📰 June 20 Market Playbook: Iran Escalates, Oil Surges, Trump Slams Powell & Triple Witching Day

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  

$Lockheed Martin(LMT)$  

$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ 

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ 

Markets enter Friday on high alert. The overnight missile strike by Iran on Israel has stirred global risk markets — oil is rallying, defense stocks are popping, and tech is taking a breather.

Meanwhile, Trump reignites pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, calling him "dumb" and “destructive”and even teasing that he might replace him after the election.

What does this mean for your trades today?

🔥 Key Drivers for Today

1. Iran-Israel Conflict

Safe havens and energy stocks in demand

QQQ could underperform amid geopolitical jitters

2. Oil Spike

WTI up nearly 5% intraday

Look to XLE, CVX, and XOM for momentum plays

3. Trump Attacks Powell

Political pressure on the Fed may add fuel to rate path speculation

Long-term bond volatility ahead — TLT, XLF worth monitoring

4. Triple Witching: Volatility Incoming?

Today also marks Triple Witching — the quarterly event when stock index futures, stock index options, and single-stock options all expire simultaneously. This convergence often fuels spikes in volume, volatility, and unpredictable intraday swings, especially into the final hour of trading. It's a day where algos and institutions rebalance — so tread carefully, especially if you're trading breakouts or fading moves.

🎯 Tactical Trade Setups

SPY (S&P 500 ETF)

📈 Bullish on dips if oil rally fades and safe-haven bids cool by midday

🔻 Hedge with short-term puts if escalation intensifies

QQQ (Nasdaq‑100 ETF)

⚠️ Vulnerable to high rates + geopolitical fears

🧠 Trade idea: Put spreads targeting semis, mega-cap tech

XLE (Energy ETF)

💥 Oil surge = upside breakout zone

🛢️ Long call spreads, especially if WTI holds above $88

LMT (Lockheed Martin)

🛡️ Defense bid on real-time conflict headlines

📦 Pair with tight call spreads to manage IV

🧠 What to Make of Trump vs Powell

Trump's aggressive tone toward the Fed won’t move markets today, but it sets the stage for long-term policy risk.

If markets believe PPowel's independence is threatened, it could shift yield curve expectations.

Tactical View:

Monitor TLT or EDV for bond volatility

Bank stocks like $JPM and $XLF benefit short-term from policy uncertainty

🗣️ Trump Quote:

“Jerome Powell is one of the dumbest and most destructive people I've ever seen... he cost us trillions.”

📌 Summary 

SPY Neutral to Bullish Buy dips if oil fades

QQQ Bearish Put spreads on tech weakness

XLE Bullish Long calls on breakout

LMT Bullish Defense rally continuation

TLT Neutral Optional hedge on Powell noise

🧭 Final Take

Volatility is here, and geopolitical events are in the driver's seat. Stay nimble, size positions defensively, and don't ignore how Trump's shadow over Powell could reshape the rate narrative into the election.

#SPY #QQQ #XLE #LMT #Oil #Fed #TrumpVsPowell #TigerTrade

I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!

# 💰 Stocks to watch today?(25 July)

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  • Mess0M
    ·06-20
    Incredible insights! Always on point! [Wow]
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  • Thanks for sharing.
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