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2025-04-11
Weekly | Trade Tensions Drive HK stocks down with Southbound funds buying!
This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced heavy losses, with $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 8.47%.Trade War IntensifiesLast Wednesday, the U.S. government announced "reciprocal tariffs" on Chinese imports. In response, China imposed a 34% tariff increase on all U.S. imports. This escalated trade tensions caused a global market sell-off. The HSI plummeted 13.22% on Monday, marking its biggest one-day drop since 1997.In mainland China, the ChiNext Index dropped 12.5%, the largest single-day fall in history.Government Support Amid growing panic, the Central Huijin Investment Co. reaffirmed its confidence in China's capital markets, announcing further ETF purchases. The People's Bank of China also expressed support, stating it would provide sufficient re-lendin
5.69K
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2025-04-12
TSLA looking good going into next week
📈 Ticker: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ⏱️ Time Frame: Weekly🎢 Market Bias: Monthly Bullish / Weekly Bear🏗️ Structure: Bullish + Support and Resistance Zone✅ BX Trender: Higher Low 🚀🎯 Target: $360🛑 Invalidation: LL or break of Support and Resistance Zone⏳ Time Horizon: 30 - 45 days🧠 Confidence Level (1–5): ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️TSLA looking good going into next week 😎This setup has a 62% win rate historically, with an average 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
TOPa4xrbj1: Haha, what kind of wishful thinking is this? You need people to pump up the stock (even more than they already do)? Have you taken a look at the declining profit margin, the shrinking sales and revenue? Now with the Chinese tariffs the Megapacks will take a big hit as they are 100% CATL batteries from China. Same for powerwall.
2.65K
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2025-04-12
Is This the Turn? SPX's First Notable Bounce in 8 Weeks
After the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiked to 60, U.S. indices showed a positive week, but be aware that intra-week volatility has been extreme, exhausting both bulls and bears, triggering stop losses on both sides. Price action has been erratic, leading to short-term invalidation of setups, yet remaining consistent with the Support and Resistance Levels.The previous publication presented how violent can be the bounces during bear markets, providing visual guidance on how technical analysis can be used in your favor to be profitable in bear markets as well and not even shorting (if so, the potential is higher, but with the right preparation, mindset and use of S/R levels. The publication studies the technicals of six bear markets (1987, 2000, 20
4.70K
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2025-04-12
NVDA is testing the 20-day moving average again
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is testing the 20-day moving average again, a level that has acted as strong resistance in recent weeks. Given the last three bullish candles, not to mention Monday's strong bullish reversal validated by volume. Price action suggests a potential break above this resistance. Will the downtrend finally yield?ImageBitcoin: The 20 daily moving average (DMA) will provide breakouts validations.The more a line is tested...ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
2.85K
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2025-04-12
Mega & Large Cap Companies Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart In Last 10 Days
1.Mega Cap Companies Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Costco(COST)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Merck(MRK)$ $HSBC Holdings PLC(HSBC)$ $AbbVie(ABBV)$ $Toyota(TM)$
1.38K
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2025-04-12
Indix & Sector ETFs Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart
1.ETF from Indices Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ $iShares Russell 3000 ETF(IWV)$ $Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF(RSP)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image2.Sector ETFs Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
1.83K
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2025-04-12
Death Cross Imminent in SPX
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Nice rally, and price remains near the 10-day moving average zone, similar to last Wednesday⚠️, and the death cross is looming⚠️. While further short-term bullish momentum is possible, without a V-shaped recovery akin to 2020 or 2018, this area could act as resistance before a resumption of the sell-off.That signal, the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average, was the subject of an educational analysis covering the last decade, published just two weeks ago. Review that publication to see for yourself the signal's historical relevance for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $iShares
2.40K
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2025-04-12
SE & GRAB – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff Storm
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff StormThese two 2024 growth stock darlings might actually be viewed as defensive plays going forward, given their lack of direct exposure to US, and (minimal China trade for SE) and the fact that all their revenue is generated within Southeast AsiaQ1'24 Earnngs Date: SE: 20/5GRAB: 15/5ImageImage1-Month Relative Strength (sorted) for my 15 Liquid watchlist $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$
1.29K
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2025-04-12
Whirlpool’s 8.2% Dividend Powerhouse Spinning Through the Downcycle
