To The Moon

Public Holidays Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on 1st May to celebrate Labour Day. China is closed on 1st & 2nd May as they celebrate Labour Day. America does not have any public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (28Apr25) Notable Highlights Core PCE Price Index (Mar) forecast shows inflation cooling, with YoY at 2.9% (down from 3.4%) and MoM at 0.19% (down from 0.44%), suggesting easing inflationary pressures. This should be the most watched economic data that has implications for the interest rate. CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) forecast at 88.5 (below the last reading of 92.9) indicates weaker consumer sentiment, which could signal reduced spending and economic slowdown. GDP (QoQ, Q1) forecast at 0.4% (well below the previous 2.4%) signals a significant slowdown in U.

News and my thoughts from last week (21Apr25) Should we be surprised if there are breakups and shake-ups within Trump's team? It is a strong team with strong individuals. $6 trillion debt is due in months, $9 trillion in a year. These are likely to be refinanced. Changes should come sooner. As a non-US citizen, American prosperity is key to my country and many others who trade with the USA. Having the right policy and posturing can help all to create value and prosper together. There are things that need alignment from all sides. Yet isn't this more about cultural differences than Tariffs? We can still grow and prosper together despite our differences, circumstances and cultures. The part that puzzled me was that the majority of the Tariffs can be passed on to American buyers, manufacturer

Public Holidays Hong Kong is closed on Monday, 21April25, as they celebrate Easter. Economic Calendar (21Apr25) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Forecast 49.3 is suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity (below 50 signals contraction). S&P Global Services PMI (Apr): Forecast 52.9 is showing slower growth in the services sector (above 50 signals expansion). New Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 680K, slightly above the last update of 676K, suggesting a modest uptick in housing market activity. Durable Goods Orders (Mar) at 20:30: Actual 1.5%, above the forecast of 1.0%, reflecting stronger-than-expected demand for long-lasting goods. Existing Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 4.14M, below the last reported 4.26M, indicating weaker-than-expected home sales. Initial job

News and my thoughts from last week (14 Apr 25) Delinquent C&I loans rose by approximately 6.4% from the previous quarter and 19.8% year over year, reaching $31.04 billion – with a delinquency ratio of 1.31%. - DalyHodl Tim Cook explains why Apple manufactures products in China. The true reason is because of the skill, the quantity of skill in one location, and the type of skill it is. Not because of labor cost since China stopped being a low-labour-cost country many years ago. The Apple CEO elaborated on the advanced tooling and precision required to produce the products and highlighted China's vocational expertise in these areas. - X user by Shen Shiwei At the moment, Apple makes more than 80% of its products in China. Those products now receive a 145% tax when they’re imported into

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 14Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has yet to complete the bottom cross-over, which suggests a potential reversal. It is possible to range or go lower before the actual reversal. I prefer for MACD’s bottom crossover to be completed before acknowledging a reversal (as it forms a part of considerations). Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. We are seeing the setup of a Death Cross (when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above). A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outloo

Public Holidays The USA, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. America, Hong Kong and Singapore celebrate Good Friday on 18 Apr 2025. I wish you all a great weekend as Christians celebrate the love, sacrifice, and victory of Jesus. Economic Calendar (14Apr25) Notable Highlights China's GDP (Q1) is expected at 5.2% YoY (vs. 5.4% prior). This can be a good indicator of both Chinese production and global consumption. The Core Retail Sales (Mar) are forecasted at 0.4% MoM (vs. 0.3%), and Retail Sales at 1.4% MoM (vs. 0.2%). The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) is forecasted at 3.1 (vs. 12.5). From investing dot com   A level above zero on the index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditi

As President Donald J. Trump emerged victorious in the 2024 election and prepared to begin his second term, his team informed European officials that he expects their respective countries to spend at least 5% of their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on building military capabilities.  As of 2024, it was estimated that virtually every country – even the U.S. – fell short of this target.  However, it bears noting that the U.S.' spending is significantly higher than that of almost every one of its European allies combined. Additionally, given the significant deployment of U.S. military assets over in Europe to buttress its defense from threats, it is intuitively logical that Europe could ideally stand to be more invested in its own defense (and an idea supported by many a U.S. think ta

