To The Moon

Hi Tigers 🐯

Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋

The past week was the absolute peak of the Q4 Earnings Season 📊. It was a week that separated the "Real Deal" 💪 from the "Paper Tigers." 📄

We tracked the results of 10 market movers that define our economy right now 🌍:

• 🤖 The AI Giants: $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Alphabet(GOOG)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$

• 💾 The Chip Warriors:$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$,$Intel(INTC)$, $Texas Instruments(TXN)$

• 🏗️ The Economic Backbone:$General Motors(GM)$,$AT&T Inc(T)$, $Caterpillar(CAT)$

⚖️ The Verdict? The market has shifted. 🔄

Investors are no longer blindly buying "Growth." They are punishing high spending and rewarding cold, hard Cash Flow 💸.

From these 10 heavyweights, we selected 3 key stocks that tell the story of this new reality: $Alphabet(GOOG)$ (The AI Value Pick 💎), $General Motors(GM)$ (The Safe Haven 🛡️), and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ (The Cautionary Tale ⚠️).

We’ve selected insights from @JC8888 @nerdbull1669 @ShenGuang — How to find real value amidst the AI hype? 🤔 And is "Old Tech" the new safety trade? Here is their take on the post-earnings reality. 👇

🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the “What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.

1. @JC8888 Buy NVDA, GOOG, MSFT if the US Shutdown again?

Key points:

• The Valuation Edge: While $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ faces "bubble" risks, GOOG is the superior defensive pick. Trading at a reasonable 27x P/E (vs MSFT's 30x), it offers the safest entry point among the Magnificent 7.

• Hardware Independence: $Alphabet(GOOG)$ isn't just software; it's winning the hardware war. Its new TPU chips offer 4x better cost-performance than NVDA for inference, boosting margins and reducing reliance.

• Gemini 3 Supremacy: Data shows Gemini 3 Pro now beats GPT-4 in coding and context. With massive vertical integration, GOOG is the best "medium-term compounder" to hold through macro volatility.

2. @nerdbull1669 General Motors (GM) Earnings Watch: Aggressively Bullish 2026 Roadmap

Key points:

• The "ICE" Cash Cow is the ultimate safe haven. By pivoting back to profitable ICE vehicles and cutting EV spend, they are generating massive cash flow rather than burning it on unproven tech.

• Valuation Safety Net: Trading at a dirt-cheap 6.7x P/E with a 13-quarter earnings beat streak, $General Motors(GM)$ offers deep value. The downside is protected by a $2.8B buyback program and reliable dividends.

• Software Profitability: Beyond cars, high-margin software revenue (Super Cruise) is growing. This recurring income acts as a buffer, making GM a stable "beat-and-raise" play during market uncertainty.

3. @ShenGuang AMD's Big Earnings Gain in Q4 Isn't Building Up Market Conviction

Key points:

• The "Second Best" Trap: Despite solid EPS, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ failed to prove it can dethrone Nvidia in data centers. The market conviction is low because Nvidia's "circular deal machine" locks in the best clients.

• Legacy Over AI: Growth is still largely driven by legacy "Client and Gaming" segments, not the AI boom. Without a massive data center win, AMD struggles to justify a high AI-valuation premium.

• Market Reaction: The muted post-earnings response signals that investors are losing patience. Unless AMD can capture a significant data center share, it remains a risky hold compared to market leaders.

🐯 Tiger's Final Takeaway:

This Earnings Super-Week taught us three critical lessons for 2026:

1. Value Matters in AI: Don't just chase the most expensive stock. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ proves that you can get top-tier AI tech (TPU/Gemini) at a discount.

2. Cash is King: When macro risks (like Shutdowns) rise, boring companies with massive buybacks like become the safest place to be.

3. The "Winner Takes All" Reality: In the chip war, unless you are the monopoly (Nvidia), the market has no patience for "good enough" results, as seen with $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$.

💬 Discussion

• Pick Your Fighter: If you had to hold one stock through a government shutdown, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ or $General Motors(GM)$?

• Chip Debate: Do you agree that AMD is a "Value Trap," or is this the perfect dip to buy?

• Missing Out: Which of the other 7 stocks (MSFT, META, INTC, etc.) do you think we should have covered?

🎁 Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the “What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins! See you next week!

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