The above chart shows the weekly volatility ranges and simulated short put alternative strike prices for 17 key stocks, calculated based on various indicators — for simulation reference only 👆
📊 Noteworthy Points
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IV continues to broadly decline (off-season + no near-term earnings): Compared to last week — SKHY 87% → 78.5%, MU 75% → 67%, SPCX 89% → 67%, INTC 74% → 68%, AMD 63% → 59%. Volatility expectations for storage/AI names continue to cool, and seller premiums are thinning out.
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SPY at 19.46%, QQQ at 22.38%, AAPL at 24.74% — the broader market remains extremely stable.
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NVDA reports earnings on August 26, which will also impact AMD's stock price.
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AAPL at 305.8 and GOOGL at 345.9 are both sitting at the lower end of last week's forecast ranges, resting on support levels. Barring debt issuance or other unexpected negative news, they are likely to remain range-bound.
📊 This table answers:
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Where the stock price is likely to be this week (the range).
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Whether the seller premium is expensive right now (IV percentile rank).
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How far out the strike price should be placed to stay safe (Column 8).
The ranges calculated in this table are like "probability of rain," not a "guarantee of no rain." The usage is simple: place the sell put strike price further below the lower end of the range. The higher the percentile rank, the more favorable it is for sellers.
⚠️ Educational sharing, not investment advice.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