Have you ever wished to buy a super growing company like Nvidia before the price runs up? Maybe Palantir?  Have you ever wished for a pro-biz US President? Have you ever wished that when you run out of money 💰, you can simply take from others without being punished? They are here, all here! Yes, all at once... In our face! 😁😭 Don't you feel it? Now that they are all here, are you overjoyed? You are supposed to feel that, or so Donald Trump thought so... When the stock market crash occurs, have you then thought of a saviour (some sorts, any sorts in fact) to push them back up?  Ahhhhhh... Nice! It's also here! What have you been doing all these times? From crash to rebound?  Did you scoop in when the crash arrived? 🤔 Or were you so badly wounded with your blood all around the

Big red flag. Crazies are out. Stay home. Wait for the all clear to sound 

Disclaimer: Whatever I say or post doesn't act as financial advice, so please do your due diligence before making any decision. The market has been a turmoil over the past month, headlined by the tariff war, potential ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia, speculative massive cuts in the US government sectors which created a lot of uncertainty and distress.  However as highlighted in the images above, the market has proven time and time again that if you stretch out the timeline, it always keep rising. So for long term investors, ignore the noise, bite the bullet and stay invested.  However, if you are an individual stock investor and not an index investor like a broad index etf, then you will need to check in with yourself and the latest financial matrics to see if you are still

Yes, I took a little bet during the week, despite Monday’s drop and wild week. No, it is not what most people think, not the “buy-the-drop”or “be greedy when there is blood on the street” stuffs. I am just not that sort. Not especially if some of those blood is mine! No, I did not buy in a big way… at least not into the big 7. I did not even buy the VIX, the fear index or short Nasdaq. Nothing of those sorts… that is just not me. Still, I took a gamble… a different manner as I see fit. A big reason for this week’s volatility is with Donald Trump and his tariffs war, and its resulted uncertainty. The so-called tariffs is but an import tax imposed on the Americans. Actually, the correction started way before this week. Last year’s market boom was characterised by the riskier assets such as c

A broad market sell-off often signals panic, but it can also create value. If the decline stems from macro fears (like rate hikes or geopolitical tension) rather than deteriorating fundamentals, it could be a buying opportunity. Strong balance sheets and resilient earnings are key signs to watch. However, if technical breakdowns and weak guidance persist, further downside may follow. Patience and selective buying of quality names on weakness seems like a balanced strategy. Avoid chasing rebounds too early.

Stocks were sharply lower in early-afternoon trading Monday amid ongoing uncertainty about the impact of policies coming from the Trump White House and concerns about the outlook for the U.S. economy. The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq were down 2.2% and 3.7%, respectively, in recent trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 1.3%. The major indexes gained ground on Friday but posted steep losses for the week, with the S&P 500 recording its worst weekly performance in six months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which each fell more than 3% last week, have returned to pre-election levels after losing ground for three consecutive weeks. Investor sentiment has been dented recently by worries about President Trump's plans for widespread tariffs, which experts say will

Disclaimer: Whatever I say or post doesn't act as financial advice, so please do your due diligence before making any decision. With the drop in home sales and most home loans due for renewal to significantly higher rates, I foresee a lot of default payments, which might result in a unfortunate circumstance of people losing their homes. So it's definitely moving towards a buyers market in the property space, so if you are eyeing to be a home owner, watch the property space in your respective countries closely. @madluvyz - Specialist in using TA to sell options and swing trade.😺

A broad market plunge often signals a buying opportunity, especially for long-term investors. Panic-driven selloffs can create discounts on strong, fundamentally sound stocks. Historically, markets rebound as fear subsides and economic conditions stabilize. Central banks may step in with supportive policies, fueling a recovery. For those with a long-term outlook, this dip allows accumulation at attractive valuations. Staying patient and strategic can turn volatility into profit.

