Singapore Firms Show Cautious Business Expansion Optimism Amid Economic Concerns【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】
【SRT】
SRT’s gains during the week were led by industrial, retail and hotel by subsector and FLT, MLT, and CLAR by individual REIT. CLAR gained on its 4.1x subscribed private placement which will fund acquisitions of 2 Singapore prime assets to expand its tech portfolio. The deals aim to capitalize on global tech and digitalization trends and diversify its client base.
$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 WTD Total Return: +1.29%
【MMF】
No surprise from FOMC May meeting minutes as it reinforced a wait-and-see approach, citing policy uncertainty and risks to both sides of Fed's dual mandate. Market priced in ~45bp rate cuts for 2025, in line with Fed’s March dot plot. Initial jobless claims rose 14k to 240k (consensus: 230k), increasing the risk of unemployment rate hitting 4.3% when May employment data is released next Friday.
US trade policy continues to remain uncertain. A US court blocked Trump-era global tariffs but a federal appeals court later granted a temporary reinstatement of tariffs, thereby clouding the policy outlook.
Nevertheless, we expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 2025/05/30, the fund has a net yield at 4.08%. ^
$CSOP US Dollar Money Market ETF Unlisted Share Class P(HK0000503836)$Net 7-day Yield: +4.08%
^ 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.
【CN】
After RRR came into effect on 15 May, fixing averaged 1.64%, above HSBC’s expectations of 1.55-1.60%. This could be attributable to the larger-than-forecasted maturity of outright reverse repos, and significant government bond issuance in the last few weeks.
It remains challenging to predict June’s liquidity conditions given the seasonal surge in banks’ liquidity demand. As such, 7-day fixing could average 1.65%-1.75% in June. Furthermore, given no positive US-China trade relations developments, China’s rates are postulated to see declining trend.
Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/05/30, $ICBC CSOP CGB ETF SGD(CYC.SI)$ / $ICBC CSOP CGB ETF US$D(CYB.SI)$’s NAV gained +0.19% in CNY and gained +1.63% in USD*.
* CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error
Global Market Outlook
【SG】Singapore Firms Show Cautious Business Expansion Optimism Amid Economic Concerns
According to the Singapore Business Federation (SBF) survey, 40% of respondents anticipate a weaker economy in the next 12 months. Despite the overall cautious sentiments, the business expansion outlook stayed moderate at 61.6, suggesting optimism for growth.
【US】Upcoming May Jobs Data Critical for Front-End Pricing Though Broader Market Impact Likely Muted
Upcoming May unemployment and nonfarm payrolls data will be important data points. Downturn could result in some front-end repricing but overall impact to be minimal unless a string of such releases is observed.
Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, HSBC, The Business Times as of 2025/05/30, except where otherwise stated.
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SRT
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