To The Moon

July 23, 2025, is a pivotal day for investors, with blockbuster Q2 earnings from Tesla and Alphabet, lingering momentum from last week’s “Crypto Week” legislation, and macroeconomic data shaping market dynamics. The Nasdaq’s historic break above 21,000 and the S&P 500’s steady hold at 6,263.26 reflect robust investor optimism, driven by tech and crypto strength. However, the VIX at 15.94 signals volatility as tariff negotiations and geopolitical tensions, including the Israel-Iran conflict, loom large. From tech titans to crypto leaders and consumer standouts, today offers explosive opportunities for traders and investors. This report highlights key market catalysts, top stocks to watch, and strategic trading approaches to seize the moment while managing risks.

Market Catalysts: What’s Driving the Action

Q2 Earnings Season

The Q2 earnings season is in full swing, with today’s reports from Tesla and Alphabet stealing the spotlight:

• Tesla (July 23): Expected to report $0.28 EPS and $22.72 billion in revenue, down 29% and 11% year-over-year, due to a 14% delivery drop to 384,122 vehicles. Elon Musk’s commentary on the Model Y L launch, robotaxi timelines, and AI advancements could overshadow soft financials, potentially driving a rally.

• Alphabet (July 23): Forecasted to deliver $2.25 EPS and $93.75 billion in revenue, up 15% year-over-year, driven by AI-driven Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud growth. A beat could push the stock toward $200-$220.

• Recent Earnings: Last week, Netflix reported a Q2 beat ($7.06 EPS, $11 billion revenue), and TSMC delivered $2.37 EPS and $20.8 billion in revenue, boosting tech sentiment. Banks like JPMorgan ($4.47 EPS) and Citigroup ($1.39 EPS) outperformed, while Wells Fargo’s guidance cut (-5% stock drop) highlighted risks.

Crypto Week Aftermath

The passage of three crypto bills on July 17—GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act—has ignited a crypto bull market, with Bitcoin at $119,000 and Ethereum at $3,600. The GENIUS Act’s stablecoin regulations boost stocks like Circle (CRCL), while the CLARITY Act’s clarity drives institutional inflows, lifting Coinbase (COIN). Continued momentum or profit-taking could influence crypto stocks today.

Economic Data Releases

• June Retail Sales (July 17): Strong consumer spending supports travel stocks like Delta Air Lines (DAL), with effects lingering into July 23.

• June CPI (July 15): Reported at 2.33%, the lowest since January 2019, boosting rate-cut odds to 70% for September, per futures markets, supporting growth stocks like NVIDIA and Alphabet.

• Beige Book (July 16): Indicated stable economic conditions, reinforcing rate-cut expectations and potentially lifting tech and consumer stocks today.

Tariff and Geopolitical Risks

President Trump’s tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada, effective August 1) remain a wildcard, but recent U.S.-China trade talk extensions have eased concerns. A deal could lift tech (NVDA, GOOG) and consumer stocks (DAL); a breakdown might trigger a 5-10% S&P 500 pullback to 5,800-6,000. The Israel-Iran conflict, with oil at $75 per barrel, supports energy stocks like ExxonMobil (XOM) but pressures consumer sectors.

Social media sentiment on X is bullish, with users hyping Tesla’s Model Y L potential, Alphabet’s AI growth, and crypto bill momentum, but tariff fears spark warnings of a “market correction.”

Stocks to Watch: July 23, 2025

Here’s a curated list of stocks poised for action today, driven by earnings, crypto legislation, and sector trends:

• Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ): Up 10% YTD to $315.35, Q2 earnings expect $0.28 EPS and $22.72 billion revenue. Musk’s commentary could drive a breakout to $350-$400 or a dip to $300 if guidance disappoints.

• Alphabet ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ ): Down 16% YTD to $185, Q2 earnings expect $2.25 EPS and $93.75 billion revenue. AI and cloud strength could push it to $200-$220, with support at $170.