Thanks for sharing. Happy trading

Wait  No, will reach $ 140

vbbnj

After two years of chasing a seemingly overwhelming rally in big tech stocks, options traders have shown signs of fatigue.Investors are scrambling for more protective measures as the so-called "Magnificent 7" of U.S. technology stocks lags behind the broader stock market amid growing concerns about U.S. dominance in artificial intelligence and the overall economy.In the second half of February, most "Big Seven" companiesOption costs are all rising。 Last week, Apple's three-month IV reached its highest value since September last year, and its slope was also the largest since August last year, when the liquidation of yen carry trade panicked global financial markets and stimulated protection demand.Another troubling sign is increasing put positions in stocks such as Nvidia. Nomura said buyin

The US stock market concerns Me at the moment. So much so, that i am seriously considering pulling all of my assets out, why? Two answers: donald trump and elon musk. Im not going to focus on politics here and berate either of them, ill just focus on policy and outcomes. Lets deal with Elon first. Cause the solution is simple. Elon seems to be taking a Space-X approach to the US government... blow it up, find out what we did wrong then blow it up again, rinse and repeat. We are dealing with people and their livelihood here, not just a few more billion thrown at a  product To make it work. The Elon approach is just not workable dealing with government. so just fire elon, and admit it wasn't a good idea. Trump is more problematic. My perspective on trumps first term was that everyone ju

Public Holidays Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on 1st May to celebrate Labour Day. China is closed on 1st & 2nd May as they celebrate Labour Day. America does not have any public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (28Apr25) Notable Highlights Core PCE Price Index (Mar) forecast shows inflation cooling, with YoY at 2.9% (down from 3.4%) and MoM at 0.19% (down from 0.44%), suggesting easing inflationary pressures. This should be the most watched economic data that has implications for the interest rate. CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) forecast at 88.5 (below the last reading of 92.9) indicates weaker consumer sentiment, which could signal reduced spending and economic slowdown. GDP (QoQ, Q1) forecast at 0.4% (well below the previous 2.4%) signals a significant slowdown in U.

News and my thoughts from last week (21Apr25) Should we be surprised if there are breakups and shake-ups within Trump's team? It is a strong team with strong individuals. $6 trillion debt is due in months, $9 trillion in a year. These are likely to be refinanced. Changes should come sooner. As a non-US citizen, American prosperity is key to my country and many others who trade with the USA. Having the right policy and posturing can help all to create value and prosper together. There are things that need alignment from all sides. Yet isn't this more about cultural differences than Tariffs? We can still grow and prosper together despite our differences, circumstances and cultures. The part that puzzled me was that the majority of the Tariffs can be passed on to American buyers, manufacturer

Public Holidays Hong Kong is closed on Monday, 21April25, as they celebrate Easter. Economic Calendar (21Apr25) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Forecast 49.3 is suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity (below 50 signals contraction). S&P Global Services PMI (Apr): Forecast 52.9 is showing slower growth in the services sector (above 50 signals expansion). New Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 680K, slightly above the last update of 676K, suggesting a modest uptick in housing market activity. Durable Goods Orders (Mar) at 20:30: Actual 1.5%, above the forecast of 1.0%, reflecting stronger-than-expected demand for long-lasting goods. Existing Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 4.14M, below the last reported 4.26M, indicating weaker-than-expected home sales. Initial job

As President Donald J. Trump emerged victorious in the 2024 election and prepared to begin his second term, his team informed European officials that he expects their respective countries to spend at least 5% of their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on building military capabilities.  As of 2024, it was estimated that virtually every country – even the U.S. – fell short of this target.  However, it bears noting that the U.S.' spending is significantly higher than that of almost every one of its European allies combined. Additionally, given the significant deployment of U.S. military assets over in Europe to buttress its defense from threats, it is intuitively logical that Europe could ideally stand to be more invested in its own defense (and an idea supported by many a U.S. think ta

News and my thoughts from last week (14 Apr 25) Delinquent C&I loans rose by approximately 6.4% from the previous quarter and 19.8% year over year, reaching $31.04 billion – with a delinquency ratio of 1.31%. - DalyHodl Tim Cook explains why Apple manufactures products in China. The true reason is because of the skill, the quantity of skill in one location, and the type of skill it is. Not because of labor cost since China stopped being a low-labour-cost country many years ago. The Apple CEO elaborated on the advanced tooling and precision required to produce the products and highlighted China's vocational expertise in these areas. - X user by Shen Shiwei At the moment, Apple makes more than 80% of its products in China. Those products now receive a 145% tax when they’re imported into

