To The Moon

Two weeks ago, we discussed that WTI crude oil was trading within a range-bound market, making it suitable for selling weekly WTI put options below the prior low of $55 or holding a short WTI futures position combined with selling weekly put options to construct a covered put strategy for this environment. Investors without access to futures or options can consider energy or crude oil ETFs as an alternative.Bearish Crude Reports Trigger a Sharp Selloff: How to Use Options to Trade a Choppy Market？Since then, WTI crude oil has continued to oscillate and weaken, but it has not yet broken below the $55 level, confirming the effectiveness of the previous strategy. Recently, the price volatility has increased, and WTI crude

Ahead of OPEC’s monthly market analysis and the IEA’s annual energy outlook this week, WTI steadied after three straight up days, signaling a shift from chasing strength to waiting on new data. Traders are focused on Wednesday night’s OPEC release and the forthcoming IEA outlook.​ $WTI原油主连 2512(CLmain)$ Curve signalsThe WTI term structure has seen the spread between far-month and near-month contracts narrow markedly, a classic sign that inventories are moving from tight toward looser in the physical market. Since the October 20 bottom in WTI, far-month vs near-month spread have kept compressing, implying faltering buy interest in near-month and a supply backdrop shifting from tight to more ample. Throughout the year, worries about a “large sur

The cheerful National Day holiday arrives next week—wishing a happy break to all! For financial markets, however, long holidays often mean that volatility accumulates, and for domestic markets the post‑holiday session is frequently highly turbulent, making the long breaks—Spring Festival and National Day—the two recurring hurdles investors must face each year. Since 2020, every major Chinese holiday has tended to coincide with outsized, unexpected swings in overseas markets, leading to large gaps at the domestic open and even limit‑up or limit‑down moves. For domestic volatility to intensify, it often implies that overseas markets move one‑way during the National Day break, which could present a decent short‑term trading window for investors focused on overseas assets.Will October nonfarm

Recently, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has intensified rapidly, with renewed conflict between Israel and Iran sparking concerns over potential disruptions to Middle Eastern crude oil supply. As a result, international oil prices have experienced sharp volatility and significant gains. For example, on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the price of the August WTI crude oil contract surged to as high as $75.50 per barrel, currently hovering around $73. A market that was previously characterized by oversupply has now witnessed a short-term boost due to fears of supply constraints.However, whether the oil market can sustain its rebound—and how high this recovery might reach—ultimately depends on the progression of the Israeli-Iranian conflict. If hostilities further esc

Overview Oil prices surged for a second consecutive day as escalating Middle East tensions fueled supply concerns. Iranian missile strikes on Israel and Prime Minister Netanyahu's promise of retaliation triggered sharp price movements, reflecting the heightened risk premium now attached to crude oil. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 1.5% on the day, continuing the momentum from an earlier 5.5% jump, while Brent crude also climbed significantly. Oil Prices React to Escalating Middle East Conflict Following Iranian missile strikes that launched 200 ballistic missiles at Israel, oil prices reacted with sharp upward movements. The attacks led to an immediate rise in crude prices, with WTI futures for November delivery reaching $70.87 per barrel, up by 1.5% on the day. This comes after

In May, against the background of the rising prices of non-ferrous metals and precious metals, international crude oil prices did not follow suit, but continued to fall from the high point set in April. At a time when global monetary policy is about to enter an inflection point of easing, U.S. inflation is resilient, China's economy is recovering moderately, and crude oil is in the same macro environment as other rising industrial products. Why hasn't it risen sharply?The macro environment is favorable for commoditiesIn overseas markets, the expectations of central banks turning to easing are very strong, especially the decline in inflation in the United States, which has stimulated the Fed's interest rate cut expectations to heat up again. The United States released inflation data for Apr

The foreign exchange market has been calm in the past few years. The large shock mode of the the US Dollar Index has caused most currencies to trade in a range mode. However, there are also outliers among them. The yen continues to fall and set a new historical low, but it is still not intervened by the central bank. What is the reason behind allowing the yen to fall?From the trend of the yen in CME group, it can be seen that the historic low has been moving down in the past few months, which also includes the macro environment where the Bank of Japan has begun to tighten. Looking forward, the Bank of Japan also briefly intervened in the foreign exchange market in 2022-2023, but the intensity was relatively limited, and the yen also rebounded slightly before sinking again.Obviously, from t

🌟🌟🌟I find it strangely surprising that as a Libra person,  I do share a common interest with Legendary Gurus Jim Rogers and George Soros to invest in Commodities especially oil.  In fact my best performing ETF is $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ which represents the US Oil Giants like $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$  $Chevron(CVX)$ and Warren Buffett's favourite oil company $Occidental(OXY)$   With the current geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and Russia, Oil prices have been slowly rising this year.  $Energy Se

Why Oil Fell Despite War? $WTI Crude Oil - main 2406(CLmain)$ Which market is a better hedge when a geopolitical conflict started. I know many will say that it must be crude oil. Over the past 2 major conflicts, we could see that crude oil did not gain any momentum, in fact it came off. So which markets have reacted positively to all these tensions so far, and will continue to remain this way with future tensions?Follow me to learn more about analysis!!https://www.facebook.com/Weipedia/?ref=page_internal

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Oil is in demans area I guess it can raise any tIme Max downside is 5 %

