market Performs When a CPI Report and a Fed Decision Happen the Same Day
  CPI day volatility was on display in 2022 as hot inflation numbers sparked the start of the Fed’s rate-hike cycle. The S&P 500saw an average percentage move — up or down — of 1.9% on CPI release days in 2022. The median move was a 1.7% change, acco
  How the Stock Market Performs When a CPI Report and a Fed Decision Happen the Same Day
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- KanishkaKanishka
  ·2024-05-28
  Will this affect ASX200?
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- KanishkaKanishka
  ·2024-05-15
  Is this a good time to short sell for Nasdaq100?
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I'll this affect Nasdaq?","listText":"I I'll this affect Nasdaq?","text":"I I'll this affect Nasdaq?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/479227732828464","repostId":"1181111526","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1181111526","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1032215980","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48"},"pubTimestamp":1758025816,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181111526?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-09-16 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Retail Sales Beat Expectations in August; Weakening Labor Market Dims Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181111526","media":"Reuters","summary":"US August Retail Sales MoM +0.6% (Est. +0.2%, Prior +0.6% Revised from +0.5%)","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August, but momentum could ease amid labor market weakness and rising goods prices because of tariffs on imports.</p><p>Retail sales rose 0.6% last month after an upwardly revised 0.6% advance in July, the Commerce Department&#39;s Census Bureau said on Tuesday.</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, rising 0.2% following a previously reported 0.5% gain in June.</p><p>Some of the rise in retail sales last month was probably due to tariff-driven price increases rather than volumes.</p><p>The government reported last week that consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in August, with strong rises 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The struggling labor market, characterized by meager job gains and rising unemployment as companies hold off hiring because of an uncertain economic outlook, poses a risk to consumer spending.</p><p>The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a quarter-percentage-point interest rate cut on Wednesday to support the labor market. The U.S. central bank paused its easing cycle in January because of uncertainty over the inflationary impact of import duties.</p><p>Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services increased 0.7% last month after an unrevised 0.5% advance in July. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.</p><h3 id=\"id_4166475979\" style=\"text-align: start;\">PULLBACK IN SPENDING IS EXPECTED</h3><p>&#34;While there is underlying resilience, consumption is slowing,&#34; said Sam Bullard, a senior economist at Wells Fargo. &#34;Households still generally have the means to spend, but growing concerns over the labor market suggest that we will likely see a pullback in the pace of spending growth for the remainder of the year.&#34;</p><p>A survey from the New York Fed on Monday showed household spending, unadjusted for inflation, slipped in August to the lowest level in nearly 4-1/2 years on a year-over-year basis.</p><p>Still, more people continued to buy electronics, home appliances, furniture, homes and vehicles as well as undertake home repairs and go on vacations.</p><p>Similarly, a Bank of America Institute survey found lower-income households were being impacted the most by the labor market weakness, with their after-tax wages and salaries increasing in August at the slowest pace since 2016.</p><p>Bank of America Institute also noted that spending growth was the weakest among younger people and those born between 1965 and 1980, commonly referred to as Generation X.</p><p>&#34;The weakening labor market appears to be impacting younger people, particularly because changing jobs no longer results in as big of a pay bump,&#34; it said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Retail Sales Beat Expectations in August; Weakening Labor Market Dims Outlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Retail Sales Beat Expectations in August; Weakening Labor Market Dims Outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1032215980\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-09-16 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August, but momentum could ease amid labor market weakness and rising goods prices because of tariffs on imports.</p><p>Retail sales rose 0.6% last month after an upwardly revised 0.6% advance in July, the Commerce Department&#39;s Census Bureau said on Tuesday.</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, rising 0.2% following a previously reported 0.5% gain in June.</p><p>Some of the rise in retail sales last month was probably due to tariff-driven price increases rather than volumes.</p><p>The government reported last week that consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in August, with strong rises in the costs of food and apparel among other products. The struggling labor market, characterized by meager job gains and rising unemployment as companies hold off hiring because of an uncertain economic outlook, poses a risk to consumer spending.