To The Moon

$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $D-Wave Quantum Inc.(QBTS)$ 🧠 I’m watching positioning break before price, not the other way around

I’m running my short squeeze screener and what stands out is not sentiment, it’s imbalance. These are names with double-digit short interest, average short prices far below spot, and in several cases rising short interest even as price trends higher. That is not bearish conviction, that is structural stress. When momentum asserts itself, exits stop being optional.

🌍 I’m tracking where shorts are most exposed across my top 10

Crowded shorts under pressure right now include:

$QBTS $RKLB $ASTS $LITE $GRAL $ARWR $GH $SATS $RGTI

Across this basket, shorts are deeply underwater, realised returns are sharply negative, and positioning has become asymmetric. This is the exact environment where squeeze dynamics emerge, not because of emotion, but because supply tightens while demand persists.

🚀 I’m treating the SpaceX IPO narrative as a positioning catalyst, not a headline

Whenever a benchmark-defining event enters the tape, capital front-runs the theme. We’ve seen this in EVs, AI, crypto, and now space. SpaceX IPO chatter acts as an accelerant, pulling liquidity into adjacent names. $RKLB and $ASTS remain the cleanest and most liquid expressions of that reflexive flow.

📊 I’m focused on $RKLB as the structural centre of gravity

On the higher timeframe, $RKLB is forming a powerful bullish engulfing structure on the monthly candle, with 19 days still left to complete. Monthly candles are where institutional conviction is built. That matters far more than intraday noise.

On the daily, RSI is stretched above 88. In a squeeze regime, that is not a sell signal, it is confirmation of momentum dominance. Overbought conditions persist far longer than most expect when shorts are defending. I would not be surprised to see rotation into sells and puts intraday as dealers manage gamma, even while the broader structure remains intact.

📉 I’m mapping where the market would actually defend

Key downside reference zones I’m watching:

50SMA around $55.23

100SMA around $50.83

These align with prior liquidity shelves and trend validation zones. A controlled pullback into these areas would still sit comfortably inside a healthy trend framework.

🎯 I’m defining upside pressure points where covering risk accelerates

If momentum holds and shorts continue to cover into strength, the next zones I’m tracking are:

PT 1 at $66.53

PT 2 at $70

Above that, price discovery accelerates and clean reference points disappear. That’s where squeezes stop behaving linearly.

🧪 I’m seeing similar stress signatures in $QBTS and $ASTS

$QBTS shows ~27.02M shares sold short, short % above 32%, a short ratio near 12.19%, and volume around 31.28M. That is a crowded trade still under tension.

$ASTS shows ~8.78M shares sold short, short % near 30.97%, a short ratio around 12.92%, with price holding near $84–$85. Shorts are underwater but not capitulating. Convexity remains.

⚠️ I’m watching derivatives flow because it often speaks before price

A $916K put buyer in $RKLB tells me hedging demand is rising alongside price, not replacing it. That is classic late-trend behaviour, risk managers stepping in while structure remains bullish.

🧩 I’m not chasing stories, I’m tracking mechanics

Price is never random. It is always reacting to incentives, liquidity, and time. Short squeezes are not memes, they are mechanical responses to positioning stress. When supply is locked and momentum persists, the market forces the exit.

🛰️ I’m also reminding the market that $RKLB is not just a launch cadence trade

Rocket Lab owns a solar power division called SolAero, acquired in January 2022 for roughly $80M. This is not speculative technology or blue-sky R&D. SolAero has already powered more than 1,000 successful space missions, including:

• NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope

• Mars missions such as the InSight lander and Ingenuity helicopter

• The Parker Solar Probe

• The Power and Propulsion Element for NASA’s lunar Gateway

As AI compute inevitably expands toward orbital and space-adjacent infrastructure over the coming decade, space-grade solar manufacturing becomes a critical bottleneck. That capability already exists inside Rocket Lab. This is quiet, strategic optionality that rarely gets priced correctly during momentum phases.

📈 On the tape, this is volatility doing what it always does

Price has extended well beyond the upper Bollinger Band. Today’s action reads as a routine retracement back toward it, not structural damage. In momentum-dominant regimes, these pauses are often resets, not reversals.

I stay anchored to structure, liquidity, and positioning. That combination still argues for continuation rather than exhaustion.

Long $RKLB!!!

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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