• Coinbase ( $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ): Up 171% YTD to $398.20, driven by Bitcoin’s $119K surge and Crypto Week. Targets $420, with support at $350.

• NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ): Up 171% YTD to $167, with China sales and AI dominance fueling momentum. Targets $190, with support at $150.

• Delta Air Lines ( $DALATA HOTEL GP(DAL.UK)$ ): Up 5% recently to $50, with a 10% revenue growth outlook. Targets $60, with support at $45.

• JPMorgan Chase (JPM): Q2 earnings reported $4.47 EPS (up 15% YoY). Targets $190, with support at $175.

• Citigroup (C): Q2 EPS reported at $1.39 (up 12% YoY). Targets $70, with support at $55.

• Wells Fargo (WFC): Q2 earnings showed NII recovery, but guidance cut. Targets $60, with support at $50.

• Microsoft (MSFT): Up 30% YTD to $475, with Q2 earnings (July 29) forecasting $65 billion revenue. Targets $550, with support at $450.

• Palantir (PLTR): Up 100% YTD to $40, with 36% Q1 revenue growth. Targets $45, with support at $35.

Trading Opportunities

Short-Term Plays

• Buy Tesla on Earnings Dip: Enter at $300-$310, target $350-$400, stop at $280. A 10-27% gain if Musk’s commentary on robotaxis or Model Y L is bullish.

• Buy Alphabet on Earnings Beat: Grab at $170-$180, target $200-$220, stop at $160. An 8-19% gain if Q2 earnings exceed $2.25 EPS.

• Buy Coinbase on Crypto Momentum: Enter at $350-$360, target $420-$450, stop at $330. A 10-20% gain if crypto inflows continue.

• Options Straddle: Buy $315.35 calls/puts on TSLA or $185 calls/puts on GOOG for earnings volatility, targeting 200-300% gains if stocks move 10%+.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold NVIDIA: Buy at $150-$155, target $200-$220, for 22-34% upside with AI growth.

• Hold Microsoft: Buy at $450-$460, target $550-$600, for 15-26% upside with cloud/AI growth.

• Hold Delta Air Lines: Buy at $45-$47, target $60, for 25-30% upside with consumer strength.

• Diversify with Tech ETF (XLK): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, for broad tech exposure.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $15, target $18, stop at $13, to hedge against tariff or earnings volatility.

• SPY ETF Puts: Use puts at $614 to protect against a 5-10% S&P 500 pullback.

• Gold ETF (GLD): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, as a safe-haven hedge.

My Trading Plan

I’m cautiously bullish on today’s market, with Tesla and Alphabet’s earnings offering potential catalysts for tech, and Coinbase riding the crypto wave. I’ll buy TSLA at $300-$310, targeting $350-$400, with a $280 stop, and GOOG at $170-$180, targeting $200-$220, with a $160 stop. For crypto exposure, I’ll add COIN at $350-$360, targeting $420-$450, with a $330 stop. I’m hedging with VIXY at $15, targeting $18, and keeping 20% cash to seize dips if tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) or geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict) escalate. I’ll monitor earnings calls, trade policy updates, and crypto trends for cues.

The Bigger Picture

July 23, 2025, is a high-octane day with Tesla and Alphabet’s Q2 earnings driving tech volatility, while crypto stocks like Coinbase benefit from Bitcoin’s $119K surge and “Crypto Week” legislation. The Nasdaq’s break above 21,000 and S&P 500’s resilience at 6,263.26 signal a bullish market, but tariff risks and geopolitical tensions could trigger a 5-10% pullback. Investors should buy TSLA, GOOG, and COIN on dips for short-term gains, diversify with XLK for tech exposure, and hedge with VIXY or GLD to manage risks. The market’s on fire—play it smart to win big.

What’s your top stock pick for July 23? Are you betting on earnings or crypto? Share your strategy below! 🎁

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📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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