[Stock Prediction] How will NFLX close after its earnings report?

Tiger_Earnings
07-14 19:55

Netflix is set to report second-quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday, July 16. The stock has fallen nearly 25% over the past three months and has dropped after each of its last four earnings reports. $Netflix(NFLX)$

Analysts expect Netflix to report second-quarter revenue of about $12.58 billion and earnings of $0.79 per share. Netflix previously guided for second-quarter revenue of about $12.57 billion, up 13.5% year over year.

What to Watch

Advertising will be a major focus. Netflix’s ad-supported service has surpassed 250 million monthly active viewers, and the company expects ad revenue to double to about $3 billion in 2026. Investors will be looking for updates on ad revenue, engagement, monetization and the number of users choosing the ad-supported plan.

Content and viewing time will also be closely watched. Netflix has yet to produce a major global breakout hit this year, while some recent shows have experienced weaker viewership in their second seasons. With YouTube, Disney, Amazon and other platforms competing for attention, Netflix may need to spend more aggressively on content to keep viewers engaged.

That could put pressure on profitability. The company’s second-quarter operating margin is expected to fall from more than 34% a year ago to around 32%, partly because of higher content amortization expenses.

Despite these concerns, options traders appear increasingly bullish ahead of the report. Recent Netflix call volume was nearly three times put volume, while options pricing implies a post-earnings move of approximately 7.6% in either direction.

How to Participate

  • Click to vote. Guess where $Netflix(NFLX)$ will move following its earnings. If you get the correct answer, you may divide 1,000 Tiger Coins with other Tigers.

  • For example, if 10 Tigers get the right answer, each will receive 100 Tiger Coins. If 100 Tigers get the right answer, each will receive 10 Tiger Coins.

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【Prizes】

  • 🎯 Anyone who correctly predicts Netflix’s July 17 closing price will split 1000 Tiger Coins.

  • 🎁 We'll also randomly select one participant from the comments to receive 100 Tiger Coins

Event Period

  • Ends: 4:00 AM SGT, July 17

voteHow will NFLX close after its earnings report?(Single choice)
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# Earning Season

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