To The Moon

Riding the Long-Term Wave: My DCA Journey with Palantir (PLTR)

PLTR has long been a polarizing stock—beloved by some for its futuristic potential and dismissed by others as overhyped. For me, it has always represented a compelling long-term opportunity. I began Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) into PLTR during periods of market uncertainty and weakness, and that strategy has paid off by giving me a strong, low-cost position in a company I continue to believe in.

Why I Chose PLTR for DCA

Palantir stood out for several reasons. First, it offers exposure to the growing demand for data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI), especially in sectors like defense, government, and enterprise software. Despite its complex business model and lumpy earnings, the underlying vision and long-term contracts provide a sense of durability and stickiness in its revenue.

More importantly, I believed—and still do—that the market was significantly underestimating Palantir's potential to scale its commercial business. During the company's troughs, when sentiment was bearish and price action weak, I saw opportunity. Through DCA, I gradually built my position at favorable valuations, significantly lowering my average cost over time.

Current Position and Viewpoint

Thanks to this disciplined approach, my average cost is quite low compared to today's market price. While this gives me a margin of safety and room for profit, I no longer see current levels as an attractive entry point for fresh capital.

At current valuations, the stock has baked in a great deal of optimism. For new investors, this creates an unfavorable risk-reward balance. Any slight earnings miss or macro headwind could spark a sharp correction. Thus, while I remain bullish, I don't advocate opening a new position at these levels unless there's a meaningful pullback.

The Road Ahead for Palantir

Looking forward, I see strong tailwinds that could drive PLTR's growth:

# AI integration: The rise of generative AI and machine learning puts Palantir in a prime spot. Its platforms like Foundry and Gotham are increasingly being adopted for mission-critical decision-making, and the company is now investing in building LLM-native platforms.

# Commercial Expansion: Though government contracts have historically dominated its revenue, the commercial segment—particularly in healthcare, manufacturing, and energy—is starting to see traction. If this scales meaningfully, it could diversify and stabilize revenues.

# Global Reach: As geopolitical tensions persist, demand for Palantir's technology in defense and national security is likely to remain robust across allies worldwide.

Final Thoughts

My PLTR investment has always been a long-term conviction play. DCA allowed me to take the emotion out of timing the market and gradually build a solid foundation. Today, I'm holding—not adding. While the stock may continue to surge, I prefer to wait for a more attractive entry point before committing further funds. For now, I'm letting my gains compound and watching closely as Palantir navigates its next growth phase.

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