Have you ever wished to buy a super growing company like Nvidia before the price runs up? Maybe Palantir?  Have you ever wished for a pro-biz US President? Have you ever wished that when you run out of money 💰, you can simply take from others without being punished? They are here, all here! Yes, all at once... In our face! 😁😭 Don't you feel it? Now that they are all here, are you overjoyed? You are supposed to feel that, or so Donald Trump thought so... When the stock market crash occurs, have you then thought of a saviour (some sorts, any sorts in fact) to push them back up?  Ahhhhhh... Nice! It's also here! What have you been doing all these times? From crash to rebound?  Did you scoop in when the crash arrived? 🤔 Or were you so badly wounded with your blood all around the

Yes, I took a little bet during the week, despite Monday’s drop and wild week. No, it is not what most people think, not the “buy-the-drop”or “be greedy when there is blood on the street” stuffs. I am just not that sort. Not especially if some of those blood is mine! No, I did not buy in a big way… at least not into the big 7. I did not even buy the VIX, the fear index or short Nasdaq. Nothing of those sorts… that is just not me. Still, I took a gamble… a different manner as I see fit. A big reason for this week’s volatility is with Donald Trump and his tariffs war, and its resulted uncertainty. The so-called tariffs is but an import tax imposed on the Americans. Actually, the correction started way before this week. Last year’s market boom was characterised by the riskier assets such as c

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 14Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has yet to complete the bottom cross-over, which suggests a potential reversal. It is possible to range or go lower before the actual reversal. I prefer for MACD’s bottom crossover to be completed before acknowledging a reversal (as it forms a part of considerations). Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. We are seeing the setup of a Death Cross (when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above). A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outloo

Public Holidays The USA, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. America, Hong Kong and Singapore celebrate Good Friday on 18 Apr 2025. I wish you all a great weekend as Christians celebrate the love, sacrifice, and victory of Jesus. Economic Calendar (14Apr25) Notable Highlights China's GDP (Q1) is expected at 5.2% YoY (vs. 5.4% prior). This can be a good indicator of both Chinese production and global consumption. The Core Retail Sales (Mar) are forecasted at 0.4% MoM (vs. 0.3%), and Retail Sales at 1.4% MoM (vs. 0.2%). The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) is forecasted at 3.1 (vs. 12.5). From investing dot com   A level above zero on the index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditi

Stocks were sharply lower in early-afternoon trading Monday amid ongoing uncertainty about the impact of policies coming from the Trump White House and concerns about the outlook for the U.S. economy. The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq were down 2.2% and 3.7%, respectively, in recent trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 1.3%. The major indexes gained ground on Friday but posted steep losses for the week, with the S&P 500 recording its worst weekly performance in six months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which each fell more than 3% last week, have returned to pre-election levels after losing ground for three consecutive weeks. Investor sentiment has been dented recently by worries about President Trump's plans for widespread tariffs, which experts say will

Since last Thursday, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has corrected for 4 days, with 8 out of the top 10 largest market cap stocks falling, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ down over 10% in the last 5 days, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$, $Alphabet(GOOG)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ all falling, with only $Apple(AAPL)$, $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ remaining up in the last 5

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Welcome back! After a strong year and reaching new all-time highs, Alphabet's stock has recently dipped for several reasons. Despite exceeding expectations, the stock fell on earnings release day, primarily due to concerns over capital expenditures (CapEx). Alphabet Investment The company has been investing heavily, and with projects like DeepMind and other AI initiatives, the market is questioning whether these investments will pay off. Additionally, Alphabet’s cloud revenue grew by only 30%, falling short of market expectations and raising concerns about its growth potential. That said, increased investment is often a positive sign, especially for a company with Alphabet’s track record. Their substantial CapEx is directed toward

After two years of chasing a seemingly overwhelming rally in big tech stocks, options traders have shown signs of fatigue.Investors are scrambling for more protective measures as the so-called "Magnificent 7" of U.S. technology stocks lags behind the broader stock market amid growing concerns about U.S. dominance in artificial intelligence and the overall economy.In the second half of February, most "Big Seven" companiesOption costs are all rising。 Last week, Apple's three-month IV reached its highest value since September last year, and its slope was also the largest since August last year, when the liquidation of yen carry trade panicked global financial markets and stimulated protection demand.Another troubling sign is increasing put positions in stocks such as Nvidia. Nomura said buyin

