Bears Take Action: $7 Million Bet on SPY Dropping to 600
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
There has been notable activity in long-dated bearish single-leg put options:
$SPY 20251121 500.0 PUT$ : 20,000 contracts opened, with a transaction value of approximately $7.6 million.
$SPY 20250829 600.0 PUT$ : 10,000 contracts opened, with a transaction value of around $7.6 million.
It’s highly likely that the same trader placed these two orders in separate trades — one betting on a long-term volatility surge, and the other on a near-term drop to 600.
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$
If all goes as expected, NVIDIA will likely continue fluctuating between 150 and 160 this week, with a high probability of closing near 155 on Friday. Based on this, I plan to execute a straddle:
Sell $NVDA 20250711 155.0 CALL$ + Sell $NVDA 20250711 155.0 PUT$ .
On the bearish side, there are single-leg put buyers:
$NVDA 20250919 138.0 PUT$ (expiring in September).
$NVDA 20251219 136.0 PUT$ (expiring in December).
This aligns with the overall pullback expectations.
At this level, a sell call + buy put strategy also looks appealing.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Take advantage of Tesla's rebound by selling calls:
Sell $TSLA 20250711 325.0 CALL$ .
On the bearish side, long-dated puts are concentrated around the 200 level.
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$
For a strangle strategy, the 170–240 range is worth considering.
Today’s Trading Plan
Today’s focus is primarily on selling calls:
A 155 straddle for NVIDIA (sell $NVDA 20250711 155.0 CALL$ + sell $NVDA 20250711 155.0 PUT$ ).
Considering the bearish SPY single-leg put orders, I also sold $TQQQ 20250718 86.0 CALL$ .
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