$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🧭 Market Flow Review & Outlook UpdateCompared to the previous analysis from April 16, today's outlook remains broadly consistent in terms of the long-term bullish trend. However, there is a slight change in the short-term pattern expectations and timing signals.Yesterday, we observed a correction trend within a bullish zone, and that still holds today. But today’s session showed a shift back to stronger buying pressure, which suggests that the correction might be stabilizing or preparing to transition back into a short-term uptrend.This change in buy-sell intensity is the key reason for adjusting the timing outlook while still maintaining the same g
From the preliminary stand point, volatility is definitely here to say. Those that are "off the market", it would be a great time to get ready to "time the market", base on Trumps vocal signals. I don't think Powell's current objectives is to "cushion" the market but rather to ensure that inflationary measures are kept at bay... which from trade war stand point, ot would be a very challenging tasks given that US is not manufacturing all the necessary parts but import mostly from China. @koolgal @MillionaireTiger @Blinkfans @BillionaireN
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : As anticipated yesterday, the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ declined; however, that was not the case for SP500, but the index managed to stay in the light green. No surprise, who would close with a big bounce ahead of a long weekend with such uncertainty? Bounce thesis still on.The lack of conviction in price action is widening again the lower Bollinger band. The potential implication is a delay in the bounce and the risk of lower lows. The oscillator is setting up a bearish reversal as well.Not a good close for the week, even with a resilient price action despite of $UnitedHealth(UNH)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$
I thought it worth highlighting a couple of additional charts I’ve come across that illustrate how this week’s chart may play out.The first chart shows foreign holdings of US equities vs their total holdings of US financial assets; you can see just how much foreign investors have been crowding into US stocks — just compare and contrast the peak of the dot com bubble vs the depths of the financial crisis. And the reality is foreign flows have been a critical part of the story above; driving things higher on the way up.But as alluded to, the many minds of markets are beginning to change; global investors are reporting a record high intention to underweight US equities. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF T
1. $Apple(AAPL)$ China is a big source of supply for Apple, but it also accounts for 16% of revenue.Image2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ China has accounted for over 20% of Tesla's revenue since 2020.Image3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 30% of NVIDIA's sales are to China or Singapore (which is definitely not exporting chips to China 😉).The impact of NVIDIA being essentially cut off from the Chinese AI market is pretty profound.⬆️ Competition⬇️ Cuda/Software Moat⬇️ Total Addressable MarketNVIDIA isn't in trouble by any means, but China is the #1 competition fear because they HAVE TO make it work.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privil
GE Aerospace (GE) Guidance On Supply Chain Constraints To Watch
$GE Aerospace(GE)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2025 earnings results before the market opens on Tuesday, 22 April 2025. The consensus among analysts is for adjusted EPS to be $1.27 which is within the range around $1.26 to $1.29. This would represent a significant increase compared to the $0.82 reported for the corresponding segment in Q1 2024 (before the spin-off). Analysts project GE Aerospace's standalone revenue for Q1 2025 to be approximately $9.04 billion. Note: Direct year-over-year comparison for revenue is complex due to the recent spin-off of GE Vernova. GE Aerospace (GE) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Decline By 2.96% GE had a positive earnings call on 23 Jan 2025 which saw its share price dropped by 2.96%. The earnings cal
$Verizon(VZ)$ is scheduled to release its quarterly result for fiscal Q1 2025 on 22 April 2025 before the market opens. The consensus estimate for Verizon revenue is expected to come in at $33.32 billion, which represent an increase of 1.02% compared to same period last year. The consensus estimate for earnings per share is projected at $1.15, this signify steadiness compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Verizon (VZ) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Rise By 13.10% Verizon had a positive earnings call on 24 Jan 2025 which saw its share price rise by 13.10% since. Verizon reported strong financial performance, subscriber growth, and strategic advancements in AI, offset by headwinds from promo amortization and wireline revenue p
