EW Macro Thesis: 2025–2030
EW Macro Thesis: 2025–2030
Every major asset just told me the same story:
20–30% correction 2025-26
→ Greatest blow-off top in history 2027-30
→ Secular peak post-2030
8 charts. One roadmap.
The Setup + Full Path
Indices finishing Wave (3)/(5) of V off 2009 low
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ blew past 2021-25 trendlines
$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rejected on first tag
$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ still trapped below its 2021 bear trend
Phase 1 → 20-30% flush 2025-26
SPX 5100-5500
NDX 18k-19k
DJI 36.5k-39k
IWM 150-186
Phase 2 → Wave 5 of V 2027-30
SPX 9,000-10,000
NDX 30,000+
DJI 50k-55k
Dot-com on steroids. Then the cliff.
Dow Jones Transports just rang the fire alarm
DJI printed new ATHs 2024-25
DJT failed to confirm → classic late-cycle DIVERGENCE
Negative RSI + rejection from 2021-25 channel
Transports = economy’s heartbeat. When they lag, recession risk spikes.
Targets: 10,500–9,000.
The canary will drop dead.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$
5-wave decline 2020 →2023 for Wave A done✅
Wave B rally to 96-108 locked (RSI div + Golden Cross)
Wave C Decline to 63 (Aligns with $SPX blow-off phase)
Risk-off rotation already live → 2025-26 correction confirmed.
DXY
Sitting on 97-100 mega-confluence support
→ 103-108 next
→ Final FVG kiss 92-85
→ Multi-year bull run to 120 after
Strong dollar = equity pain into 2026 low.
$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ + $Silver - main 2512(SImain)$
Gold topped 4375
→ Wave-4 bleed to 3750-3450
Silver → 46-46
Both correct with stocks 2025-26
Then Gold 5k+ / Silver 60-70 on 2027-30 inflation mania.
BTC
5-wave advance 2022→2025 complete (~126k)
→ Wave IV: 30k-15k ->2026
→ Wave V: 500k-1,000,000 ->2030
2009-2030 inception-to-maturity cycle.
Bitcoin never lies.
Every single market is screaming the same path:
2025-26: flush it
2026: load it
2027-30: greatest mania ever
Post-2030: secular top
One script. Zero deviation.
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