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$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ š¤š„š° Nvidia ($NVDA): 45% Off, 100% Dominant, Will You Catch the AI Reversal or Let It Slip? š°š„š¤ I didnāt buy the dip, but Iām eyeing Nvidia ($NVDA) like a quantum hawk locked on prey. This isnāt a tech tremor, itās the AI economyās cash-flow titan trading at fire-sale multiples. As of 8 April 2025, 07:12 AM NZST, $NVDAās at $96.803, up +2.64% intraday after plunging to $86.696 from a $94.31 close, a 7% overnight gut punch turned rebound. This is no ordinary pullback, itās a valuation reset on the future. Valuation: The PEG Playbook Nvidiaās PEG is 0.60x, a fundamental beacon. If it hits Street estimates of $138.4B net income by 2027, thatās a 36.5% CAGR locked and loaded. The maths: ⢠1x PEG: $208 per share, ⢠1.5x PEG: $289, a fair crown for the AI king. This isnāt hype, itās extrapolation from a cash-generating machine. At a 32x P/E, matching 2022ās $13/share earnings, todayās Nvidia is a galactic leap forward, priced like a relic. With ~$100B in 2025 free cash flow on deck, this isnāt a memecoin, itās fiscal bedrock. Technicals: A Loaded Setup The chartās a pressure cooker: ⢠Lower Bollinger Band breached, statistical edge, ⢠RSI oversold, reversion primed, ⢠Island reversal candle, volume-backed, sellers fading, ⢠MACD at -10.19, momentumās bruised but stirring, ⢠ARBR(26): AR 93.84, BR 71.60, buyers lurking, reversal-aligned. August 2024 saw a Bollinger bounce (green arrow), todayās slide (red arrow) flags caution. Historyās brutal, 55% to 60% of gains wiped in past bears. Technicals say no deviation, yet the $86.696 to $96.803 snapback, amid $SPY ($501.677), $QQQ ($421.743), and $SMH ($183.367) flickers, hints at fight. The Short Squeeze Trigger Short interest: 75.06M shares, Short volume: 60.05M, Ratio: 11.28%, Float shorted: 17.35%, Thatās a coiled spring. If this holds, the unwind could erupt, no FOMO needed, just mechanics. Analysts Weigh In The Streetās emphatic: ⢠š¢ 36% Strong Buy ⢠š¢ 56% Buy ⢠š” 8% Hold ⢠š“ 0% Sell (64 analysts, TradingView, Yahoo Finance) Targets: ⢠Average: $171.78 ⢠High: $235.92 ⢠Low: $120.00 ⢠Historical upside: +45.22% Fundamentals: Cash Is King $100B in 2025 free cash flow isnāt growth, itās dominance. At $85 overnight (vs. $145 months ago), the market handed you a 45% discount on infrastructure, not speculation. This is Nvidia, one of the worldās pivotal firms. Pelosiās Crew: Elite Solidarity Retailās reeling, but the sharp money holds: Pelosiās portfolio, $NVDA, $PANW ($151.664), $GOOGL ($145.988), $AMZN ($173.843), $CRWD ($322.292), $TEM ($42.508), $VST ($101.184), $AVGO ($152.517), $AAPL ($179.422), is bruised but unbowed. If theyāre in, why arenāt you? š Levels to Lock ⢠Support: $86.63, tested and held, ⢠Resistance: $114.37, then $138.40, breakout gates, ⢠VMAs: VMA1 $110.07, VMA2 $120.72, VMA3 $129.51, VMA4 $106.61, VMA5 $67.43, mean reversionās map. š§ Contrarian Edge 2022 redux? Hardly. AI monetisation, sovereign demand, hyperscaler sprawl, and enterprise lock-in make this infrastructure, not froth. The dipās a gift, the reversalās a signal. ā ļø Risks on Radar ⢠AI saturation by Q3 2025, ⢠Hyperscaler demand lag, ⢠High-beta tech rotation. The Traderās Call At a 45% discount, with PEG dislocation, $100B cash flow, and a short fuse primed, is this a reset, or a once-in-a-cycle entry? $TSLA ($229.208 from $252), $PLTR ($76.277 from $82) dipped too, if you didnāt scalp at 50% off, you missed the heist. $NVDAās $85 was a steal, $96.803 is still gold. š¢ Stay sharp. Follow for setups that pierce noise, trends that shift tides, and alpha that stacks wins. Iām relentless, letās outsmart the game together. Trade like a boss. Thrive like a titan. Happy trading ahead.Cheers, BC ššššš @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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