$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ $Nike(NKE)$ ๐๐๐ฅ LULU Collapse or Opportunity?
$LULU two years ago was a $65B company. $LULU today is less than a $19B company. Retailers are so fickle. I see it at $182 testing the 200 Monthly MA. Support lies at $161 with risk to $147, resistance at $226. Negatives: missed Q2 guidance, margin pressure, weaker FY outlook. Positives: EPS beat, menโs revenue +6%, China +20โ25%. Women drive 63.2% of revenue, men 24.2%. EPS grew from $4.5 to $12.8 in five years, a compounding story despite short-term bleeding.
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Modify on 2025-09-14 09:57
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- Kiwi Tigressยท09-13TOPLULU getting cut from $65B to $19B is insane when you think about how sticky that brand loyalty is. Seeing women drive 63% of sales makes me feel like the marketโs ignoring its moat. That $161 line is where Iโd expect some serious defense to show up5Report
- Cool Cat Winstonยท09-13TOP๐Iโm with you on the market punishing $LULU too hard. A collapse from $65B to under $19B feels extreme when international is still growing 20% and menโs revenue is trending higher. Reminds me of how $NKE got hit before its rebound off long-term supports.4Report
- Queengirlypopsยท09-13TOPWild to see LULU smoked this hard and still stacking double digit EPS growth. The way Chinaโs up 20%+ while the US drags just screams opportunity. If it bounces off that 200 MA like you charted, that could be the cleanest setup in retail right now ๐๐ง๐ง๐ง6Report
- Hen Soloยท09-13TOPThat $161 support and $147 risk zone you flagged is critical. I like how you tied the 200 Monthly MA in because thatโs where institutions really start building positions. The way $AAPL held its long-term moving average last year shows how powerful that level can be.2Report
- Tui Judeยท09-13TOPThe revenue split you highlighted is eye opening. Women at 63% and men at 24% tells me the core consumer isnโt leaving soon. That EPS growth from $4.5 to $12.8 in five years is massive. It actually makes me think of $CROX when it tripled earnings while sentiment stayed bearish.2Report