π₯ π π Tesla $335.85 Dark Pool Level: Breakout or Breakdown This Week? π π π₯
$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long TSLA Daily ETF(TSLR)$ Iβm treating Teslaβs chart as my highest conviction setup this week, the coiled spring between $300 and $345 will not stay quiet. The consolidation inside these gold bands makes it perfect for selling premium or trading the ranges, with the $321β323 mid-zone and trendline test acting as the pivot.
π Technical pulse
Tesla is compressing across daily and 4H charts, confirmed by Keltner and Bollinger overlays. Momentum holds steady at 3, with options sentiment also at 3. Low volatility (1) favours trend-followers hunting sharp directional breaks.
π’ Fibonacci framework
Retracements off $300β$345 define the immediate battleground:
β’ 0.236 at $334.38 β +1.28% upside from here
β’ 0.382 at $327.81 β -0.71% downside
β’ 0.500 at $322.50 β -2.32% downside
β’ 0.618 (phi) at $317.19 β -3.93% downside
β’ 0.786 at $309.63 β -6.22% downside
Extensions beyond $345 sketch the bullish roadmap:
β’ 1.272 at $357.24 β +8.21% upside
β’ 1.414 at $363.63 β +10.14% upside
β’ 1.618 at $372.81 β +12.92% upside
β’ 2.000 at $390.00 β +18.13% upside
β’ 2.618 at $417.81 β +26.55% upside
π Consolidation and seasonality
Tesla has historically surged into year-end: 6-1 in Novembers and 4-2 in Decembers. If chop continues through SeptβOct, the November rally could be amplified as positioning builds.
π EV durability milestone
A Tesla Model 3 in Western Australia has clocked 410,000 km with ~90% original battery health intact, proving Teslaβs LFP packs and drivetrain longevity. Lifetime fuel savings topped AUD 37,000 compared to ICE vehicles, while repairs cost just AUD 130. This real-world case reinforces Teslaβs cost efficiency and durability moat.
π€ Autonomy and leadership
Musk confirmed Teslaβs robotaxi coverage in Austin and the Bay Area now surpasses all competitors. His direct warning to shorts: βIf they donβt exit before Tesla reaches autonomy at scale, they will be obliterated.β The roadmap is about sector dominance, not just quarterly prints.
Expanding footprint and product enhancements π¨π³π―π΅π
Tesla continues to scale its global presence and refine its product suite in ways that support the long-term growth narrative.
β’ π―π΅ A new milestone came as Tesla opened its first store in Okinawa, the Japanese paradise island. The event was celebrated with a video showcasing the Model 3 and Model Y against the tropical backdrop, strengthening Teslaβs retail branding in Asia.
β’ π¨π³ Deliveries of the Model Y L have been spotted across Chinese showrooms, signalling momentum in Teslaβs most competitive market and underscoring how localised supply continues to meet strong demand.
β’ Cybertruck will soon roll out an upgraded Sentry Mode, integrating B-pillar camera recording for added security. This highlights Teslaβs continuous edge as a software-defined ecosystem where hardware longevity is reinforced by ongoing digital upgrades.
π Momentum, volume, and dark pool flows
Momentum score sits steady at 3, signalling a moderately bullish bias. Price is hugging the bands with volume trending lower, classic consolidation behaviour before volatility expansion.
A critical level has now appeared: $335.85, marked by a $485 million dark pool block trade. Whether accumulation or distribution, that kind of liquidity carves a reference point on the chart. Expect it to function as an interchangeable support or resistance zone as order flow builds around it.
π― Base, Bull, and Bear case scenarios (next 7 days)
β’ Base case: Price oscillates inside $322β$335, respecting the mid-range trendline while traders sell premium. Neutral consolidation keeps momentum score steady at 3.
β’ Bull case: A reclaim of $334.38 and sustained trade above $335.85 opens the door to $345. Breakout over $345 triggers extension targets at $357.24 and $363.63. Upside potential +8β10%. Add in seasonality, and the probability skew tilts heavily in favour of positioning for Novemberβs historical strength (6-1 record).
β’ Bear case: Failure at $334 and rejection under $327.81 points to $322.50, then $317.19 (phi). A break of $317 risks $309.63. Downside potential -4β6%.
Iβm standing firm that Teslaβs next decisive move will define the quarter, and I want to be positioned before the crowd reacts.
π’ Donβt miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ππ Iβm obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letβs outsmart the market and stack those gains together! π
Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
@Tiger_comments @TigerPM @TigerPicks @TigerStars @TigerObserver @Daily_Discussion @TigerWire @1PC @JackQuant
Modify on 2025-08-17 16:56
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- Tui JudeΒ·08-18TOPIβm impressed with how you pulled the seasonality edge into the bull case, 6-1 in Novembers is no joke. Reminds me of when $AAPL had that run into year end after a long consolidation. Tesla feels primed for the same kind of move off that coiled base. A solid article BC!3Report
- Hen SoloΒ·08-18TOPThe global angles really round this out, the Okinawa store launch and the Model Y L in China show Tesla isnβt slowing its reach. When I look at $MSFT for cloud growth and compare that to Teslaβs autonomy roadmap, the parallels in scaling potential are striking.3Report
- 1PCΒ·08-17TOPYup π Tesla π¦ chart π π @JC888 @Jes86188 @Shyon @Sherniceθ»ε¬£ 2000 @koolgal @Shyon5Report
- Kiwi TigressΒ·08-17TOPTesla sitting right on that $335.85 dark pool level has every big money signal flashing at once and Iβm all in on the energy this chart is giving. The fibs, the seasonality, the robotaxi momentum, itβs literally screaming breakout vibes and feels like the exact setup everyone will chase once it rips π₯6Report
- Cool Cat WinstonΒ·08-18TOPπππ The way you tied the $335.85 dark pool block into the Fibonacci map is spot on, that level looks like itβll act the same way $NVDA did at $134 before its breakout. Iβm convinced if Tesla clears that pivot the extension targets you laid out are going to come into play fast! π»5Report
- Hen SoloΒ·08-17TOPThe global angles really round this out, the Okinawa store launch and the Model Y L in China show Tesla isnβt slowing its reach. When I look at $MSFT for cloud growth and compare that to Teslaβs autonomy roadmap, the parallels in scaling potential are striking!5Report
- QueengirlypopsΒ·08-18TOPI canβt stop thinking about how wild it is seeing that $485M dark pool print locked at $335.85 and then knowing Teslaβs about to press into year end where it goes 6-1 in November. The setup looks like one of those asymmetric plays that flips from chop to breakout overnight.2Report