Late last year US asset valuations reached a major milestone 16-years in the making.After a golden decade for returns from the depths of 2009, the average valuation score for US stocks, corporate credit (spreads), US Dollar (DXY), and real estate —reached a record high expensive level.Even the casual observer will notice something immediately from this chart.Investors had a good-time-for-a-long-time buying when this indicator reached low levels, and had a bad time when buying at high levels.Basically we went from one of the best buying opportunities in history back in 2009, to one of the worst around the turn of the year.They say don’t bet against America, but I would say that’s more of a statement about the long-term, as there has been plenty of times where from a cyclical standpoint it m
Charts tell stories, let's talk Moving Average Crossovers, considering the recent death cross in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ (50DMA in yellow and 200DMA in pink)Simple, effective, but not foolproof.ImageMAs smooth out price action. Think 20-day (short-term; blue), 50-day (medium-term; orange), 200-day (“the big picture” pink). A Crossover? It's when a faster MA goes above or dives below a slower one.🚀📉ImageBullish Crossover (aka "Golden Cross" for 50/200): Short-term MA breaks above Long-term MA. The market's whispering potential upside momentum. Could be confirmation or an early entry signal.SPY in February 2023:ImageBearish Crossover (aka "Death Cross" for 50/200): Short-term MA slices below Long-term MA. Suggests downside momentum kicking
SPX Long-Term Investment Strategy: Stay the Course
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Long-Term Investment Strategy: Stay the CourseThe long-term strategy remains “Buy and Hold”, as we are still in a Bullish Zone.The market has been in this bullish state for the past 4 days, with a cumulative return of +0.1% since April 10, 2025.📈 Entry Price (Apr 10): 5,268.1📉 Current Price (Apr 16): 5,275.7➕ Profit: +7.7 points💡 Why Buy and Hold?In a Bullish Zone, prices tend to rise over time. Holding your investment without frequent trading allows you to benefit from the overall upward trend.Unless the market shifts into a Bearish Zone (which would signal a major trend reversal), there is no need to change your long-term strategy.Expected Movement Ov
Intel’s Altera Sale at a Discount: Bold Strategy or Desperate Move?
$Intel( $Intel(INTC)$ )$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing( $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ )$ $NVIDIA Corp( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ )$ On April 14, 2025, Intel made waves by selling a 51% stake in its FPGA subsidiary Altera to Silver Lake for $4.46 billion, valuing Altera at $8.75 billion. Intel retains a 49% stake, and its stock jumped 3% on the news. But at nearly half the $16.7 billion Intel paid for Altera in 2015, this discount sale raises big questions: Is this a savvy step in Intel’s transformation, or a sign of deeper struggles? Will more spinoffs follow? And should investors be bullish on Intel’s future? Let’s dig in with fresh data and analysis as of
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ TSMC reported earnings and maintained its original 20%–30% growth forecast, with robust AI demand. Still, this isn’t enough to reverse the overall weakness in chip stocks—prices are likely to retest previous lows.The largest bearish options position opened on Wednesday was the $NVDA 20250417 65.0 PUT$ , with 45,000 contracts. Not that anyone thinks it's going to $65$—this is more about trading volatility.So there are basically four bearish camps: $100$, $90$, $80$, and sub-$80$. Below $80$, it’s more about playing volatility, while most people see the range as below $100$, above $90$.Chances are, NVDA closes above $100$ this week. But if you’re holding short puts an
How to Analyze a Company’s Financial Statements Analyzing a company’s financial statements is like cracking open its financial DNA—it reveals how healthy, profitable, and sustainable a business is. Whether you’re eyeing a stock like PLTR at $74.01 (April 6, 2025) or a blue-chip like Coca-Cola, these statements tell you what’s under the hood. The three key documents are the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. By digging into them, you can gauge if a stock’s price makes sense, spot risks, or find hidden gems. Here’s how to do it, step by step, with a nod to PLTR for context. What Are Financial Statements? Financial statements are standardized reports companies file (quarterly/annually) with regulators like the SEC (via 10-Q/10-K forms in the U.S.). They’re your primary
$PLTR 20250530 80.0 PUT$ PLTR nearing resistance ~96-98$. Worth a punt here. I do think this stock is overvalued and has way too high PE. Let news of its nato collaboration die down and it might drop back down.