To The Moon

Do you know how much is one USD to Zimbabwe currency 💲 at the hike of its hyperinflation in 2008? Slightly more than$2.6T if I got my number of zeros right! What if USD is shooting for it? Obviously, everyone will think I am crazy to even think about that. Currencies are relatives, so we can use any major currency pairs to measure it. It could be Euro, Japanese Yen, Chinese RMB, Swiss franc, etc. It could also be measured against gold, silver or even in the new era, bitcoin. If you think it's not possible, given American economy and inflation situation, think again. It's Donald Trump we are dealing with here.  Humour me for a minute. Let's just say Donald Trump sent a message in his Truth Media to hyper inflate USD. If USD becomes so small that it's useless, can't US just pay off its

Last week's post was a timely reminder: gold prices were facing correction expectations. As it turned out, stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data finally triggered a significant adjustment in gold prices. However, based on historical data of similar gold market trends, this correction is just getting started and remains far from the historical average decline of over 20%. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting approaching next week, gold prices are likely to fall further. For those looking to "buy the dip," it's advisable not to rush in too soon.Historical Magnitude and Timing of Gold CorrectionsAnyone who has followed my posts or live streams knows that I always provide estimations of the extent and timing for every significant market move, and the accuracy of these predict

My Thoughts on Gold's Correlation with the Stock Market I have been looking into whether gold is still inversely correlated with the stock market, and it seems that relationship has been shifting lately. Historically, gold tends to rise when stocks drop due to its safe-haven status, but in 2025, that pattern feels less predictable. With Trump's tariff policies causing market volatility, there have been times when both gold and stocks moved in unexpected ways, suggesting the old inverse link isn't as strong anymore. It feels more like gold's price is reacting to broader uncertainties than just stock market trends$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$   Gold My Take on Trump's Policies and Gold's Upside Potential I think Trump's

$SD GOLD(01787)$ quick gold take and run! 

$WANGUO GOLD GP(03939)$ Gold is the safest . Quick take and run

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ – Gold futures held a rising 20MA bounce at the Asia open, showing higher lows coiled price action within a 10/20MA pinch. With six months of sustained relative strength, Gold Futures and $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust(GLDM)$ remains my preferred play at current market context over $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ , which has already ran nine straight up sessions. At gold miners level with more than 30% Qtr YoY revenue growth, $Anglogold Ashanti(AU)$ $Orla Mining Ltd(ORLA)$

1.Gold vs BondsGold has done an outstanding job as a bond alternative — and has not only outperformed as a diversifier in downturns, but has outright added to returns even as risk assets have performed well. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Image2."Sell in May" actually refers to the May-Oct period, which has historically been the worst time of the year for stocks.(vs Nov-Apr being the best)May-Oct is particularly worse in Bear Markets $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image3."The Euphoriameter" stockmarket cycle indicator has peaked at a record level and rolled o

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Monday opened with a short climb in gold! It touched a high near 3272.5! Currently the technical side of the pullback adjustment! VIP group of Asian market signals sell orders successfully profit! Congratulations! Note: In the short term, gold still has the risk of retracement! Asian markets continue to keep sell orders trading mainly! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ 2.Friday (May 2), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the much-anticipated April non-farm payrolls report, the data showed that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 130,000, showing that the labou

The image of young investors buying gold on credit should worry any seasoned market watcher. Gold has historically been a safe haven — a hedge against risk, not a speculative play. The rise of leveraged retail buying indicates sentiment is overheating.Credit-driven demand is not sustainable. It distorts real buying power and tends to precede corrections, not rallies. Combine that with gold’s recent all-time highs, and you get a textbook setup for a top. Even central banks, though still net buyers, have begun slowing their purchases. Real interest rates are inching up, and once investors can earn better yield from bonds or money markets, gold loses its shine fast.