1. Oil Call Option Volumes Are SoaringAfter Israel vowed to respond to missile and drone attacks from Iran, trading volume of crude oil call options surged to an all-time high. On Monday, trading volume of Brent crude oil call options approached 350,000 contracts, surpassing the record set in 2019. The premiums for these contracts relative to put options also rose to the highest level since October. Source:BloombergAccording to market sources, the majority of trades are focused on establishing new bullish positions and transferring existing contracts bought in the weeks leading up to the Iranian attacks. Open interest has seen an increase.With ongoing unrest in the Middle East, coupled with robust demand and tight supply, Brent crude futures prices have surged to around $90 per barrel, hit

$Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf(XOP)$  $Devon(DVN)$  $apache(APA)$   I'm bearish on oil price and expect price to go down by end of 2024. 1. Global Economic Recovery: The pace of global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic will be a significant driver of oil demand. Strong economic growth could lead to increased demand for oil and support higher prices, while economic slowdowns could have the opposite effect. 2. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions and conflicts in major oil-producing regions such as the Middle East can disrupt supply and contribute to price volatility. Events such as geopolitical conflicts

The situation in the Middle East has once again become the focus of the market in recent days, with some concerns about the conflict between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have shown signs of perseverance, it is more likely that there will be “big thunder, little rain”. At the same time, referring to the geopolitical conflicts and small-scale military operations that have occurred several times before, the financial market can basically digest the impact within a week, so short-term fluctuations are difficult to shake the market trend.In theory, gold and crude oil are naturally the most sensitive to this topic. Last Friday's rise and fall seem to have previewed the weekend's soap opera in advance: Compared with a real fight, it seems more cost-effective to make a tough statement to g

Oil prices experienced a decline in early trade on Wednesday, driven by concerns over global demand stemming from weak economic momentum in China and diminished hopes for immediate U.S. interest rate cuts. These factors outweighed fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East due to heightened tensions. Oil prices softened earlier in the week as economic challenges dampened investor sentiment, counteracting the impact of geopolitical tensions. Investors remained attentive to Israel's potential response to Iran's recent attack on Israeli territory, which occurred over the weekend. In China, the world's largest oil importer, first-quarter economic growth exceeded expectations. However, various indicators for March, including property investment, retail sales, and industrial output, suggeste

Commodities have performed well this year, and the trend of crude oil this year is also relatively stable. There has not been too many corrections during the journey back to $80, which also gives everyone a return to triple digit hope.

I think we have all heard the news of the Iran and Israel tensions over the weekend, there have been drones and missiles fired and intercepted, no casualties or damages have been reported. If we can recall from our memory of the Russia and Ukraine when it first started, this episode is similar yet different, this unprecedented attack by Iran on Israel has further bring concerns of the regional tensions in the middle east. I would be more concerned and interested on how Crude Oil price would move and the state of oil and energy stocks when market opens on Monday (15 April). Oil Start To Open Up But Gains Depend On Response Oil prices are expected to rise on Monday after Iran's attack on Israel over the weekend, analysts said on Sunday, but further gains may depend on how Israel and the West

With the situation in middle east, oil price is bound to increase and oil stocks will rise. Just my personal opinion. 

Two weeks ago, we discussed that WTI crude oil was trading within a range-bound market, making it suitable for selling weekly WTI put options below the prior low of $55 or holding a short WTI futures position combined with selling weekly put options to construct a covered put strategy for this environment. Investors without access to futures or options can consider energy or crude oil ETFs as an alternative.Bearish Crude Reports Trigger a Sharp Selloff: How to Use Options to Trade a Choppy Market？Since then, WTI crude oil has continued to oscillate and weaken, but it has not yet broken below the $55 level, confirming the effectiveness of the previous strategy. Recently, the price volatility has increased, and WTI crude

Ahead of OPEC’s monthly market analysis and the IEA’s annual energy outlook this week, WTI steadied after three straight up days, signaling a shift from chasing strength to waiting on new data. Traders are focused on Wednesday night’s OPEC release and the forthcoming IEA outlook.​ $WTI原油主连 2512(CLmain)$ Curve signalsThe WTI term structure has seen the spread between far-month and near-month contracts narrow markedly, a classic sign that inventories are moving from tight toward looser in the physical market. Since the October 20 bottom in WTI, far-month vs near-month spread have kept compressing, implying faltering buy interest in near-month and a supply backdrop shifting from tight to more ample. Throughout the year, worries about a “large sur

The cheerful National Day holiday arrives next week—wishing a happy break to all! For financial markets, however, long holidays often mean that volatility accumulates, and for domestic markets the post‑holiday session is frequently highly turbulent, making the long breaks—Spring Festival and National Day—the two recurring hurdles investors must face each year. Since 2020, every major Chinese holiday has tended to coincide with outsized, unexpected swings in overseas markets, leading to large gaps at the domestic open and even limit‑up or limit‑down moves. For domestic volatility to intensify, it often implies that overseas markets move one‑way during the National Day break, which could present a decent short‑term trading window for investors focused on overseas assets.Will October nonfarm

Recently, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has intensified rapidly, with renewed conflict between Israel and Iran sparking concerns over potential disruptions to Middle Eastern crude oil supply. As a result, international oil prices have experienced sharp volatility and significant gains. For example, on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the price of the August WTI crude oil contract surged to as high as $75.50 per barrel, currently hovering around $73. A market that was previously characterized by oversupply has now witnessed a short-term boost due to fears of supply constraints.However, whether the oil market can sustain its rebound—and how high this recovery might reach—ultimately depends on the progression of the Israeli-Iranian conflict. If hostilities further esc