To The Moon

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a previous index of 52.0. This

Choppy and sideways. Might sit out this month

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter

Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The market is hopeful of a manufacturing r

Last Week’s Performance. Last week (June 02 - 06), US stocks were influenced by a strong jobs report, that helped markets close on a high note. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw pressure earlier in the week, but positive labour data and easing trade tensions led to a rebound, with stocks edging toward record levels by Fri, 06 Jun 2025. (see below) The major composite index’s performance for the week: DJIA was up +1.33% (+562.93 to 42,762.87). S&P 500 was up +1.76 (+103.68 to 6,000.36). Nasdaq was up +2.45% (+466.89 to 19,529.95). A New Wind Is Blowing ! For this week (June 9 - 13), US market attention now turns to US inflation data. Economists and traders are closely watching for the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wed, 11 Jun 2025, that will be critical

My Investing Muse (09Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news Nearly 160 companies will be laying off employees throughout the month of June, exceeding the approximately 130 companies that did so in May. The layoffs will affect multiple industries, including retail, pharmaceutical, food and beverage, airlines, package delivery and more. Layoffs in the workforce vary by company, with some laying off between one and 25 employees; other companies, like U.S. Cellular, have larger cuts planned. - NewsWeek Microsoft cuts hundreds of jobs after firing 6,000 in May - Bloomberg Walt Disney Co. launched another deep round of layoffs on Monday, notifying several hundred Disney employees in the U.S. and abroad that their jobs were being eliminated amid an increasingly difficult economic environment for tradi

Earnings Calendar (09Jun25) I am interested in the earnings releases of Adobe, Oracle, and GameStop. Let us look into Adobe Systems in detail. Adobe has a “Strong Buy” technical analysis recommendation. The Analyst’s sentiment is “Buy”. The price target is $488.02, which represents an upside of 17.05%. 10-year performance of Adobe: Revenue grew from $4,796M in 2015 to $21,505M in 2024, over 4x over 10 years. Growth: Revenue grew from $4,796M to $21,505M, with a 10-year CAGR of 17.9%. Growth rates varied, peaking at 24.7% in 2017 and slowing to 10.8% in 2024, showing consistent expansion. Operating Margin grew from 18.8% (2015) to 36.0% (2024). Trend: Operating margin improved significantly from 18.8% to 36.0%, with a notable rise from 25.5% in 2016 to a peak of 34.6% in 2022, reflecting en

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends:   The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market:   The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energ

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends: The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market: The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energy and Producer

The Great Brush Off. On Sun, 01 Jun 2025, in an interview on CBS - "Face the Nation", US Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent dismissed $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ CEO, Jamie Dimon's warning that “Rising national debt could cause a bond market crisis”. (see below) This happened after Dimon sounded alarm last week, cautioning America's (a) overspending during the pandemic and (b) Quantitative easing (QE) will lead to a 'crack in the bond market'. Bessent brushed off his fears, alleging Dimon had, throughout his 'entire career' issued stark predictions and 'none of them have come true'. That explained why Dimon is a banker; albeit a great one, as he always tries to look around the corner', said Bessent to 'Face the Nation’s host Margaret Brennan. Bessent arg

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   PCT: Shiller Ratio & May CAGR v1.0 : PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. Shiller Ratio = Google. May CAGR = Seeking Alpha. BTC. QQQ. S&P500. XAU.

I saw a chart that looked “interesting” and entered impulsively without a real thesis or stop loss. When it dipped, I had no framework for what to do, so I just hoped it would come back. It didn’t. That trade taught me that no entry should happen without a full plan. @deal2deal

After three green trades in a row, I went heavy on the next setup without waiting for confirmation. It reversed hard right after my entry, and I froze instead of cutting the loss. That single trade erased all my prior gains and reminded me that overconfidence is the silent killer. @AhGong

I followed a popular trader on social media into a complex options spread I didn’t fully understand. When it started moving against me, I panicked and closed it wrong, locking in unnecessary losses. Lesson: if you don’t fully understand the strategy, don’t trade it — no matter who’s doing it. @Frisbee

I went 5x long on a crypto token during a bull market thinking it would double. A 15% pullback wiped me out overnight while I slept. The coin later recovered, but my account didn’t. I learned the hard way that leverage doesn’t forgive timing mistakes. @luv2trade

I bought a breakout on a clean technical setup, convinced it was the real deal. Volume looked strong, but I didn’t wait for the close. It turned out to be a bull trap, and I got stopped out quickly. That taught me to stop rushing into trades without confirmation. @onlyYou

I jumped into a stock after a bullish headline hit Twitter — no research, no confirmation — just pure FOMO. It spiked for five minutes, then tanked just as fast. I lost 15% in less than an hour. I realized I was trading someone else’s excitement, not my own plan. @nickname168