Much is being made of young investors using credit to buy gold, but instead of signaling a bubble, this could point to a generational shift in asset preference. With inflation fears, geopolitical instability, and a weakening trust in fiat currencies, younger investors are turning to gold as a long-term hedge — even if it means using credit in the short term.While credit usage raises red flags for financial prudence, the broader takeaway is that gold is no longer just a "boomer asset." This democratization of gold demand, especially through digital platforms and fractional gold buying, can sustain upward momentum. Moreover, central bank demand remains historically high, and real interest rates are still relatively low — both bullish signals.Until we see widespread institutional liquidation

Gold is the best to invest 

Yes, gold is the best investment

It does not matter if it has peaked. Credit is your best friend.

Never buy credit. That's too risky and greedy 

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ The gold market is buzzing, especially in China, where young investors are jumping in headfirst—some even borrowing money to ride the wave. With Goldman Sachs eyeing $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 and social media amplifying the hype, the big questions loom: Has gold hit its ceiling? What’s a realistic target price? And is it reckless for young people to take out loans for this glittering gamble? Let’s dive in. The Current Gold Surge Gold’s been on a wild ride, recently smashing through all-time highs. Central banks, including China’s, are stockpiling it like never before, driven by geopolitical jitters and economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, retail investors—especially the younger crowd—are fueling the frenzy, with posts

Bloomberg reports that gold’s record-breaking rally is making even bigger waves in China, spurring retail demand and driving unprecedented trading volume.As prices swing, signs of surging intraday trading have emerged, with yuan-denominated futures hitting historic volatility highs. Traders are navigating trade tensions with skill. Meanwhile, ETF inflows are soaring, retail activity is booming, and local price premiums are widening.China, as the world’s largest gold consumer and a major producer, holds significant influence over global gold markets. Gold has been the top-performing major commodity this year, fueled by safe-haven demand amid aggressive trade policy shifts and central banks’ buying spree.Jinrui Futures said: “Local media coverage amplifies fear and greed.” Despite brief midw

Gold is really too fierce for a while, the past year directly up 50%, sitting on the "most beautiful boy" throne.In the face of this strong performance, has been 3300 U.S. dollars / ounce price, the price of the yuan close to 1100 yuan, many people began to entangle an old problem - is it time to sell gold?Unlike stocks, bonds can rely on PE, price-earnings ratio, interest rate pivot, CPI and other indicators to assess the "fair value" of gold, gold is a hard currency without income, valuation standards, to put it bluntly, is to look at the market atmosphere and macro expectations.From the historical point of view, the gold price has been in the high, but not to the limit!Historically it's not uncommon for gold to rise 2-4 times after a few key breakouts.Like 1972, 1978, 2008, these time p

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 🚨⚡🧠 Tesla’s Shockwave, $71M Call Frenzy Hints at a Hidden Catalyst 🧠⚡🚨 What I witnessed today wasn’t just flow, it was foresight in motion. $71.1 million in bullish call premium thundered into the options chain across the Magnificent 7, with Tesla ($TSLA) leading the charge, and it all detonated before Trump began softening his trade war rhetoric. Coincidence? Not likely. The capital surged in as though someone knew détente was coming before it hit the headlines. 🚨 $TSLA is up over 8% today after one of its worst earnings reports in its history 🚨$TSLA's market cap increased by 7 $NIO's today. But here’s where things went nuclear, two near-simultaneous call

As global equities continue their upward march, gold has shown signs of softening—slipping from recent highs as risk-on sentiment sweeps the markets. The question now: is this a temporary pause in gold's bull run, or a warning sign that a reversal is coming as it approaches the much-watched $3300 level? The backdrop is complex. Stocks have rallied as tech earnings beat expectations, the Fed signals potential rate cuts by year-end, and recession fears retreat for now. This risk-on mood has reduced gold’s safe-haven appeal in the short term. Yet, the underlying forces that pushed gold past $3000 remain relevant: sticky inflation in parts of the globe, central bank buying (especially from BRICS nations), geopolitical risks, and long-term concerns over debt sustainability. For traders and inve

