[Events] What’s the hardest thing to predict in the stock market? Policy, sentiment, or technicals?

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TigerEvents
04-11

We all know trading isn’t easy. But what’s the hardest part? Sometimes it’s a surprise policy move that sends everything spinning. Other times, it’s investor sentiment shifting on a dime.

Today is Friday, we would like to invite you to join the discussion👉“ What do YOU think is the hardest thing to predict in the market — policy, sentiment, or technicals?” And more importantly, why?

💬 How to Join:

  • Repost this thread and tag at least one friend to join the conversation.

  • Comment below with your take — what's the most unpredictable part of the market, and why?

🗓️ Event Duration:

  • April 11 – April 17, 2025

🎁 Prizes:

  • Participation: Everyone who comments gets 5 Tiger Coins. Repost and tag a friend to earn 5 more.

  • Most Liked Comment: Wins a $5 stock voucher.

  • Lucky Draw: One random participant will win $5 stock voucher. $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$

# Are You Feeling Fear or Greed Right Now?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • Spiders
    ·04-13
    TOP
    One of the hardest things about the stock market is predicting how investors will react. It’s not always logical — sometimes a stock beats earnings and stock price drops, other times it misses and rallies. Markets don’t just move on data; they move on expectations, sentiment etc. That unpredictability is exactly why I stay cautious — even good news don’t always mean stocks will rally.
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  • Rainy777
    ·04-13
    TOP
    Sentiment. Companies like Tesla have huge valuations on the hope of robots years in the future. Its a massive bubble but all owners of Tesla are convinced it's going to be huge.
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  • John_Chew
    ·04-12
    TOP
    In my opinion, it's the votality of the market that makes stock become valuable or overpriced at certain timing.

    As the wise man says - Be greedy when others are in fear, be afraid when others are greedy... [Cool]

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  • shirleylll204
    ·04-12
    TOP
    definitely policy, especially from someone unpredictable and dont give a hoot about the impacts to people.
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  • MHh
    ·04-12
    TOP
    The hardest thing to predict is policy. Sentiment usually follow policies, inflation and earnings reports. Traders use technicals because there is some form of predictability. Policy is unexpected and unpredictable. We only know when it is announced eg chips act, tariffs, retaliation by other countries, new trade agreement are beyond the control of us.
    @Fenger1188 @SPOT_ON @rL @Kaixiang @Success88 @DiAngel @Wayneqq @HelenJanet @Universe宇宙 @KYHBKO come join
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  • jislandfund
    ·04-12
    TOP
    others traders reactions. seemingly good opportunity are trashed in a chase for short term wins.
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    • koolgal: 
      Well said😍😍😍
      04-14
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  • 爱喝水的小猫猫
    ·04-11
    TOP
    The hardest thing to predict in the stock market is definitely has to be policy!! Earlier on the China market were beaten down by China govt policy and most say try to avoid China… ! What now? A single person’s policy in tariff (and his mood) sends the market into wild swing! Can even move it to a bear market! Omg who would have thought of this???
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  • 7asht7
    ·04-11
    TOP
    Sentiments, politics then technicals in this order. the 1st is intangible, the second is intentional while only technicals are factual.
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  • ECLC
    ·04-11
    TOP
    This April showed that the hardest thing to predict is policy -> "tariffied" stock price swings within hours.
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  • princejumong
    ·04-11
    TOP
    hardest thing to predict is the market reaction to a certain news, quarterly result. one day result beat expectation but shares is down, another day beat expectation price goes up.

    Trump Tarrif outcome after pause is also another thing hard to predict.