I had just taken a loss on a trade I was sure would work — shorting a meme stock during the 2021 craze. I got squeezed out with a 25% loss. Instead of stepping away, I got angry. @deal2deal

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a previous index of 52.0. This

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a

Choppy and sideways. Might sit out this month

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The market is hopeful of a manufacturing r

The Great Brush Off. On Sun, 01 Jun 2025, in an interview on CBS - "Face the Nation", US Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent dismissed $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ CEO, Jamie Dimon's warning that “Rising national debt could cause a bond market crisis”. (see below) This happened after Dimon sounded alarm last week, cautioning America's (a) overspending during the pandemic and (b) Quantitative easing (QE) will lead to a 'crack in the bond market'. Bessent brushed off his fears, alleging Dimon had, throughout his 'entire career' issued stark predictions and 'none of them have come true'. That explained why Dimon is a banker; albeit a great one, as he always tries to look around the corner', said Bessent to 'Face the Nation’s host Margaret Brennan. Bessent arg

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends: The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market: The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energy and Producer

Last Week’s Performance. Last week (June 02 - 06), US stocks were influenced by a strong jobs report, that helped markets close on a high note. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw pressure earlier in the week, but positive labour data and easing trade tensions led to a rebound, with stocks edging toward record levels by Fri, 06 Jun 2025. (see below) The major composite index’s performance for the week: DJIA was up +1.33% (+562.93 to 42,762.87). S&P 500 was up +1.76 (+103.68 to 6,000.36). Nasdaq was up +2.45% (+466.89 to 19,529.95). A New Wind Is Blowing ! For this week (June 9 - 13), US market attention now turns to US inflation data. Economists and traders are closely watching for the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wed, 11 Jun 2025, that will be critical

$Uber(UBER)$ $QUANTUM CORP(QMCO)$ $NANO Nuclear Energy Inc(NNE)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🎯📊🚀 Precision Trading: How Uber Fueled My May Success and Outpaced the Market 🚀📊🎯 When the S&P 500 posted a 6.16% gain in May, its most robust monthly performance of 2024, I didn’t merely follow the tide, I channeled it with purpose. My strategy hinged on a singular focus: Uber Technologies Inc. ($UBER). Through five calculated swing trades, I turned market momentum into a personal win, achieving a strong 12.09% return for the month, as confirmed by my trading dashboard. This wasn’t a fluke or a passive ride, it was a deliberate, precision

My Investing Muse (09Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news Nearly 160 companies will be laying off employees throughout the month of June, exceeding the approximately 130 companies that did so in May. The layoffs will affect multiple industries, including retail, pharmaceutical, food and beverage, airlines, package delivery and more. Layoffs in the workforce vary by company, with some laying off between one and 25 employees; other companies, like U.S. Cellular, have larger cuts planned. - NewsWeek Microsoft cuts hundreds of jobs after firing 6,000 in May - Bloomberg Walt Disney Co. launched another deep round of layoffs on Monday, notifying several hundred Disney employees in the U.S. and abroad that their jobs were being eliminated amid an increasingly difficult economic environment for tradi

Nike (NYSE: NKE) is one of the standout names on my watchlist this month. The company needs little introduction—it’s a global leader in athletic footwear, apparel, and equipment. With products ranging from performance shoes to lifestyle apparel, the brand has built strong consumer loyalty. Owning a pair of Nike shoes personally, the quality and durability speak for themselves. But while the brand remains strong, the stock performance has lagged. Nike has underperformed broader indices this year, reflecting both company-specific challenges and broader market pressures. Nike hasn’t had a great run this year. Last week, it closed at $60.59, trading closer to the bottom of its 52-week range of $52.28 to $98.04. That decline has made it more interesting as a potential value pick, especially if

🌟🌟🌟As the golden days of May yield to the promise of June's uncertain horizon, investors are often reminded of the age old maxim "Sell in May and Go Away".  This saying, echoing through market lore, cautions that the warmth of summer can bring its own set of challenges, often urging a pause, a moment to lock in gains and a temporary retreat from the bustle of trading. Yet within this well worn phase lies a perrenual debate : Is it wise to retreat and safeguard my profits, or should I embrace the evolving market narrative, trusting that the very challenges of May may conceal opportunities for long term growth? Fortunately for me, I did not heed the advice of "Sell in May and Go Away".  I have always believed that DBS, OCBC and UOB are the bedrock of the Singapore economy

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter

Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).

