To The Moon

Tesla shares surged over 5% after-hours despite missing Q1 expectations, posting adjusted earnings of 27 cents per share on $19.34B in revenue—well below analysts’ estimates. During the earnings call, Elon Musk revealed he’ll scale back his involvement with DOGE starting in May to refocus on Tesla.

Could this signal a turning point?

Is Musk’s return the boost Tesla needs?

What’s your price target for TSLA?

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Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @ToNi:

Key Points:

Technicals: A Rebound in the Making

The daily chart tells a story of resilience. Tesla’s stock had plummeted from a 2025 peak of $359.85 to a low of $214.25, but the April 22 rally signals momentum. At $237.97, the stock is still below its short-term moving averages (MA5: $240.50, MA10: $245.36), but it’s broken through the key support at $248.40 and is eyeing the next resistance at $304.12. If it can hold above the moving averages, Tesla might just be setting the stage for a stronger rally, marking the start of this new chapter.

Fundamentals: Challenges Meet Bright Spots

Tesla’s Q1 earnings showed revenue of $193.4 billion, down 9.2% year-over-year and missing Wall Street’s $213.7 billion estimate. Earnings per share came in at $0.12, a 71% drop, also below the expected $0.33. Deliveries were 336,700 vehicles, down 13% from last year, reflecting tougher competition and brand headwinds. On the flip side, Tesla’s energy storage business stole the show, with deployments hitting 10.4 GWh, up 157% year-over-year, offering a bright spot for this new chapter.

Musk’s Comeback: The Heart of the New Chapter

Musk dropped a bombshell during the earnings call, announcing he’s scaling back his time with Trump’s “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE) starting next month, limiting it to just a day or two a week “as long as it’s useful and Trump wants me to keep going.” He made it clear: DOGE’s main work is done, and it’s time to get back to Tesla. This move directly addresses investor concerns about Musk’s political involvement hurting Tesla’s brand. According to Electrify Research, Tesla’s brand appeal has slipped from the most popular EV brand in 2023 to seventh place by January 2025, partly due to backlash from Musk’s political stances. His refocus on Tesla has investors buzzing, seeing it as the dawn of a new chapter for the company.

Musk also doubled down on autonomous driving, saying Tesla plans to roll out its first unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) service in Austin by June 2025, stressing that safety standards need to be “extremely high” . He added that the Robotaxi (Cybercab) project is moving forward, though he didn’t nail down a timeline. These updates paint a vision of an AI-driven future, fueling excitement for Tesla’s new chapter.

2. @HiddenDragon:

Key Points:

Good luck everyone, up then down.

3. @Binni Ong :

Key Points:

Earnings Update (22 Apr 2025) Tesla reported Q1 earnings yesterday. Market reacted positively intraday, but the price remains below the resistance of the moving average (around USD 280).

Price Action

Currently trading at USD 237.97, up +4.6% post-earnings.

Still below the red shaded moving average resistance, which has capped recent rebound attempts.

Key Support & Resistance Levels

• Short-term support at USD 215

1. This level has been tested multiple times since late 2023.

2. A breakdown below 215 may signal weakness and open potential downside toward long-term support.

• Long-term channel support: USD 160–170

1. Aligns with a broader ascending channel from 2022.

Trading Implication

• If TSLA holds above 215, short-term rebound possible.

• If it breaks below 215, it may accelerate toward the 160–170 support zone.

4. @Loyster:

Key Points:

He said robotaxi will move the financial needle.

This is what will happen in real life.

1. Start off by burning money to gain market shares

2. Robotaxis vandalised like the US subway

3. interior will end up being so dirty and stink so badly no one bother to take it anymore

4. fake incidents/accidents created to sue Tesla for compensation

5. @Aaronykc:

Key Points:

Just as I expected Tesla’s Q1 2025 earnings report revealed significant challenges, with net income plunging 71% year-over-year to $409 million and revenue declining 9% to $19.3 billion, missing analyst expectations. The company’s automotive revenue fell 20%, attributed to declining vehicle sales, reduced prices, and increased competition, particularly from Chinese and European manufacturers. Yet stock price increases. It's all about robotaxis 

6. @Reglloyd:

Key Points:

Stay focused, don't be distracted by all the noise. This Tesla Ecosystem will be huge once fully developed & deployed, it takes time achieving synergy when the business has so many tentacles to it.

To become the leader in the race of AI you will experience Delayed deployment, tariffs being but one of these delays.... your Competitors are indeed being affected too.

Ponder for just a moment on the following points & ask yourself this question... are any of my competitors on par & or doing the same at this very moment Like...

Integrating & Deploying AI into their products .

1. Grok deployment into Tesla vehicles.

2.Bullding a 100 000 cpu/gpu's in 92 days.

3.Optimus deployment & their AI capabilities.

4.FSD autonomy. ( AI @ next level ).

5.Dojo supercomputer - own in-house design, no longer relying on a 3rd party providing these supercomputers at a premium. Margins are improved 10 fold.

6.Charging stations - your competitors pay you for this service.

7.Starlink- the internet connection for all your AI requirements including video Data for the required FSD training.

8. Own proprietary cell technology- Energy.

9.Semi

10. Giga factories with Giga presses & how Optimus would play a role in manufacturing & production line deployment.

11.Cybercab

12.RoboTaxi deployment and their competitors like Waymo & Uber & Google & Amazon.

13. Tesla being the leaders in AI technology period.

Tariffs , Doge & the world as we know it has suddenly placed enormous pressures on Industries not to mention Quarterly results.

7. @WealthBuilder:

Key Points:

What a pity, Musk was doing a great job at DOGE with chainsaw and I would love to seehim continue the great work , perhaps with Bulldozer on the stage next time , that would make Tesla great again. He should not stop ....

Questions for you:

Could this signal a turning point?

Is Musk’s return the boost Tesla needs?

What’s your price target for TSLA?

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⏰Duration

• 30 April (24pm EDT)