</p><p>The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a quarter-percentage-point interest rate cut on Wednesday to support the labor market. The U.S. central bank paused its easing cycle in January because of uncertainty over the inflationary impact of import duties.</p><p>Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services increased 0.7% last month after an unrevised 0.5% advance in July. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.</p><h3 id=\"id_4166475979\" style=\"text-align: start;\">PULLBACK IN SPENDING IS EXPECTED</h3><p>&#34;While there is underlying resilience, consumption is slowing,&#34; said Sam Bullard, a senior economist at Wells Fargo. &#34;Households still generally have the means to spend, but growing concerns over the labor market suggest that we will likely see a pullback in the pace of spending growth for the remainder of the year.&#34;</p><p>A survey from the New York Fed on Monday showed household spending, unadjusted for inflation, slipped in August to the lowest level in nearly 4-1/2 years on a year-over-year basis.</p><p>Still, more people continued to buy electronics, home appliances, furniture, homes and vehicles as well as undertake home repairs and go on vacations.</p><p>Similarly, a Bank of America Institute survey found lower-income households were being impacted the most by the labor market weakness, with their after-tax wages and salaries increasing in August at the slowest pace since 2016.</p><p>Bank of America Institute also noted that spending growth was the weakest among younger people and those born between 1965 and 1980, commonly referred to as Generation X.</p><p>&#34;The weakening labor market appears to be impacting younger people, particularly because changing jobs no longer results in as big of a pay bump,&#34; it said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181111526","content_text":"U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August, but momentum could ease amid labor market weakness and rising goods prices because of tariffs on imports.Retail sales rose 0.6% last month after an upwardly revised 0.6% advance in July, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Tuesday.Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, rising 0.2% following a previously reported 0.5% gain in June.Some of the rise in retail sales last month was probably due to tariff-driven price increases rather than volumes.The government reported last week that consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in August, with strong rises in the costs of food and apparel among other products. The struggling labor market, characterized by meager job gains and rising unemployment as companies hold off hiring because of an uncertain economic outlook, poses a risk to consumer spending.The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a quarter-percentage-point interest rate cut on Wednesday to support the labor market. The U.S. central bank paused its easing cycle in January because of uncertainty over the inflationary impact of import duties.Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services increased 0.7% last month after an unrevised 0.5% advance in July. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.PULLBACK IN SPENDING IS EXPECTED\"While there is underlying resilience, consumption is slowing,\" said Sam Bullard, a senior economist at Wells Fargo. \"Households still generally have the means to spend, but growing concerns over the labor market suggest that we will likely see a pullback in the pace of spending growth for the remainder of the year.\"A survey from the New York Fed on Monday showed household spending, unadjusted for inflation, slipped in August to the lowest level in nearly 4-1/2 years on a year-over-year basis.Still, more people continued to buy electronics, home appliances, furniture, homes and vehicles as well as undertake home repairs and go on vacations.Similarly, a Bank of America Institute survey found lower-income households were being impacted the most by the labor market weakness, with their after-tax wages and salaries increasing in August at the slowest pace since 2016.Bank of America Institute also noted that spending growth was the weakest among younger people and those born between 1965 and 1980, commonly referred to as Generation X.\"The weakening labor market appears to be impacting younger people, particularly because changing jobs no longer results in as big of a pay bump,\" it said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":1,"QQQ":1,"YMmain":1,"SPY":1,"SQQQ":1,"NQmain":1,"ESmain":1,"TQQQ":1,".IXIC":1,".DJI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315947228737576,"gmtCreate":1718166980458,"gmtModify":1718171352628,"author":{"id":"4177469703813732","authorId":"4177469703813732","name":"Kanishka","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4177469703813732","idStr":"4177469703813732"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Report on NASDAQ 100 during CPI report","listText":"Report on NASDAQ 100 during CPI report","text":"Report on NASDAQ 100 during CPI report","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315947228737576","repostId":"2442146743","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2442146743","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1718157600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2442146743?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-06-12 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How the Stock Market Performs When a CPI Report and a Fed Decision Happen the Same Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2442146743","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"CPI day volatility was on display in 2022 as hot inflation numbers sparked the start of the Fed’s rate-hike cycle. The S&P 500saw an average percentage move — up or down — of 1.9% on CPI release days in 2022. The median move was a 1.7% change, acco","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The CPI report and the Fed’s policy meeting fell on the same day only 13 times since 2008.