I have been keeping a close eye on the gold market recently, especially as prices soared past the $3500 mark, which was the target set by several institutions. Seeing gold hit this record high and then pull back has me thinking about the next move. The volatility is hard to ignore, and I am trying to decide whether this pullback is a sign of a larger correction or just a temporary dip before another rally. The market dynamics feel intense right now, and I am eager to understand where gold might head next. The updated forecasts from major institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS have caught my attention. Goldman Sachs raised their year-end gold price forecast to $3700, and they even mentioned the possibility of prices reaching as high as $4500 due to upside risks. UBS followed suit, adjustin

Do you know how much is one USD to Zimbabwe currency 💲 at the hike of its hyperinflation in 2008? Slightly more than$2.6T if I got my number of zeros right! What if USD is shooting for it? Obviously, everyone will think I am crazy to even think about that. Currencies are relatives, so we can use any major currency pairs to measure it. It could be Euro, Japanese Yen, Chinese RMB, Swiss franc, etc. It could also be measured against gold, silver or even in the new era, bitcoin. If you think it's not possible, given American economy and inflation situation, think again. It's Donald Trump we are dealing with here.  Humour me for a minute. Let's just say Donald Trump sent a message in his Truth Media to hyper inflate USD. If USD becomes so small that it's useless, can't US just pay off its

Last week's post was a timely reminder: gold prices were facing correction expectations. As it turned out, stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data finally triggered a significant adjustment in gold prices. However, based on historical data of similar gold market trends, this correction is just getting started and remains far from the historical average decline of over 20%. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting approaching next week, gold prices are likely to fall further. For those looking to "buy the dip," it's advisable not to rush in too soon.Historical Magnitude and Timing of Gold CorrectionsAnyone who has followed my posts or live streams knows that I always provide estimations of the extent and timing for every significant market move, and the accuracy of these predict

Gold is really too fierce for a while, the past year directly up 50%, sitting on the "most beautiful boy" throne.In the face of this strong performance, has been 3300 U.S. dollars / ounce price, the price of the yuan close to 1100 yuan, many people began to entangle an old problem - is it time to sell gold?Unlike stocks, bonds can rely on PE, price-earnings ratio, interest rate pivot, CPI and other indicators to assess the "fair value" of gold, gold is a hard currency without income, valuation standards, to put it bluntly, is to look at the market atmosphere and macro expectations.From the historical point of view, the gold price has been in the high, but not to the limit!Historically it's not uncommon for gold to rise 2-4 times after a few key breakouts.Like 1972, 1978, 2008, these time p

Last week, we focused on the logic behind the rise of $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ .This week,we continue to cover opportunities intheprecious metals sector.Today’s focus is on $Silver - main 2505(SImain)$ concept.Silver is A Bright Spot in 2025's Precious Metals Market.1. Silver Surges Ahead of Gold💰 With the US dollar and Treasury bonds under pressure, silver stocks and ETFs are surging as safe-haven assets!5-Day Performance: Over the past five trading days, silver stocks have seen across-the-board gains, outperforming the gold sector and ranking just behind the precious metals mining sector (which we will continue to monitor for potential opportunities).Data from Tiger Trade, Data as of 14th April 2025.Y

From April 3 to April 7, gold prices plummeted for three consecutive trading days, with a total decline of 7.08%. However, gold prices quickly rebounded and hit a record high of $3,263.Due to last week's plunge, investors sell gold to cover margin calls from losses in other assets such as equities.But soon after, as US Treasuries and the dollar plunged, investors once again turned to gold as a safe haven. Amid escalating US-China tariff tensions, markets feared that China might sell US Treasury assets, pushing yields sharply higher.1. Major Banks Raise Gold Price Targets to $3500-$4000 $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ raised its year-end $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ forecast to $3,700 (previously $3,300), with a proje

