If gold reaches $5,000 before February, I expect a pullback, but likely a shallow and healthy one. A pause toward the $4,700–$4,800 zone would help reset momentum, while a straight vertical surge toward $5,900 would feel more like late-stage exhaustion.
Between JPM and Yardeni, I lean toward JPM’s steady outlook in the near term, while viewing Yardeni’s $6,000 call as a tail-risk scenario. For me, $5,000 is a checkpoint, $5,250–$5,300 is the volatility zone, and $6,000 requires clear euphoria and added macro stress.
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