To The Moon

Yesterday my DEMO account wins.

Only planned $Walt Disney(DIS)$ Bull Call Spread. AI Tool Support: My pre-market Options Plans for $DIS, $NXPI, $PLTR

I spent like $30 but earned over $200

Data as of Yesterday

Today, I choose $PayPal(PYPL)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ as my observation and follow tickers.

Personally, I like $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ better.

$PayPal(PYPL)$ Dipped -0.68%: Q4 Revenue Miss & CEO Transition Weigh, Key Support at $52.26 Tested

1. 📊 Earnings Recap Institutions expected Q4 revenue of $8.8B and Adj. EPS of $1.29. The actual revenue came in at $8.68B, missing estimates. The company has appointed Enrique Lores (ex-HP) as the new CEO, signaling a major leadership transition.

2. 🔭 Key Forward-Looking Points

• Monitor market reaction to the new CEO's strategic vision in the coming weeks.

• Watch for stabilization near the recent 52-week low of $52.06 and potential technical rebound signals.

3. 💰 Valuation Perspective The stock trades at a Forward P/E of 9.09, significantly below its historical average of 13.80 and the latest +1 Std. Dev. of 16.14. This suggests the market has priced in substantial pessimism regarding future growth.

4. 🎯 Analyst Targets Covered by 36 analysts with an average price target of $72.58, implying ~38.7% upside from the current price. Sentiment is mixed but leans cautious: 3 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 24 Hold, 4 Underperform, 1 Sell.

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$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Rallies +4.03%: AI Momentum Builds, Testing $250 Resistance

💰 Earnings Outlook Analysts expect robust growth driven by strong demand for AI and data center CPUs/GPUs. KeyBanc recently noted that AMD's 2026 server CPUs are largely sold out. The company is also expanding its footprint through strategic deals, such as a recent data center lease agreement with Riot Platforms.

🔮 Key Forward-Looking Points

• Monitor the ongoing supply-demand dynamics for server CPUs, with industry reports highlighting potential shortages.

• Watch for updates on the adoption ramp of the new MI500 series AI accelerators and any further tariff-related news impacting key products.

📊 Valuation Perspective The stock trades at a Forward P/E of 37.20x, which is slightly below its recent historical average of 39.67x. While elevated, this is in the context of the high-growth semiconductor/AI sector. The Price-to-Sales ratio (TTM) stands at 12.52x.

🎯 Analyst Targets Coverage includes 47 analysts with an average price target of $278.59, implying ~13% upside from the last close. The sentiment is strongly positive, with 14 Strong Buy, 29 Buy, 12 Hold, and only 1 Sell ratings.

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Rises +2.06%: Earnings Catalyst Looms, Trading in $28.80 - $30.96 Range

1. 📊 Earnings Expectations Analysts are forecasting Q2 revenue of $10.22B (+74.78% YoY), with adjusted EPS expected at $0.49 (-23.62% YoY). The key focus is on the pace of revenue recovery and margin repair. Concurrently, the company is expanding its manufacturing capacity and deepening liquid cooling technology partnerships, notably for NVIDIA's next-gen Vera Rubin platform.

2. 🔭 Key Forward-Looking Points

• Immediate Focus (Feb 3): Market reaction to the Q2 FY2026 earnings report released today.

• Next 1-2 Weeks: Monitor post-earnings guidance for FY2026, particularly commentary on AI server shipment ramp, competitive pricing pressures, and gross margin trajectory.

3. 💰 Valuation Perspective The stock trades at a Forward P/E of 14.59x, which is below its historical 3-year average of 19.03x and near the lower bound of its standard deviation range (10.02x - 28.04x). Its P/S ratio of 0.84 remains attractive within the tech hardware sector.

4. 🎯 Analyst Targets Coverage includes 17 analysts with an average price target of $44.79, implying ~51% upside from current levels. The consensus is mixed, with ratings distributed as: 2 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 8 Hold, and 3 Underperform.

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Personally, I like $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ better.