My Thoughts on Gold's Correlation with the Stock Market I have been looking into whether gold is still inversely correlated with the stock market, and it seems that relationship has been shifting lately. Historically, gold tends to rise when stocks drop due to its safe-haven status, but in 2025, that pattern feels less predictable. With Trump's tariff policies causing market volatility, there have been times when both gold and stocks moved in unexpected ways, suggesting the old inverse link isn't as strong anymore. It feels more like gold's price is reacting to broader uncertainties than just stock market trends$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$   Gold My Take on Trump's Policies and Gold's Upside Potential I think Trump's

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ Gold has been on a relentless upward trajectory, nearing $3,400 and smashing through record highs in 2025. This meteoric rise has sparked intense debate: Is gold too expensive now, or is this just the beginning? Major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS have weighed in with bold forecasts, predicting even higher prices by year-end. But with recession fears looming, is gold truly the best choice for your portfolio? Let’s dive into the latest data, unpack the forecasts, and explore what this means for inves

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Monday opened with a short climb in gold! It touched a high near 3272.5! Currently the technical side of the pullback adjustment! VIP group of Asian market signals sell orders successfully profit! Congratulations! Note: In the short term, gold still has the risk of retracement! Asian markets continue to keep sell orders trading mainly! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ 2.Friday (May 2), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the much-anticipated April non-farm payrolls report, the data showed that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 130,000, showing that the labou

I have been keeping a close eye on the gold market recently, especially as prices soared past the $3500 mark, which was the target set by several institutions. Seeing gold hit this record high and then pull back has me thinking about the next move. The volatility is hard to ignore, and I am trying to decide whether this pullback is a sign of a larger correction or just a temporary dip before another rally. The market dynamics feel intense right now, and I am eager to understand where gold might head next. The updated forecasts from major institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS have caught my attention. Goldman Sachs raised their year-end gold price forecast to $3700, and they even mentioned the possibility of prices reaching as high as $4500 due to upside risks. UBS followed suit, adjustin

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ $VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF( $VANECK VECTORS GOLD MINERS A SHARES(GDX.UK)$ )$ Gold has been on an unstoppable run, smashing through $3,500 per ounce before a slight pullback, leaving investors wondering: Is it too high now, or is there still room to climb? As of late April 2025, spot gold hovers around $3,485, up an eye-watering 27.5% year-to-date. The rally’s pace has outstripped even the most optimistic forecasts, with Goldman Sachs hiking its year-end target to $3,700

$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Bessent’s Desperate Plan: The Gamble That Could Break the System Alright guys—let’s talk about what’s really going on in the U.S. economy right now. Because while the headlines are still fixated on inflation or whether we’re going to get a soft landing, something much deeper is brewing beneath the surface. The bond market—the lifeblood of the global financial system—is flashing red. And the government’s response? Panic. Desperation. And now, a plan so risky it could blow the entire system apart. Let’s rewind a bit. The U.S. bond market is in turmoil. Over the past few weeks, we’ve witnessed the biggest surge in 10-year Treasury yields since 2

As volatility returns today, with the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ down over -3%, gold has surged by another +$100/oz. Meanwhile, the US Dollar index, $ $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ , is pushing below 100 for the first time since September 2024. If equities revisit their lows, $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ could surge well above $3,500/oz. By@KobeissiLetterHeading into this week, our premium members took shorts in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . We called for a drop below 5325 which was just crossed. Gold has been a key leading indicator for all risky assets.Gold is trading like we are in a depression: Over the last 20 years,

Gold at $3,500: Overheated or Just Getting Started? Gold’s relentless rally to *$3,500/oz* has outpaced even the most bullish forecasts, raising questions about its sustainability and role in a potential recession. Here’s a breakdown of the drivers, risks, and whether gold remains the ultimate safe haven: --- 1. Why Gold Is Outpacing Forecasts - *Tariff-Driven Uncertainty*: President Trump’s aggressive tariffs (e.g., 34% on China, 46% on Vietnam) and retaliatory measures have amplified fears of stagflation (high inflation + low growth), driving investors toward gold as a hedge . - *Central Bank Demand*: China’s insurers are now allowed to allocate 1% of assets to gold, potentially adding **255 tonnes/year** in demand, equivalent to 25% of global central bank purchases . - *Fed Policy*: Des