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31c96513015f384dcbc550fc002625bb\" alt=\"How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.\" title=\"How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"610\"/><span>How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.</span></p><p>Wall Street is gearing up for a rare double feature of market-moving economic events on Wednesday, with the May consumer-price index due in the morning and the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement in the afternoon.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CPI days and Fed decision days both have a reputation for market volatility, but they rarely coincide. The CPI report and the Fed’s policy meeting have fallen on the same day only 13 times since 2008, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>While the sample size is small, all three major stock indexes have tended to post gains on those days, with the S&amp;P 500  rising an average of 0.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 0.9% and the Nasdaq Composite advancing over 1%, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d4bca61232ff69b5931e0015b1e3ec1c\" alt=\"SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATA\" title=\"SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATA\" tg-width=\"1047\" tg-height=\"709\"/><span>SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p>Despite the rare event on Wednesday, some strategists don’t expect greater-than-usual volatility in the stock market.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar Research Services, said the things that could drive volatility higher on Wednesday would be if Fed Chair Jerome Powell was to “say something unexpected” during his press conference a half-hour after the release of the central bank’s policy statement and the updated economic forecasts at 2 p.m. Eastern.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“But I think that is of a very low probability as he’s [Powell’s] always very measured in his commentary,” Sekera said in emailed commentary on Monday. </p><p>Meanwhile, if inflation metrics come in line or better than expected, that may provide some positive market sentiment, but given the high valuations in the market right now, Sekera and his team don’t see<br/>“much of a short-term upside left” for U.S. equities.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But if those inflation metrics come out much higher than expected, that could lead to a small selloff in the stock market, but that also depends on how much above consensus inflation is running, Sekera said. </p><p>The CPI, a measure of what Americans pay for goods and services, is forecast to rise a scant 0.1% in May, according to economists polled by the Wall Street Journal. Such an increase would be the smallest in seven months and mark the second consecutive month in which inflation has slowed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The “core” rate of inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is more closely watched by economists and the Fed, is forecast to climb 0.3% in May for the second month in a row.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500 and Dow industrials averaged small declines of 0.02% and 0.18%, respectively, on the past five CPI days this year. This contrasts with their 10-year averages of a 0.02% gain and a 0.06% decline on CPI days. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">So why the reputation for volatility?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CPI day volatility was on display in 2022 as hot inflation numbers sparked the start of the Fed’s rate-hike cycle. The S&amp;P 500 saw an average percentage move — up or down — of 1.9% on CPI release days in 2022. The median move was a 1.7% change, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CPI day volatility moderated 2023 but has been significant this year. The table below shows that both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq saw approximately 1% moves in either direction on four of the last five CPI release days so far this year, according to Dow Jones Market Data. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27a26850a8f38cb0cc4a7ba660a1bb9a\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"325\"/></p><p>Meanwhile, stock-market performance on the Fed’s policy decision days also painted a muddled picture this year. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow industrials logged an over 1% advance on March 20 while the three major indexes finished at their record closing levels after the Fed reiterated the prospect of three rate cuts in 2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, the S&amp;P 500 only averaged a 0.1% gain on three Fed decision days this year, while the Dow and the Nasdaq each booked an average decline of around 0.4% in the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef92ead97377f979f7035612e85eeb73\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"243\"/></p><p>U.S. stocks traded mixed on Tuesday with Dow industrials off over 120 points, or 0.3%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.3% and the Nasdaq gained 0.9%, led by a 7% surge in shares of Apple Inc., according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the Stock Market Performs When a CPI Report and a Fed Decision Happen the Same Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the Stock Market Performs When a CPI Report and a Fed Decision Happen the Same Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-06-12 10:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The CPI report and the Fed’s policy meeting fell on the same day only 13 times since 2008.