To The Moon

I. Key Events Fed Delivers 25bp September Hike; Dot Plot Signals Room for More Hikes This Year The federal funds target range rose to 3.75%–4.00%, the first increase since July 2023. The median dot plot shows a year-end 2026 rate of 4.1%. Historical patterns suggest IT sector outperformance in a shallow hiking environment. Crude Oil: Record Inventory Draws, But Prices Pull Back Sharply Global oil inventories are declining at a record pace, yet crude oil pulled back sharply on both Wednesday and Thursday, with front-month WTI breaking below its 10-day MA. The divergence between fundamentals and price is worth noting. NBis: GPU Cloud Services Raise Prices Across the Board by ~20% Effective October 1, NBis GPU cloud services are raising prices across the board by approximately 20%, sending th

I. Key Events Wednesday FOMC: Market Consensus Expects a "Dovish Hike" The Fed will announce its rate decision at 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday. The market is highly consensus-aligned in expecting a dovish hike — a 25bp increase without signaling a future rate path. → If delivered: the negative is exhausted, and risk appetite may recover. But such a unanimous expectation also means the positive is already priced in — beware of "buy the rumor, sell the fact" gap-up-and-sell-off dynamics. Combined with the 9/18 Triple Witching convergence, directional flexibility is limited this week. SK Hynix × Intel: In Talks for First U.S.-Based Memory Chip Production The news pushed INTC and Hynix higher pre-market, before Hynix clarified that "no conclusion has been reached," trimming gains. For INTC, watch t

I. Key Events Friday 9/18 Triple Witching: Massive Open Interest Expiring Stock prices tend to converge toward the largest open interest zones (Gamma pinning effect). For specifics, refer to individual stock options GEX analysis (⚠️ note the App upgrade). → Directional flexibility is limited this week, making range-bound/seller strategies more suitable. Software ETF (IGV) Surges 5%, Cybersecurity Leads JPMorgan believes AI is pushing cybersecurity from "optional spending" to "mandatory investment." Watch for pullback opportunities in PANW and CRWD. Crude Oil Maintains High-Level Volatility Above 100 Trump stated on 9/14 that "Iran is eager to reach a deal, and the U.S. is open to it." → A de-escalation signal; oil's upward momentum may weaken — watch for a spike-and-retreat. Citi: Wednesda

Major Events This Week Monday Open — Watch for Sector Rotation: Bearish for Hardware Chips, Bullish for Cloud Providers Anthropic / OpenAI / SpaceX jointly calling for a slowdown in AI development pace — potentially bearish for AI stocks. The bullish impact of Leopold's chip call positions may be offset; combined with mid-week news that GPT Pro suspended subscriptions due to surging Astra demand. FOMC & Triple Witching: Favors Sellers Low volatility: A large backlog of open options is pinning stock prices, resulting in very low volatility this week. Historical volatility levels for many stocks have reached mid-year lows. No decline this week: Friday's FOMC may not trigger a major market reaction. Decline next week: But pay attention to the Monday after Triple Witching — historical data

I. Key Events August CPI Lands: Rate Hike All But Certain, Market Dips Then Rebounds August CPI came in at +0.4% MoM (in line with expectations), while core CPI rose +0.3% MoM (above the expected 0.2%). The market is now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate hike at the 9/18 FOMC meeting, and expects two hikes this year. Following the data release, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin all dipped before rebounding — the rate-hike expectation has already been priced in → the negative is exhausted, and the decline has halted. Sell Puts on dips are viable. Oil Spikes Then Retreats: Breaks $100, Then Falls Back Below Meanwhile, the Shanghai International Energy Exchange announced adjustments to crude oil and low-sulfur fuel oil futures trading limits: intraday opening positions for SC2610 and SC26

I. Key Events ECB Hikes Rates by 25 Basis Points, U.S. Stocks Fall Pre-Market The ECB rate hike has raised expectations for a U.S. rate hike, pressuring U.S. equities pre-market. Tomorrow (Friday) brings the CPI release — focus on whether core inflation MoM exceeds 0.2%. A beat would further strengthen rate-hike bets. Brent Crude Surges Pre-Market, Breaks Above $100 Trump said during Wednesday's session that the Iran conflict will end immediately after the midterm elections, and oil prices will plunge (midterms are on November 3). The rhythm: short-term geopolitical push higher, but a pullback catalyst has already been pre-announced — beware of a pullback after an overshoot. TSMC (TSM): August Revenue +10.1% MoM, +53.3% YoY Fundamentals are strong, but rate-hike expectations carry more wei

I. Key Events U.S.-Iran Confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz Intensifies Sharply, with Brent crude briefly breaking above $100/barrel. Based on past patterns, the likely sequence is: Trump further escalates tensions and makes hawkish statements → oil prices return to previous highs or even push to new highs → a compromise or deal is reached between the two sides → oil prices pull back. The rhythm is rally first, then decline — chasing highs requires caution against a potential pullback from a resolution. META: New Personal AI Agent "MUSE" Launches — capable of handling daily tasks, with the app rising to #4 in the App Store rankings, driving the stock up 5% pre-market. Even if the market response fades after launch day, the effect takes time to fully play out — until then, the market will

I. One-Sentence Market View August nonfarm payrolls came in significantly above expectations, dragging down gold and Bitcoin. However, the release of the GPT-6 Astra foundational model — marking the dawn of the AGI era — triggered a rebound in the memory sector. This Friday's CPI data will likely be the decisive factor for the September 18 FOMC rate decision. In addition to macro and industry influences, the S&P 500 has historically underperformed in September — shareholders may consider covered call strategies to enhance returns this month. II. This Week's Event Calendar Monday, September 7: U.S. markets closed for Labor Day. Tuesday, September 8: No major events. Wednesday, September 9: No major events. Thursday, September 10: CPI: August CPI data released at 8:30 AM ET. Expected: +3

Color Legend 🔴 Red: Broke above/below the forecast range, or broke above/below the simulated strike alternative. 🟠 Orange: Briefly broke above/below the forecast range, but closed within the strike range. I. This Week's Simulation Results (All Four Seller Trades in Floating Profit) 🟢 SKHY Sell Put: Sold the September 18-expiry 130 Put, entry price 0.62, current price 0.33 — floating profit. ✅ DELL Sell Put: Sold the September 4-expiry 380 Put, entry price 2.66, current price 0.02 — profitable and closed. 🟢 MRNA Sell Put: Sold the September 18-expiry 120 Put, entry price 0.97, current price 0.70 — floating profit. 🟢 AMD Sell Put: Sold the September 11-expiry 410 Put, entry price 1.40, current price 0.82 — floating profit. II. Broader Market Assessment Volatility this week was generally at a

I. Key Events AVGO (Broadcom): Down 3% on Guidance Miss Q3 results slightly beat market expectations, Q4 in line, with clear FY2027/FY2028 outlook provided. However, FY2027 revenue guidance of $115 billion fell short of the market's $130 billion expectation; FY2028 expectations, in contrast, far exceeded Wall Street consensus. Growth is heavily dependent on Anthropic and OpenAI, introducing significant uncertainty to the outlook. Key level to watch: whether the stock pulls back to the 20-month MA at 320. SNOW (Snowflake): Surged 23% on Accelerating Growth Annual revenue growth is accelerating, with Q3 revenue growth of 37–38% (above market expectations of 30%), and full-year guidance raised from 31% to 36%. There may be further upside in the coming months. Approach: watch for Sell Put oppo