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  • Azmm
    ·04-11
    TOP
    The hardest to predict is what big economies, companies and institutions do to affect the market! Something we do feel that there are some form of manipulation taking place.
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  • mintmochi
    ·04-11
    TOP
    The hardest thing to predict is Donald Trump’s next move. He is the definition of real life entropy and the market reacts to each of his action.
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  • Bonta
    ·04-11
    TOP
    Greed and fear. Stocks that are bleeding money, just cos someone sell a story, it rallies. Stocks that makes money, cos of fear mongering drops in values. We do not know the agenda of those who push the buying or selling, but somebody is profiting from it. Similar to crypto, people are sold on a story that’s based on greed. Suddenly, there’s value in nothingness. Greed and fear over rides logic, fundamentals or any technicals.
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  • mster
    ·04-11
    TOP
    The hardest to predict is when one person makes the call to play the market. One will never know (beside the inner circle of course) where the market can be heading. When the market becomes just a switch, the person can so easily switch it on or of. How to predict that. This should be illegal and prosecuted Don’t you think so @ZEROHERO
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  • Alubin
    ·04-11
    TOP
    Hardest would be policy, as you never know or can never really confirm those in power and what they will do. just see the recent flip flop and drastic policy changes by the US


    @koolgal @Fenger1188
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  • ICEsh00ter
    ·04-11
    TOP
    Donald Trump's roti prata policy
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  • Shyon
    ·04-11
    TOP
    To me, the stock market is like dating someone wildly unpredictable—full of mixed signals, sudden mood swings, and just when you think you’ve figured it out, everything changes. Policies are like overprotective parents barging in—one tariff tweet and global markets freeze. Market sentiment? More like a flaky ex: sweet one day, gone the next. And technical analysis? It's like reading between the lines of vague social media posts—you think it means something… until it doesn’t.

    I’d say emotion is the hardest to predict. When sentiment shifts, fundamentals and charts don’t stand a chance. One dramatic headline and the whole market panic-sells before lunch. Analysts are still drawing support lines while prices are already 10% down. It’s chaos & trying to stay logical in the middle of it is a serious mental game.

    My current mindset is: Don’t predict—follow. Don’t chase—prepare. Don’t panic—stay disciplined. Emotional control is the real edge in this market.
    @TigerEvents @Tiger_comments

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    • koolgal: 
      Thanks for sharing your insights 🥰🥰🥰
      04-11
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    • BarcodeReplying toShyon: 
      Cheers for the 🏷️ Shyon [Heart][Strong][ShakeHands]🩵🍀🍀🍀
      04-11
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    • icycrystalReplying toShyon: 
      [Like] [ShakeHands]
      04-11
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  • icycrystal
    ·04-11
    TOP
    @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @koolgal @LMSunshine @GoodLife99 @rL @HelenJanet @Universe宇宙

    both, policy and investors' sentiment... market always goes up and down, always swings left and right...

    what’s the hardest part? Sometimes it’s a surprise policy move that sends everything spinning. Other times, it’s investor sentiment shifting on a dime.

    What do YOU think is the hardest thing to predict in the market — policy, sentiment, or technicals?” And more importantly, why?

    comments gets 5 Tiger Coins. Repost and tag a friend to earn 5 more.

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  • nomadic_m
    ·04-11
    TOP
    Severe weather events and natural disasters are the most unpredictable variables in the stock market. Despite advancements in forecasting technology, their impact is often sudden and unexpected, disrupting supply chains, affecting commodity prices, and influencing investor sentiment. To navigate these risks, traders must stay informed about global weather patterns and natural disaster risks, and be prepared to adapt their strategies quickly in response to changing market conditions.

    @icycrystal

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    • koolgalReplying tonomadic_m: 
      You too. 🥰🥰🥰
      04-12
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    • nomadic_mReplying tokoolgal: 
      have lovely weekend 🍁🍂
      04-12
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    • koolgal: 
      Thanks for sharing your insights 🥰🥰🥰
      04-11
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  • Aqa
    ·04-11
    TOP
    Investing in the stock market involves paying close attention to all government policies, market sentiment, and technical analysis. To make money from our stock investment, we need to learn the correct stock investment knowledge and establish a good mindset. Policies are so difficult to predict with a radical head of policy maker around. Market sentiment and technicals added in to complicate the stock markets prediction. We should not let neither fear nor greed take over us in the present market. Invest diligently and do all due diligence before each trade. Good luck to all my Tiger friends. Thanks @TigerEvents @icycrystal
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