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31c96513015f384dcbc550fc002625bb\" alt=\"How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.\" title=\"How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"610\"/><span>How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.</span></p><p>Wall Street is gearing up for a rare double feature of market-moving economic events on Wednesday, with the May consumer-price index due in the morning and the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement in the afternoon.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CPI days and Fed decision days both have a reputation for market volatility, but they rarely coincide. The CPI report and the Fed’s policy meeting have fallen on the same day only 13 times since 2008, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>While the sample size is small, all three major stock indexes have tended to post gains on those days, with the S&amp;P 500  rising an average of 0.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 0.9% and the Nasdaq Composite advancing over 1%, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d4bca61232ff69b5931e0015b1e3ec1c\" alt=\"SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATA\" title=\"SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATA\" tg-width=\"1047\" tg-height=\"709\"/><span>SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p>Despite the rare event on Wednesday, some strategists don’t expect greater-than-usual volatility in the stock market.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar Research Services, said the things that could drive volatility higher on Wednesday would be if Fed Chair Jerome Powell was to “say something unexpected” during his press conference a half-hour after the release of the central bank’s policy statement and the updated economic forecasts at 2 p.m. Eastern.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“But I think that is of a very low probability as he’s [Powell’s] always very measured in his commentary,” Sekera said in emailed commentary on Monday. </p><p>Meanwhile, if inflation metrics come in line or better than expected, that may provide some positive market sentiment, but given the high valuations in the market right now, Sekera and his team don’t see<br/>“much of a short-term upside left” for U.S. equities.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But if those inflation metrics come out much higher than expected, that could lead to a small selloff in the stock market, but that also depends on how much above consensus inflation is running, Sekera said. </p><p>The CPI, a measure of what Americans pay for goods and services, is forecast to rise a scant 0.1% in May, according to economists polled by the Wall Street Journal. Such an increase would be the smallest in seven months and mark the second consecutive month in which inflation has slowed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The “core” rate of inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is more closely watched by economists and the Fed, is forecast to climb 0.3% in May for the second month in a row.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500 and Dow industrials averaged small declines of 0.02% and 0.18%, respectively, on the past five CPI days this year. This contrasts with their 10-year averages of a 0.02% gain and a 0.06% decline on CPI days. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">So why the reputation for volatility?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CPI day volatility was on display in 2022 as hot inflation numbers sparked the start of the Fed’s rate-hike cycle. The S&amp;P 500 saw an average percentage move — up or down — of 1.9% on CPI release days in 2022. The median move was a 1.7% change, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CPI day volatility moderated 2023 but has been significant this year. The table below shows that both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq saw approximately 1% moves in either direction on four of the last five CPI release days so far this year, according to Dow Jones Market Data. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27a26850a8f38cb0cc4a7ba660a1bb9a\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"325\"/></p><p>Meanwhile, stock-market performance on the Fed’s policy decision days also painted a muddled picture this year. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow industrials logged an over 1% advance on March 20 while the three major indexes finished at their record closing levels after the Fed reiterated the prospect of three rate cuts in 2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, the S&amp;P 500 only averaged a 0.1% gain on three Fed decision days this year, while the Dow and the Nasdaq each booked an average decline of around 0.4% in the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef92ead97377f979f7035612e85eeb73\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"243\"/></p><p>U.S. stocks traded mixed on Tuesday with Dow industrials off over 120 points, or 0.3%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.3% and the Nasdaq gained 0.9%, led by a 7% surge in shares of Apple Inc., according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股",".DJI":"道琼斯","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2442146743","content_text":"The CPI report and the Fed’s policy meeting fell on the same day only 13 times since 2008.How the stock market performed on CPI and Fed days in 2024.Wall Street is gearing up for a rare double feature of market-moving economic events on Wednesday, with the May consumer-price index due in the morning and the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement in the afternoon.CPI days and Fed decision days both have a reputation for market volatility, but they rarely coincide. The CPI report and the Fed’s policy meeting have fallen on the same day only 13 times since 2008, according to Dow Jones Market Data.While the sample size is small, all three major stock indexes have tended to post gains on those days, with the S&P 500  rising an average of 0.