8.2% Dividend YieldDespite current headwinds in North American sales WHR’s high domestic manufacturing footprint (80% of US sales) provides insulation against potential tariff impacts.With a debt reduction target from 4.4x to 3.4x by end of 2025 and projected $550 million in free cash flow, WHR appears financially positioned to weather current housing market weakness.The stock has declined 27.0% over the trailing twelve months, potentially creating an attractive entry point as worst-case scenarios appear priced in.Investment Thesis $Whirlpool(WHR)$ is a US-based manufacturer of home appliances. Globally, WHR owns and operates 25 manufacturing facilities, with 11 in the United States. It owns 13 brands across small and large appliances, including Ki
1.66K
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2025-04-12
The SPY hardly moved
The SPY hardly moved from US PPI data and it was really good (lower inflation) and this is why:What’s the data saying?1.US PPI YoY (Year-over-Year):Actual: 2.7%Expected: 3.3%Previous: 3.2%✅ Came in lower than expected!2.US PPI MoM (Month-over-Month):Actual: -0.4%Expected: 0.2%Previous: 0.0%✅ Negative – prices dropped this month!3.US Core PPI YoY (excludes food & energy):Actual: 3.3%Expected: 3.6%Previous: 3.4%✅ Softer than expected!4.US Core PPI MoM:Actual: -0.1%Expected: 0.3%Previous: -0.1%✅ Still negative – very soft inflation pressureWhat does this mean? (Simple Terms)PPI = inflation for businesses.If it’s going up, costs go up, which may lead to price hikes for consumers.This report shows inflation is cooling off – businesses are paying less or not seeing much cost increases.How do
1.19K
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2025-04-12
Historically, market pullbacks don’t happen in a week or two
Historically, market pullbacks don’t happen in a week or two. They’re drawn out and bumpy.There was over 2 years from peak to drought from 2000-2002.There was over 2 years from peak to drought from 2007-2009.This peak was Feb 2025. May be 2027 until we see bottom.The stock market thinks short-term.Your biggest advantage is thinking long-term.The best investors are on a constant learning journey.Buffett started buying "cigar butt" stocks and evolved to a buy-and-hold strategy.Bill Gurley has made a fortune on internet companies and the internet didn't even exist when he started.Learn, implement, repeat. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(N
1.21K
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2025-04-12
Daily Charts - Bargain hunters should be looking for a different kind of liquidity
1.Weekend Wine-d Down...With fine wine prices down -25% off the peak, vs about -12% for stocks, maybe bargain hunters should be looking for a different kind of liquidity 😅Image2.One interesting dynamic is we haven't seen a whole lot of rotation through this...Basically been a process of "sell everything"Still, it's well worth keeping an eye on some of those stretched setups like the one in this chart.Image3.Funny how things just seem to have a habit of happening when the Market Cycle is "ready" to turn...Stockmarket Cycles reflect-valuations-business cycle-financial cycles-social/political cycles-industrialization/innovation cyclesThere were multiple signs that the market cycle was near a peak late last year, and now we have things happening -- and sure enough the cycle is turning down.The
694
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2025-04-12
Weekly Macro Themes - Stocks/bonds ratio turns bearish amid recession risks
This week I covered the following topics/ideas:1. Weighing Recession Risk: The US economy faces a high chance of recession this year.2. Stocks vs Bonds: The stock/bond ratio is rolling over as recession risk weighs and momentum shifts from bullish to bearish; relative value and positioning support further follow-through to the downside.3. Credit Spreads: Credit spreads are catching up (/waking up) to equity market volatility, and may well see further upside; particularly in event of recession (remain cautious on credit spreads/risk assets).4. US Dollar: Remain bearish US dollar on recession/political risk, deteriorating technicals, longer-term cycles, expensive valuations; and see credible chance of larger breakdown.5. Global vs US: Bullish global vs US equities given the prospect of a wea
2.23K
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2025-04-12
Top 10 SaaS Cloud multiples this week
This week in enterprise software: Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples as of today's market close $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ $Guidewire(GWRE)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $SailPoint Parent, LP(SAIL)$ $Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ ImageThis week on Clouded Judgement: The
2.58K
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2025-04-12
SPX - THE BEAR MARKET IS SET TO RESUME
THE BEAR MARKET IS SET TO RESUME $S&P 500(.SPX)$ CONFIRMED the bearish WXY model invalidating that the rally off the lows is impulsive.Therefore, 4835 is not safe as that should be crossed to decline to 4600-4400.However, there is strong risk of sideways price action to digest the historic swings before we begin the major leg lower.Overall, looking lower against 5481. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ ImageImag
6.29K
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2025-04-11
Big Loss of $90M! Market Maker Scores Big as Sell Put Trader Runs for the Exit
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Let’s start with a funny story: the whale who sold 90,000 contracts of the $130 put on Wednesday ran for the exit during Thursday’s session. Currently, the open interest for $NVDA 20250411 130.0 PUT$ stands at 58 contracts.We know this whale opened their position right before Wednesday’s close, which was at the highest price of the day. However, they closed out their position on Thursday at intraday lows.As a result, the market makers made a huge profit yet again. Assuming the whale’s closing price was $25 per contract, this trade resulted in a loss of about $90 million for them. In other words, the market makers pocketed $90 million in profits.I admit, I overesti
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2025-04-11
Trump & Bessent vs Powell - Investing Option.