As of May 29, the S&P 500 is up 6.16%, marking its best month of 2025 so far. If you were riding the index, congrats — you probably made money in your sleep. My portfolio? It tripped on the first step. The Pain: TLT Didn’t Feel Like Participating in the Rally The main culprit? TLT, a.k.a. the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. It’s my largest holding. While the broader market was busy climbing, TLT was over here stressing about interest rates and inflation. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) The Bright Side: Some Wins (Thank You, TSLQ, AES, and SOXS) Thankfully, I wasn’t completely left behind. I managed to lock in realized gains in: TSLQ – Betting against Tesla when it was wobbling a bit paid off. Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF (TSLQ) AES – A nice swing trade in the utilities/re

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ May’s over, and what a ride it was! The S&P 500 soared 6.15%, its strongest monthly gain of 2025, clawing back from April’s brutal sell-off. If you rode that wave, congrats—your wallet’s probably a little fatter. But now, June looms, and the big question is: Will the market keep climbing, or is it time for a breather? With the "Sell in May and go away" saying buzzing around, historical trends whispering caution, and last year’s defiance in the rearview, let’s unpack what June might have in store—and whether you should hold tight or cash in. May’s Triumph: From Ashes to Gains April was a bloodbath—5.75% wiped off the S&P 500 amid tariff fears and economic wobbles. Then came May, a phoenix rising with a 6.15% surge, flipp

May has been... well, a disaster for me. While everyone else is out there celebrating green candles and new highs, I'm over here trying to convince myself that red is just another shade of green if you squint hard enough. Here's what I do when my portfolio is down: 1. The Magical Eye Icon: Out of Sight, Out of Mind The first thing I do is press that little eye icon in the app that hides my portfolio. Boom! Instant peace. It turns all my painful red positions into beautiful, meaningless asterisks. It's like putting a blanket over a ghost — technically, the problem's still there, but emotionally? Gone. Also, this is a selective operation: I hide the red positions. The green ones? I let them glow. Those stay visible. It's important to maintain morale. 2. Pretending I'm a Long-Term Visionary W

A Bullish Outlook for the S&P 500 in June 2025 As we step into June 2025, the financial markets are buzzing with anticipation following a remarkable 6.15% surge in the S&P 500 during May, marking it as the best-performing month of the year so far. This impressive rally, coming on the heels of April’s sell-off, has reignited optimism among investors and sparked debates about the relevance of the old adage, “Sell in May and go away.” Historically, June has not been a standout month for the S&P 500, with data since 1980 showing it has never been the top-performing month of the year. However, I am bullish on the S&P 500 for June 2025, and here’s why. The Momentum Carries Forward The 6.15% gain in May is a strong signal of underlying market strength. This surge suggests that inv

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ May was a wild ride for the S&P 500, rocketing up 6.16% by May 29—its juiciest monthly gain of the year. After April’s brutal sell-off, this surge was a sweet rebound. If you were in the game, chances are your portfolio’s looking greener. But now what? The old saying “Sell in May and go away” is whispering in your ear, yet last year the market laughed it off and kept climbing. June, though? It’s got a shaky rep—never the year’s peak since 1980. So, are you banking profits or betting on more? Let’s dig into the dirt. May’s Big Win: Did You Score? A 6.16% climb in a month is no small potatoes—it’s the S&P 500’s best showing this year. Coming off April’s slump, this rally was a lifeline for investors. If you held broad ind

【SRT】 SRT’s gains during the week were led by industrial, retail and hotel by subsector and FLT, MLT, and CLAR by individual REIT. CLAR gained on its 4.1x subscribed private placement which will fund acquisitions of 2 Singapore prime assets to expand its tech portfolio. The deals aim to capitalize on global tech and digitalization trends and diversify its client base. $CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 WTD Total Return: +1.29% 【MMF】 No surprise from FOMC May meeting minutes as it reinforced a wait-and-see approach, citing policy uncertainty and risks to both sides of Fed's dual mandate. Market priced in ~45bp rate cuts for 2025, in line with Fed’s March dot plot. Initial jobless claims rose 14k to 240k (consensus: 230k), increasing the risk o

S&P 500 Soars in May: Why June Could Defy the Odds The S&P 500’s remarkable 6.16% gain in May 2025, as reported on May 29, has marked the best monthly performance of the year so far, igniting optimism among investors. This rally, following a sell-off in April, underscores the resilience of the U.S. stock market and sets the stage for a potentially bullish June. Despite historical patterns suggesting a weaker June, several factors indicate that the market could defy seasonal trends and continue its upward trajectory, making a compelling case for a “buy and hold” strategy. May’s surge in the S&P 500 reflects a combination of strong corporate earnings, renewed investor confidence, and macroeconomic tailwinds. Companies like Nvidia, which reported a stellar $44.1 billion in first-q