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 0.9% and the Nasdaq Composite advancing over 1%, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below).SOURCE: DOW JONES MARKET DATADespite the rare event on Wednesday, some strategists don’t expect greater-than-usual volatility in the stock market.Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar Research Services, said the things that could drive volatility higher on Wednesday would be if Fed Chair Jerome Powell was to “say something unexpected” during his press conference a half-hour after the release of the central bank’s policy statement and the updated economic forecasts at 2 p.m. Eastern.“But I think that is of a very low probability as he’s [Powell’s] always very measured in his commentary,” Sekera said in emailed commentary on Monday. Meanwhile, if inflation metrics come in line or better than expected, that may provide some positive market sentiment, but given the high valuations in the market right now, Sekera and his team don’t see“much of a short-term upside left” for U.S. equities.But if those inflation metrics come out much higher than expected, that could lead to a small selloff in the stock market, but that also depends on how much above consensus inflation is running, Sekera said. The CPI, a measure of what Americans pay for goods and services, is forecast to rise a scant 0.1% in May, according to economists polled by the Wall Street Journal. Such an increase would be the smallest in seven months and mark the second consecutive month in which inflation has slowed.The “core” rate of inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is more closely watched by economists and the Fed, is forecast to climb 0.3% in May for the second month in a row.The S&P 500 and Dow industrials averaged small declines of 0.02% and 0.18%, respectively, on the past five CPI days this year. This contrasts with their 10-year averages of a 0.02% gain and a 0.06% decline on CPI days. So why the reputation for volatility?CPI day volatility was on display in 2022 as hot inflation numbers sparked the start of the Fed’s rate-hike cycle. The S&P 500 saw an average percentage move — up or down — of 1.9% on CPI release days in 2022. The median move was a 1.7% change, according to Dow Jones Market Data.CPI day volatility moderated 2023 but has been significant this year. The table below shows that both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq saw approximately 1% moves in either direction on four of the last five CPI release days so far this year, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Meanwhile, stock-market performance on the Fed’s policy decision days also painted a muddled picture this year. The S&P 500 and Dow industrials logged an over 1% advance on March 20 while the three major indexes finished at their record closing levels after the Fed reiterated the prospect of three rate cuts in 2024.However, the S&P 500 only averaged a 0.1% gain on three Fed decision days this year, while the Dow and the Nasdaq each booked an average decline of around 0.4% in the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data (see table below).U.S. stocks traded mixed on Tuesday with Dow industrials off over 120 points, or 0.3%. The S&P 500 rose 0.3% and the Nasdaq gained 0.9%, led by a 7% surge in shares of Apple Inc., according to FactSet data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797GL51.BOND":0.6,"US3Y.BOND":1,".DJI":1.1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"US912797GB79.BOND":0.6,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US912797FS14.BOND":0.6,"US912797GK78.BOND":0.6,"US12M.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310720995262472,"gmtCreate":1716865143029,"gmtModify":1716866191862,"author":{"id":"4177469703813732","authorId":"4177469703813732","name":"Kanishka","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4177469703813732","idStr":"4177469703813732"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will this affect ASX200?","listText":"Will this affect ASX200?","text":"Will this affect ASX200?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/310720995262472","repostId":"2438536290","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":305947614273632,"gmtCreate":1715729403531,"gmtModify":1715736949913,"author":{"id":"4177469703813732","authorId":"4177469703813732","name":"Kanishka","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4177469703813732","idStr":"4177469703813732"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this a good time to short sell for Nasdaq100?","listText":"Is this a good time to short sell for Nasdaq100?","text":"Is this a good time to short sell for Nasdaq100?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/305947614273632","repostId":"1137890683","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}