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ plunged 27% in four trading days, which makes sense and is unexpected. But what is unexpected is why it fell NOW?Essentially, there are only two reasons for a selloff:A concerted sell-off/short-sale trade by investors who are pessimistic about their future share price due to high valuations, etc;Unrelated to valuation, market trends are affected by the actions of influential investors;Currently Palantir got both.Valuation EstimatesCurrent valuation: market capitalization of $212.677 billion, FY24 revenue of $2.87 billion, and a TTM price-to-sales ratio of 74x, which compares favorably to peers, and is well above Bloomberg Peers' 10.6x and GICS' peer group's 12.8x;The 2025 expected price-to-sales ratio of 63x rema

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ While the S&P 500 is down only about 3% from its all-time high, many growth stocks have taken significant hits, dropping 20%, 30%, 40%, or even 50%. Even major companies like Alphabet are trading at roughly 18 times earnings, while stocks like Amazon and others have also seen substantial declines. Personally, I've been taking advantage of many of these opportunities. However, there's one stock I've been watching for over a year—one I've always wanted to own. I'm a big fan of the company, love its business model, and recognize its strong competitive advantage. But despite all that, I just can’t bring myself to buy it. That stock is Microsoft. Microsoft has been stagnant for over a year and has even underperformed most of the "

The pullback in U.S. equities has extended from highly valued growth stocks (e.g. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ .) into the larger $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ broader market range. In the Mag 7, only $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ has closed higher year-to-date, while $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ with both fundamental and policy risks, has pulled back more than 22% on both performance risk and policy risk.In contrast, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has been less volatile, with significant movement between sectors, also stemming from ris

$Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ experienced huge volatility after Q4 earnings, from +20% to -12% at one point, and investors were deeply divided on it.As one of the companies on the cusp of AI advertising services, its AI-driven efficiency improvement and scarcity of growth attribute support, the long-term logic has not changed, but the short-selling report brought about by the risk of data compliance and short-term market sentiment perturbation still need to be vigilant.The current low valuation or layout window.Investment HighlightsStrong financial performance and growth resilienceRevenue growth ahead of expectations: 4Q24 revenue growth of 50% y/y (7% ahead of guidance) and 31% growth excluding the impact of the election and acquisitions; 14

$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ this quarter showed a "fire and ice" pattern: AI server demand explosion and traditional business decline coexist, PC market dawn but the consumer side is still mired in the quagmire.Short-term catalysts: AI server deliveries driven by improved GPU supply; long-term risks: storage business shrinking faster than expected, APEX transformation not as good as peers (e.g., $Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ 's GreenLake).Key indicators to watch: AI server deliveries, commercial PC order growth, APEX subscription revenue share.Performance and market feedbackCore FinancialsRevenue: $22.3B (11% yoy, slightly beat estimates of $22.1B, +0.6%)Adjusted EPS: $1.74 (beat estimate of $1.72,

Behind the sharp drop in U.S. bond yields overnight, on the one hand, the market's panic about "recession-style interest rate cuts" is spreading, and on the other handIt is also a "understanding" of the new US Treasury Secretary's tough stance.On Tuesday, the day after Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect next week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bescent said that with the implementation of Trump's policies,10-year U.S. Treasury yields'should naturally decline '。 He also said earlier: "President Trump and I are both focused on 10-year U.S. bonds."This remark completely ignited investors' bullish sentiment towards U.S. debt. On Tuesday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plummeted 10 basis points to just below 4.29%, significantly lower than 4.57% a week ago and the lowe

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Market Overview and Volatility The market sell-off continued on Friday, and now, as we move into Monday, we’re seeing another red day. However, as you can see, not every stock is down—many companies, particularly those outside the tech or AI sectors, are actually in the green. If you didn’t question why your stocks were soaring year-to-date or over the past few months, you probably shouldn’t be overly concerned now that they’re pulling back. If your stock has climbed 50%, 70%, or even 1