To The Moon

I’m treating memory as the defining AI bottleneck of 2026, with Micron, Sandisk, and SK Hynix confirming in price, volatility, and flow that capital is reallocating from compute-first narratives into bandwidth, HBM, and DRAM scarcity across the AI stack 🔥

This is not rotation noise, it is structural repricing 🧱

⚙️ The inflection is happening now because AI economics are shifting from FLOPs toward memory density, latency, and persistence as agentic models scale and think longer 🤖🧠

🧬 Micron Technology: Memory shortages turn cyclical into structural

📌 Quick Catalyst Recap: Micron surged over +7% on 06Jan26 NZ time, trading at $331.37 and printing fresh intraday all-time highs as markets priced confirmed memory shortages extending through 2026 📈 Hyperscalers are reportedly absorbing up to 4x higher memory costs versus prior quarters, reinforcing pricing power 💰

📊 Key Data Points: Micron built a 51-bar base from Jun25 to Sep25, the Rubicon for chips during the summer months 🧊 That contraction resolved into an 80-bar Fibonacci expansion phase now active 🚀 BAR 89 aligns to 12Jan26 as a momentum checkpoint, while BAR 144 projects to 01Apr26, matching the next major cycle window 🗓️ On the 4H structure, price is riding above EMA 13, EMA 21, and EMA 55 in bullish stack order 📐 holding the upper Keltner channel with expanding Bollinger Bands 🌊 RSI remains in a bullish regime above 60, while MACD is positive and widening with no divergence ✅

🧠 Immediate Market Read: The tape is signalling controlled acceleration, not exhaustion ⚡ Over $30M+ in single-leg calls were bought alongside $4.5M+ in puts sold, skewing dealer positioning long delta 🧲 This is continuation flow rather than hedged distribution, with shallow pullbacks absorbed above the rising mid-band, consistent with institutional sponsorship 🏦

🎯 Short-Term Outlook: My base case is continued trend extension toward the $350 to $400 zone, supported by pattern symmetry and volatility regime persistence 📈 $300 remains the key structural invalidation, representing the reclaimed volume shelf and EMA cluster 🧱 Macro alignment remains intact as hyperscaler capex pivots decisively toward memory bandwidth to support agentic AI workloads 🌐 Analyst risk flags remain centred on post-2026 overcapacity, though current projections continue to show hyperscaler AI infrastructure spend running above $500B this year.

💾 Sandisk Corporation: Tape leadership confirms scarcity pricing

📌 Quick Catalyst Recap: Sandisk entered 2026 as the top-performing S&P 500 stock of 2025, finishing the year up +577%, and momentum has not cooled 📈 Just three trading days into the new year, the stock is already up +41%, with the latest session printing a +$61 move, or +22%, leading the S&P 500 intraday 🚀

📊 Key Data Points: The rally is being driven by escalating chip and memory shortage concerns, with price accelerating well beyond prior resistance and volatility expanding rather than compressing 🧗 Relative strength versus peers underscores direct exposure to the same memory scarcity dynamics driving Micron 🔗

🧠 Immediate Market Read: Traders are pressing upside exposure rather than fading strength 🟢 Options flow confirms this behaviour, with notable demand in longer-dated upside, including active interest in Jan 2026 $400 calls, reinforcing expectations of continued price discovery rather than mean reversion 🧠

🎯 Short-Term Outlook: The base case remains trend continuation with shallow retracements as long as the reclaimed breakout zone holds 📐 Invalidation sits on a sustained loss of that base 🧱 Sandisk is now the momentum spearhead within the memory scarcity trade.

💾 SK Hynix: HBM leadership validates the global memory thesis

📌 Quick Catalyst Recap: SK Hynix has advanced +119%, trading near ₩726,000 on 06Jan26, delivering a decisive breakout that confirms leadership in high-bandwidth memory within the global memory complex 🚀

📊 Key Data Points: Structural acceptance above prior resistance with expanding volatility confirms sustained price discovery 📈 Relative strength versus global peers reflects direct leverage to HBM demand and next-generation memory density 🔗

🧠 Immediate Market Read: Delta leadership remains intact 🟢 Positioning shows limited downside hedging, signalling expectations of continuation rather than distribution 🧠

🎯 Short-Term Outlook: The base case remains trend continuation as long as the reclaimed base holds 📐 HBM4 roadmap leadership underpins pricing durability through 2026, offsetting near-term competitive capacity risks 🧱

🔗 I’m connecting Micron, Sandisk, SK Hynix, and Nvidia through one unavoidable transmission mechanism: AI is becoming memory-first 🧠➡️💾 During the recent CES keynote, Nvidia reframed AI economics around rack-scale efficiency, agentic workloads, and longer inference chains, expanding KV cache requirements 📊 That shifts value from raw compute into HBM, DRAM, bandwidth, and interconnect, making memory the gating factor for the next leg of AI infrastructure spend ⚙️ The Vera Rubin rack-scale model formalises this shift, transmitting leadership from GPUs into memory suppliers and optical connectivity across the supply chain 🌐 When one link tightens, capital reprices the entire stack, and that is exactly what this tape is confirming 📈

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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