To The Moon

$Tempus AI(TEM)$ 🅱🅴🅰🆁🅸🆂🅷 📉📉 👀 Earnings on Monday after the 🔔 🚨📉💥 Tempus AI, Bearish Catastrophe Looms, $43 Plummet by March 💥📉🚨 “Even Yoda can’t save this Titanic freefall…” Hold tight, traders, $TEM’s hype train just hit an iceberg, and the bears are steering it straight toward $43 by March. Tempus AI ($TEM) rocketed +180% YTD (X chatter, February 2025), but its 6-month chart screams capitulation. With Q4 earnings set for 24Feb25, insider sell-offs peaking, and technicals unravelling, this could be the ultimate bull trap. As someone who’s chased AI moonshots, only to dodge bear traps at the last second, I’ve got a bad feeling about this one. Let’s dissect this Death Star of a setup, with surgical precision. 📊 Technical Breakdown, The Chart’s Screaming “Game Over” The $TEM chart (as of 23Feb25) is a Guns N’ Roses tragedy, beautiful ascent, brutal collapse. A textbook rising wedge 🟥 (green trendlines from July 2024’s $30 to February’s $85.71 peak) shattered on 20Feb25, with Friday’s $68.09 close (-11.25%, WKRB News) plunging below the key $73 support. The purple volume bars 📉 spike on down days, confirming seller panic, while the red horizontal line at $43 marks November, December 2024 support, the abyss ahead. 🔑 Key Chart Levels: • Resistance: $70 🟡 — Now a brick wall after Thursday’s 14.5% drop, aligning with the upper wedge. • Support: $55 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement), then $43 🔴 ~ The chart’s red line at $43 ties to prior consolidation and the wedge’s measured move. Indicators Flashing Red: • RSI: Crashed from overbought (72) to 48, signalling momentum’s death. • MACD: Bearish crossover, locking in the downtrend. • Volume Dynamics: Thursday’s 12.34M shares traded, below the 14.1M average, but spiked on the drop. X posts echo “sellers unloading.” No bounce confirms bearish control. 💡 $43 Target Logic: The wedge’s $30 height (peak $85.71 to base $55.71) subtracted from the $73 breakdown point gives us $43. This aligns perfectly with the red line intersecting late-2024 support, making $43 the ultimate downside magnet. Short-term, Choppy decline. Medium-term, A Titanic plunge straight to $43. 🧮 Fundamentals, A House of Cards in AI Healthcare $TEM’s AI diagnostics dazzle, but its financials? A horror flick. Market cap’s $10.72B, yet the company is bleeding heavily. Vitals: • EPS (TTM): -$8.52 😱 • ROA: -58.65% • P/S Ratio: 16.74 — 🩸Nosebleed levels compared to; • Guardant Health ($GH) ~8x • Illumina ($ILMN) ~5x • Exact Sciences ($EXAS) ~7x Earnings Preview — 24Feb25: • Expected EPS: -$0.20 • Revenue: $203.1M • Analyst Ratings: 🟢 7 Buy | 🟡 4 Hold | 🔴 0 Sell (Yahoo Finance) • Median 12-Month Price Target: $55 — a far cry from the $85.71 peak. Growth is slowing — +35% YoY compared to 150%+ in 2023, while losses hit a staggering $801M in 2024. The $600M Ambry Genetics buyout (Business Wire, February 4) promises long-term growth but comes with dilutive shares and a $105M EBITDA loss, straining liquidity. 💥 In a cooling AI sector, $TEM’s premium is a glaring red flag, and this house of cards is wobbling. 🚨 Insider SOS — “Abandon Ship!” Cue the Jaws theme. Insiders are bailing like it’s 1975 Amity Island; • CEO Eric Lefkofsky: Sold 169,482 shares on 5Feb25 at $66.70-$68.07, plus 243K earlier at $70-$87 (~$19M total, TradingView). • CFO & COO: Dumped 31,780+ shares on 18Feb25 (WKRB News, February 23). • Total Insider Sales (12 months): $278.71M (Mi Valle). Pre-earnings sales this massive scream lack of confidence. X chatter is loud with, “Insiders know the iceberg’s coming.” Confidence? Sinking like the Titanic’s deck chairs. 📉 Market Context — Tech’s Wobbly Tightrope The Nasdaq is up +8% YTD (as of 23Feb25) — but cracks are forming. High-growth, unprofitable tech like $TEM is faltering as hopes for Fed rate cuts wane (Bloomberg, February 21). • AI hype is cooling, with $NVDA and $PLTR off their recent highs. • $TEM’s P/S at 16.74 looks absurd against $SPY’s P/E of 22. • Inflation is creeping up — 2.5% CPI (February 21) — triggering AI sector rotations. 💡 Rising inflation, sector rotation, and overvaluation, a recipe for a liquidity crunch. 🗓 Earnings Roulette — Hope or Hype? February 24 is D-Day. $TEM’s Q4 earnings could either save the ship or sink it further. Past Quarterly Performance: Quarter End EPS Estimate Actual EPS Beat/Miss Surprise % Sep 30, 2024 -0.31 -0.25 Beat +19.4% Jun 30, 2024 -1.30 -0.63 Beat +51.5% Mar 31, 2024 -0.66 -1.47 Miss -122.7% Even with past beats, the slowing growth and insider selling don’t paint a bullish picture. Without a $210M+ revenue beat and stellar guidance, $43 seems inevitable. 💡 Actionable Trade Setups — Ride the Bear or Dodge the Blade • Short Play: Enter below $70, target $55, then $43. Tight stop at $73. • Swing Long (Risky): Consider a bounce at $43-$45 if earnings surprise — targeting $55. • Key Watch: If $55 breaks, $43 is almost guaranteed. • Options Play (Bearish): March 21, 2025, $65 puts — implied volatility ~45% could yield 2x-3x if $TEM hits $43. 💡 Newbies, watch volume spikes. Pros, hedge with puts or short CFDs. 🔥 The Bottom Line ~ My Take $TEM is a sinking star in a galaxy of overhyped AI plays. The chart’s rising wedge breakdown 🟥, insider exodus, and shaky fundamentals scream “sell.” Short interest is climbing, market winds are shifting, and the upcoming earnings feel like a last-ditch hail Mary. My call? $43 by March, a 37% drop from here. As Han Solo once said, “I’ve got a bad feeling about this.” 🎤 Tiger Traders: Are you shorting this ride to $43, or banking on an earnings miracle? Drop your setups below, let’s battle it out Thunderdome style! @TigerGPT: Is the plummet inevitable and what can you share about earnings on Monday? 📣 Please Like, Repost, Follow for razor-sharp setups and market zingers. Let’s outsmart the galaxy together! 🍀 Happy trading ahead! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀 @Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks