Mag 7 Earnings Series | AI Payoff for MSFT & META? Predict & Win Tiger Coins!
The Q4 earnings season hits its peak this week! Over 300 companies are set to report, including four powerhouse members of the ‘Magnificent 7’.
While the Mag 7 led the market higher last year, momentum has shifted lately. Meta and Microsoft have shown relative weakness, while Apple and Tesla, despite marginally better performance, face mounting questions over their growth premiums.
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Wednesday, Jan 28 (Post-Mkt): $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ report simultaneously.
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Thursday, Jan 29 (Post-Mkt): $Apple(AAPL)$ takes the stage.
1. Key Focus: The AI Spending vs. Return Balancing Act
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MSFT & META: All eyes are on AI Capital Expenditure. Investors are looking for tangible returns from Azure Cloud and AI-driven ad algorithms.
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AAPL: After being perceived as "missing in action" in the AI race, investors are anxious for a clear roadmap on Apple Intelligence and its long-term competitive edge.
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TSLA: Will auto gross margins finally bottom out? Can FSD progress and Energy business sustain the valuation narrative? Analysts have slashed 2026 net profit forecasts by 56% to $6.1B, yet price targets were raised to around $410.
2. Earnings Estimates at a Glance
As we kick off our Mag 7 series, we invite you to predict the price movement for the first trading day following each report!
3. How to Participate
Leave your forecast for the four stocks in the comments using the letter codes below.
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A. Bullish (> 5%)
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B. Slight Gain (0% to 5%)
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C. Slight Dip (0% to -5%)
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D. Bearish (> -5%)
Example
TSLA-A, MSFT-B, META-D, AAPL-B.
Reason: I'm bullish on MSFT's cloud growth but worried about Meta's high spending.
Rewards
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The Ultimate Winner: 200 Tiger Coins for correctly predicting all 4 price ranges!
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Top Analyst: 100 Tiger Coins for the 3 most insightful comments!
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Participation Prize: 5 Tiger Coins for every valid comment!
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i would invest in all of them if I have lots of [USD] [USD] [USD] [Grin]
Tesla (TSLA): Investors are monitoring whether auto gross margins have bottomed out. While Q4 deliveries reached 418,227, this was a 15.6% year-over-year decline and fell below most Wall Street estimates.
Microsoft (MSFT): The focus is on Azure cloud growth and AI-driven products. Analysts expect a year-over-year EPS increase of roughly 20%.
Meta Platforms (META): Heavy AI investment is heightening cost pressures, with 2026 total spending projected between $153 billion and $160 billion. Investors are looking for AI to improve ad accuracy and efficiency across Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp to offset these capex worries.
Apple (AAPL): Reporting for the critical holiday period, Apple expects net sales to grow 10%–12% year-over-year. Key areas of focus include iPhone demand (expected to grow in double digits), Services growth, and the impact of a projected $1.4 billion tariff impact on gross margins.
MSFT和元：所有的目光都集中在人工智能资本支出.投资者正在从Azure云和人工智能驱动的广告算法中寻求切实的回报。
苹果公司：在被认为在人工智能竞赛中“缺席”之后，投资者渴望苹果智能及其长期竞争优势的明确路线图。
特斯拉：汽车毛利率最终会触底吗？FSD进展和能源业务能否维持估值叙事？分析师大幅削减2026年净利润预测增长56%至$6.1 B，然而目标价上调至410美元左右.
MSFT-B
应用程序-B
META-C
(TSLA)-2025年第四季度
共识：收入约$24.75-$24.8 B（同比下降约3-4%）；每股收益约为0.33-0.45美元（同比下降30-50%）。
由于竞争和需求疲软，交付量同比下降约16%；储能是亮点。观看：FSD/Robotaxi/Optimus更新和艰难的2026年展望。
(MSFT)-2026财年第二季度
共识：收入约$80.2-$80.3 B（同比增长约15%）；每股收益约为3.88美元至3.92美元（同比增长约20%）。
来自AI/Copilot需求的Azure增长了30%（固定汇率）。关键：在大量人工智能投资的背景下，资本支出和投资回报率上升。
(AAPL)-2026财年第一季度（十二月季度）
共识：收入约$138-$139B（同比增长约10-12%）；每股收益约为2.65-2.67美元（同比增长约10-11%）。
强劲的iPhone假日销售和服务推动反弹。焦点：中国趋势、AI/Siri进展和正向催化剂。
META-2025年第四季度
共识：收入约$58.4-$58.45 B（同比增长约20-21%）；每股收益约为8.15美元至8.21美元（同比小幅上升）。
通过人工智能实现强大的广告；2026年资本支出和Reality Labs亏损受到密切关注。观察：广告效率和支出合理性。
For MSFT and META, the AI CapEx debate is front and center, but I think this quarter shifts the focus toward monetization. Signs of improving ROI from Azure AI workloads, Copilot adoption, and Meta’s AI-driven ad efficiency could quickly flip sentiment and trigger relief rallies.
AAPL & TSLA look like sentiment laggards with asymmetric upside. Apple just needs to outline a credible Apple Intelligence roadmap tied to its ecosystem, not dominate AI headlines. Tesla appears close to a margin & expectations trough; any stabilization in auto margins or positive FSD and Energy updates could justify a sharp re-rating. Overall, I see a setup where narratives matter more than perfection — and that favors bulls.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars
Apple - C: Slight Dip. This is because of investor anxiety over profit margins and a lack of clear monetisation AI strategy. Concerns about a potential slowdown in iPhone demand in key markets like China.
Tesla - B Slight Gain: Despite declining vehicle sales & margin pressures, TSLA found support in investor optimism about future ventures like Robotaxi business & AI initiatives. Energy storage division is a bright spot with higher profit margins.
Microsoft - C: Slight Dip. MSFT is weighed down by investor unease regarding rising capital expenditure needed to build AI & Cloud infrastructure at large scale.
Meta - C Slight Dip: This reflects investor anxiety on the massive spending on AI infrastructure. This would pressure its profitability short term without a clear immediate return on investment.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub
TSLA-C, MSFT-B, META-C, AAPL-B.
Reason:
TSLA - self driving and human robots are all in the future. What if they fail to launch like Cybertruck?
MSFT - it's AI Cape eats into profits.
META - weak use case for AI application. Still burning money on Metaverse. Just shut it dwn already.
GOOG - front runner in both AI and Quantum. What's not to like.
Read my Friday post for details. You will thank me later.
1月28日星期三（盘后）：$特斯拉(TSLA)$,$微软(MSFT)$，和$元平台公司(META)$同时报告。
1月29日星期四（盘后）：$苹果(AAPL)$走上舞台。
reason: AI is now the tend, with all the investment put in, its time to reap the seed
Reason: Profit taking for the first trading day following each report.
I'm bullish on Tesla's Musk influence, buy worried about AAPL sales.
Reason: bull market