Told You So ! As I have rightly pointed out in my 03 Apr 2025 post (click here ! for details, Repost to share ok), US market nosedived for a 2nd day on Fri, 04 Apr 2025. And it continued: On Tue, 8 Apr 2025 a day before reciprocal tariff kicked in. On Thu, 10 Apr 2025, when effect of “reciprocal tariff was put on hold for 90 days” has worn off. It is confirmed that : The Nasdaq Composite was in a bear market. The Dow was in a correction. All these, due to an anticipated global trade war in the making, spurring the biggest losses since the Covid pandemic. With China just upped its tariffs against US imports to 125% in retaliation against US’s crazy 145% tariffs on Chinese imports (see above), the tit-for-tat global war
TOP[Chuckle] [Chuckle] [Chuckle] Poker, [Warning]Must invite God of Gamblers to participate as VIP players [Chuckle] [Chuckle] [Chuckle]. Nice Sharing 👍. Get Ready for Bouncing effects next week [Chuckle]. @Jes86188 @Gis @Barcode @koolgal @Shyon
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2025-04-11
Ray Dalio Warns: Once-in-a-Lifetime Crash — Would You Go All In?
Recently, U.S. stocks have seen sharp volatility, while U.S. Treasuries—traditionally seen as a safe haven—have instead faced rare sell-offs. On Wednesday, the 10-year Treasury yield briefly spiked to 4.51%.Once-in-a-Lifetime Moment: It’s Bigger Than Tariffs.Ray Dalio recently warned that people are largely overlooking deeper forces driving almost everything—including tariffs.“The far bigger, far more important thing to keep in mind is that we are seeing a classic breakdown of the major monetary, political, and geopolitical orders.This sort of breakdown occurs only about once in a lifetime, but it has happened many times in history under similar unsustainable conditions.”Dalio highlights five major risks to watch:Breakdown of the monetary/economic orderBreakdown of domestic political stabi
TOPRay Dalio really hit the mark—what we’re seeing now isn’t just about tariffs or policy tweaks. When even U.S. Treasuries aren’t acting like a safe haven, you know we’re in uncharted territory. The breakdowns across monetary systems, politics, and geopolitics aren’t just noise—they’re structural shifts. Tariffs may grab headlines, but they’re just surface-level signals of something much bigger brewing underneath. Now, would I go all in during a crash like 2008? I’d definitely consider it—but cautiously. Panic moments can be once-in-a-lifetime chances, but they’re also when emotions run wild and timing gets tricky. I wouldn’t go “all in” blindly, but I would be ready with dry powder, watching for true capitulation, and scaling in strategically rather than taking a one-shot gamble. Staying diversified, tuned in, and not distracted by short-term noise is my game plan in this high-stakes environment. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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2025-04-11
[Events] What’s the hardest thing to predict in the stock market? Policy, sentiment, or technicals?
We all know trading isn’t easy. But what’s the hardest part? Sometimes it’s a surprise policy move that sends everything spinning. Other times, it’s investor sentiment shifting on a dime.Today is Friday, we would like to invite you to join the discussion👉“ What do YOU think is the hardest thing to predict in the market — policy, sentiment, or technicals?” And more importantly, why?💬 How to Join:Repost this thread and tag at least one friend to join the conversation.Comment below with your take — what's the most unpredictable part of the market, and why?🗓️ Event Duration:April 11 – April 17, 2025🎁 Prizes:Participation: Everyone who comments gets 5 Tiger Coins. Repost and tag a friend to earn 5 more.Most Liked Comment: Wins a $5 stock voucher.Lucky Draw: One random participant will win $5 st
TOPTo me, the stock market is like dating someone wildly unpredictable—full of mixed signals, sudden mood swings, and just when you think you’ve figured it out, everything changes. Policies are like overprotective parents barging in—one tariff tweet and global markets freeze. Market sentiment? More like a flaky ex: sweet one day, gone the next. And technical analysis? It's like reading between the lines of vague social media posts—you think it means something… until it doesn’t. I’d say emotion is the hardest to predict. When sentiment shifts, fundamentals and charts don’t stand a chance. One dramatic headline and the whole market panic-sells before lunch. Analysts are still drawing support lines while prices are already 10% down. It’s chaos & trying to stay logical in the middle of it is a serious mental game. My current mindset is: Don’t predict—follow. Don’t chase—prepare. Don’t panic—stay disciplined. Emotional control is the real edge in this market. @TigerEvents @Tiger_comments
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2025-04-11
Focus on The 2025 Warren Buffett Annual Shareholders, Send Questions to Berkshirequestions@cnbc.com.
$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ was the only winner with postive return compare to other rest TOP 10 stocks ranked by market cap.As of April 2025, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) held approximately $334.2 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. This significant cash position represents about 25% of Berkshire’s total assets.Here is the information about the 2025 Warren Buffett $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Annual Shareholders' Meeting:Ticket for 2025 Annual shareholder meetingTime and LocationThe 2025 Warren Buffett Annual Shareholders' Meeting will b