To The Moon

$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$  

$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  

$Lockheed Martin(LMT)$  

Trader alert — today will be a pivotal day driven by central bank transparency, geopolitical volatility, and key tech earnings.

Let's dive into what matters — and what you can trade.

🗓️ Key Catalysts to Watch

1. Fed Minutes (recording of the June 17–18 meeting)

A more hawkish or inflation-concerned tone could weigh on SPY/QQQ.

Neutral/dovish language would bolster rate-cut expectations and likely lift stocks.

2. Middle East Headlines

Any uptick in Israel–Iran confrontation may lift energy and defense names — but spike VIX and pressure growth stocks.

3. Intel (INTC) Q2 Report After Open

Positive guidance = market relief.

Weak demand amid PC slowdowns could drag down semis and broader tech.

📊 Tactical Agenda by Index

SPY (S&P 500)

Long trade: Dip in risk-on assets → consider call spread into afternoon, especially if Fed minutes are dovish.

Hedge: Use low-volatility put spreads if minutes sound hawkish.

QQQ (Nasdaq-100)

Pre-earnings: Consider protective puts to safeguard against an earnings miss by Intel.

Post-earnings: If guidance surprises positively, a call butterfly could play tech momentum.

Dow (DIA)

Pivot to defense/capex names like $LMT, $BA if geopolitical risk increases.

Watch IYT (transportation) for signs of economic optimism or risk-off behavior.

🔍 Sector & Stock Trade Ideas

Energy (XLE): Long on risk-off and oil popping above $90.

Semiconductors (SMH or SMCI): Trade dips post-Intel miss — buy call spreads on oversold reactions.

Defense: $LMT, $RTX — consider long equities or call spreads if Middle East tension resurfaces.

🎯 My Game Plan

1. Monitor early headlines on Fed minutes — act quickly.

2. Watch Intel's earnings: buy puts before if expectations high.

3. Set alerts for energy and defense moves: volatility can return fast.

4. Maintain 30–40% cash — liquidity allows fast reaction to surprise data.

🧭 Trading Compass

There's no one-size-fits-all in today's market. II's about reading tones, reacting quickly, and positioning smartly.

Eyes on the wording of Fed minutes, the tone of Intel's earnings, and the pulse of geopolitical headlines.

Expect choppy action with quick rotations. Be prepared, not surprised.

#SPY #QQQ #DIA #Intel #FedMinutes #EnergyTrade #Defense #TigerTrade

I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!