$TSLA Rebounds; $SPX Shows Historic Risk and Market Concentration
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla's $TSLA 7-day losing streak, equaling the longest in its history, has come to an end 🚨📈🫂 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ For the first time in history, the S&P 500 has gone 3 consecutive years without a Santa Rally 🚨 🎅📉💩 3.The Largest 10 Stocks now account for more than 35% of total U.S. Market Value, the highest concentration in more than 100 years 🚨🤯 Probably Fine ✅ 4.U.S. Equity Risk Premium is now negative 🚨 On a risk-adjusted basis, stocks offer zero return for investors 👀 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The narrowing price action suggests a potential bullish resolution. While Tech bounced, the actual drivers were Energy, Financials, Discretionary, and Materials. 2 key elements warrant attention: the daily candle lacked conviction, and the $VIX jumped over 2.7%. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Bearish engulfing candle validated by high daily volume, the 20DMA was lost and the MACD crossover suggests a trend reversal. The Weekly Compass anticipated a bullish start of the week, providing the specific price level that must be recovered to validate a bounce. 3. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Short term momentum faded last week: NDX & Small Caps show fewer than 40%
Index Divergence Signals Potential Market Pullback
The indices continue to diverge.While $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ blasted to a new high, likely completing a final fifth-wave, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected at resistance and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ was so weak it couldn’t break the prior day’s high.Watch Level: Short to 6720–6550 triggers on a daily close below SPX 6816 and/or below last week’s low. A daily close below 6816 would confirm the sell signal toward 6550 - a break of Friday’s low likely seals the deal.The larger implication: A loss of 6650 confirms the start of a major Wave 4 correction, with downside scope toward 5500.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,00
Market Overview Global equity markets closed higher as investors looked past escalating geopolitical tensions following US military action in Venezuela. Risk appetite remained resilient, supported by rising crude oil prices, strong sector rotations, and confidence that the conflict would not spiral into a broader global disruption. United States: Confidence Holds Firm US equities advanced solidly, led by cyclical and energy-related names. The Dow Jones $DJIA(.DJI)$ surged 1.2% to 48,977.18, while the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 0.6% and the Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ Get on high level position, market index still movent with volatility index performance meanwhile 21 day prepared from impact fed decision and stock market on high level market position could be on to oversold line position.
$Dow Jones(.DJI)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Midday Check: Stocks surge to start 2026. $DJI +641 pts midday, hit a record and eyeing a first-ever 49,000 close!! $SPX & $IXIC are rallying, led by energy on Venezuela optimism. Oil +1.4%, Gold +2.9%, Bitcoin at a 1M high! 🛢️ 🅗🅐🅟🅟🅨 Ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ 🅐🅗🅔🅐🅓! 🅒🅗🅔🅔🅡🅢 🅑🅒 🍀🍀🍀🟢
🚀📊🧠 $SPY Gamma Magnet at $690: Chop Now, Pain First, Power Later 🧠📊🚀
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 05Jan26 🇺🇸 | 06Jan26 🇳🇿 🧠 Session Structure and Gamma Control As this session develops, I’m reading the $SPY gamma map as a classic pin-and-fade environment. $690 is the MVC, and the interval map shows persistent positive GEX above spot with negative gamma building below. As price presses into that magnet, dealer hedging flows suppress upside velocity, forcing chop, rotation, and mean reversion. This is not a momentum regime. This is a structure-driven tape where patience matters. 📊 Why $690 Acts as a Ceiling, Not a Launchpad The asymmetry is critical. Positive gamma above spot dampens upside moves as dealers sell into strength. Negative gamm
Epic CES 2026 Showdown: Nvidia Unleashes AI Agents While AMD Revs Up Smart Cars! 🚀💥
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Dive into the heart-pounding action at CES 2026 where chip giants Nvidia and AMD are dropping jaws with their latest AI wizardry. Investors, gear up—this isn't just tech talk; it's the future unfolding with mind-blowing advances in data centers, on-device smarts, and consumer gadgets that'll redefine how we live and play. 🌟🔮 First off, Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang stole the spotlight with a keynote that's pure fire, unveiling Agentic AI that reasons, plans, and tackles complex tasks l
The Gambler’s FallacyThe $S&P 500(.SPX)$ delivered gains of 26% in 2023, 25% in 2024, and 18% in 2025. After such a strong run, it is natural for investors to expect weaker returns in 2026. This mindset reflects the classic gambler’s fallacy—the belief that strong past performance must be followed by mean reversion.At this stage of the cycle, bearish arguments also tend to sound more persuasive, and investor sentiment often turns cautious. However, the bull market has continued to show resilience. The ongoing AI-driven transformation remains a powerful structural tailwind and is likely to continue providing support into 2026.2026 RoadmapOur base-case scenario sees the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ending 2026 a
Markets at the Crossroads: Data, Discipline, and the Next Chapter for 2026
Markets Near Highs as 2026 Begins U.S. stocks enter the first full week of 2026 just off record highs, closing out the Santa Claus rally period with a steady, if unspectacular, performance. Dow Jones led last week, rising 0.66% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 0.2% Nasdaq finished roughly flat, as weakness in some “Magnificent 7” stocks was offset by strength in semiconductors Investors are beginning to shift their focus from year-end momentum to what the 2026 landscape may hold, amid lighter holiday trading volumes. A Big Week for Jobs and the Fed Outlook After months of disrupted data caused by the government shutdown, economic releases are finally back on schedule, and the spotlight is firmly on the labor market. Key expectations: December nonfarm pa