Gold ascends, but geometry reminds us: not linearly As gold sprints past $3,500, is there still room to shine? Right—so gold’s been on a bit of a tear, hasn’t it? The yellow metal has punched clean through the $3,500 ceiling, triggering a flurry of hastily scribbled price target upgrades and no small amount of hand-wringing in the analyst community. Goldman Sachs now sees $3,700 by year-end—with an upside flirtation toward $4,500—while UBS is settling in at a more restrained $3,500. But after briefly kissing $3,500, gold has cooled to around $3,330—a reminder that even the brightest rallies need to catch their breath. But here’s the real question: has gold become too hot to handle, or are we still in the early innings of something much bigger? Gold’s Not Just Glitter—It’s Geometry I origin

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ Gold’s on fire! As of April 16, 2025, gold prices have climbed to $3,246 per ounce, fueled by trade war jitters and inflation pressures. Goldman Sachs’ commodities team just boosted their year-end forecast to $3,700, hinting at a wild upside of $4,500 if economic chaos erupts. Not to be outdone, UBS upped their target to $3,500, citing recession risks. But with everyone rushing to buy, should you sell now—or hold for more gains? And in a recession trade, does gold still reign supreme? Let’s break it down with fresh dat

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ The gold market is buzzing, especially in China, where young investors are jumping in headfirst—some even borrowing money to ride the wave. With Goldman Sachs eyeing $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 and social media amplifying the hype, the big questions loom: Has gold hit its ceiling? What’s a realistic target price? And is it reckless for young people to take out loans for this glittering gamble? Let’s dive in. The Current Gold Surge Gold’s been on a wild ride, recently smashing through all-time highs. Central banks, including China’s, are stockpiling it like never before, driven by geopolitical jitters and economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, retail investors—especially the younger crowd—are fueling the frenzy, with posts

1.Gold vs BondsGold has done an outstanding job as a bond alternative — and has not only outperformed as a diversifier in downturns, but has outright added to returns even as risk assets have performed well. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Image2."Sell in May" actually refers to the May-Oct period, which has historically been the worst time of the year for stocks.(vs Nov-Apr being the best)May-Oct is particularly worse in Bear Markets $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image3."The Euphoriameter" stockmarket cycle indicator has peaked at a record level and rolled o

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ – Gold futures held a rising 20MA bounce at the Asia open, showing higher lows coiled price action within a 10/20MA pinch. With six months of sustained relative strength, Gold Futures and $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust(GLDM)$ remains my preferred play at current market context over $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ , which has already ran nine straight up sessions. At gold miners level with more than 30% Qtr YoY revenue growth, $Anglogold Ashanti(AU)$ $Orla Mining Ltd(ORLA)$

As the world navigates a turbulent spring in 2025, Bitcoin $CME Bitcoin - main 2504(BTCmain)$ and gold $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ find themselves at a fascinating crossroads. With Bitcoin languishing at a five-month low of USD 74,434 and gold soaring past USD 3,000 per ounce, the contrast between these two assets has never been starker.While gold basks in its timeless role as the ultimate safe haven — bolstered by China’s relentless accumulation and a global shift away from the U.S. dollar — Bitcoin struggles to shrug off a -32% correction from its January peak of USD 109,356. Yet, amid oversold conditions, panicked sentiment, and a bullish seasonal window, the cryptocurrency could be poised for

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $10-Year Treasury Note( $Tonix Pharmaceuticals(TNXP)$ ) Gold has smashed through another ceiling, hitting an electrifying all-time high of $3,240 per ounce as of April 13, 2025. The precious metal’s latest rally is turning heads, with market chatter pinning the surge on one major catalyst: Donald Trump’s looming influence and the uncertainty it brings. With recession fears simmering and Trump’s unpredictable policies back in play, investors are piling into safe havens. But here’s the million-dollar question: If a recession trade kicks in, is gold really the best choi