Magnificent 7 - Huge fall, we know why !

By refusing to rule out that US could slipped into a recession, Trump has effectively set US economy on a collision course with recession.

Coupled with previous week's steep selloff resuming & gathering momentum (like a tropical storm) as the trading session progressed, all three major U.S. indexes suffering sharp declines.

This is as per my Sunday post dated 09 Mar 2025 (click here ! for details, Repost to share) has highlighted - the US govt is engineering a recession.

Certainly, looks like there’s more than an ounce of truth in the MarketWatch post afterall.

By closing time:

Volume on US exchanges was 18.77 billion shares, far exceeded the 16.42 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

DJIA:

  • -2.08% (-890.01 to 41,911.71).

S&P 500:

  • -2.69% (-155.63 to 5,614.56).

  • It posted 25 new 52-week highs and 17 new lows

  • It is coming off of its biggest weekly percentage drop since September 2024.

  • Index closed below its 200-day moving average, for the first time since November 2023.

Nasdaq:

  • -4.00% (-727.90 to 17,468.32).

  • Tech index recorded 32 new highs and 290 new lows.

  • Index dipped more than -10% below its record closing high touched on 9 Dec 2025, confirming that it has been in a correction since then.

Top 3 Worst Sectors.

Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, the 3 worst on Monday were: (see above)

  • Technology (XLK), falling by -4.25%.

  • Consumer discretionary (XLY), falling by -3.57%.

  • Comm services (XLC), falling by -2.49%.

Other Catalysts In The Play.

As if the tariffs woes are not enough, there are other catalysts at play this week that may further weaken market sentiments, especially the last catalyst:

(a) Counter-retaliation full swing.

  • China's retaliatory tariffs on select US imports are set to take effect on Mon, 10 Mar 2025.

(b) Further escalation.

  • US tariffs on certain base metals are anticipated later in the week.

(c) Cheap credit.

  • Tech stocks experienced a downturn (a) due to a strengthening Japanese yen and (b) rising government bond yields.

  • Investors are reversing "carry trades" - a practice where they borrowed low-cost yen to invest in higher-yielding assets.

  • This reversal is pulling money out of tech stocks, particularly the "Magnificent 7", that had attracted significant investment from these trades.

  • In essence, the financial shifts in Japan, specifically the changes in bond yields, are directly impacting the performance of the US tech market, as flow of investment reverses.

Does this imply that there’s more room for consolidation in the near term ? It is worrying !

Magnificent 7 Tumble.

Quick look at Magnificent 7’s Monday performances (in descending order) seemed to align with above analysis.

(1) $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$.

No guessing required on which Mag 7 stock has been hit the hardest, in the current maelstrom.

  • It led the losses, plunging over -15.43%, effectively erasing all its post-election gains.

  • The decline was driven by tariffs, economic concerns, and potential consumer backlash against Elon Musk's political activities.

  • Further downside expected as these headwinds remain gale-force.

(2) $NVIDIA(NVDA)$.

Nvidia dropped around -5.07%, reflecting moderated sales and earnings growth. Its stock price harked back to 9 Sep 2024 level, less all the gains since.

  • Concerns over potential US export restrictions on AI hardware to China continue to weigh on the stock.

  • Its future performance could face pressure if these geopolitical risks materialize.

(3) $Apple(AAPL)$

On Monday, Apple also declined by -4.85%.

  • The company faces challenges from slowing global demand and high valuation concerns, which could limit near-term upside

(4) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$.

Meta fell by -4.42%, amid broader market recession fears.

  • With a slowdown in earnings growth expected for Q1 2025, further declines may occur unless advertising revenue rebounds significantly.

(5) $Alphabet(GOOG)$ :

Alphabet saw a drop of -4.41%.

  • While its fundamentals remain strong, decelerating growth in digital advertising may pose risks going forward.

  • Not forgetting its latest headache of being “forced” by the Department of Justice to sell and spin off its Chrome browser and then some more ? (see above)

  • Will Google’s CEO Sundar Pichai request “payback” from Trump for the $1 million donation to the latter’s inauguration fund back in January 2025 ?

(6) Microsoft (MSFT):

Microsoft declined approximately -3.34%.

  • Despite its robust fundamentals, slower earnings growth compared to peers might weigh on its stock price in the near term.

  • The last time MSFT was at the $380 level was backed on 12 Jan 2024.

(7) Amazon (AMZN):

Amazon slid about -2.36%, reflecting broader market weakness.

  • Its strong cloud business could provide some resilience in the medium term.

In the near term, AI investments alone are unlikely to stop a recession if US economy keeps worsening—will Scott Bessent and Howard Lutnick still deny this reality?

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  • Do you think a recession assault is imminent ?

  • Do you think the Magnificent 7 will dip further from this week onwards?

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Comment16

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  • Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs.
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    • JC888
      Hi, thanks for reading my post and liking it. 
      03-25
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  • Merle Ted
    ·03-12
    TOP
    CPI tomorrow will likely be milder than predicted and hopefully boost the market.
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    • JC888
      Hi, thanks for reading my post and sharing your views.  If Wall Street analysts are accurate, February 2025 CPI should come in "marginally" cooler than January's data.  (see attached data that I have compiled).  If they are accurate this time, things might look up for the next 2 days.. Otherwise it will be another day of red splashed across all 3 boards.

      Tigers if you are reading this, Repost to share so that more will know. Like to encourage ok. Thanks
      03-12
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  • Enid Bertha
    ·03-12
    TOP
    Apple is a solid company. They’re not going anywhere buy the dips you’ll be glad you did.
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    • JC888
      Hi,
      Thanks for reading my post and sharing your tips.
      Totally agree on $Apple(AAPL)$ pedigree status...
      03-25
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  • Esther_Ryan
    ·03-12
    TOP
    The Mag7 tumble is bound to catch the eyes of many! Thanks for sharing.
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    • JC888
      Hi, thanks for reading my post and sharing your views.  With a temp rebounce on Mon, 24 Mar 2025 - overall Magnificent 7 stocks are still in a "confused" state and "directionless" (see attached).

      Except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ that have recovered a bit of the lost grounds...

      The rest of the Magnificent 7, have better react "positively" so that we could decide for them to further consolidate or buy current dip ?
      03-25
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  • Twelve_E
    ·03-12
    thanks for sharings
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    • JC888
      Hi, thanks for reading my post and your unwavering support.  Appreciate it very much...
      03-25
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  • Tough times ahead
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    • JC888
      Hi, thanks for reading my post. Indeed, it will be a bumpy US market ride from now onwards...especially the ripple effects US tariffs is causing...
      03-18
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  • JC888
    ·03-11
    Hi, tks for reading my post. I make time to write & share.
    Pls "Re-post" so that more get to know. Tks! Rating is important (to me).
    Consider "Follow me" and get first hand read of my Daily new posts? Thanks!). Tks!!
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  • JackQuant
    ·03-12
    get rekt in $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , hard times…[Smug][Sigh]
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  • Xxx

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    • JC888
      Hi, thanks for reading my post.  Your "Xxx" comment - does it mean you liked what you have read ?  Hope so, fingers crossed !
      03-25
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