19.55K
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2025-12-30
Flash Crash in Silver: Is It Time to Pivot Your Strategy?
Silver experienced a significant drop last night. The sell-off erupted just after the CME raised margin requirements for silver futures. This move by the world's largest exchange by trading volume seems like an official endorsement of the view that "silver is currently overbought." Following the sudden liquidity tightening, silver futures fell over 10 points, causing a minor pullback in the US stock market's Christmas rally. Many are concerned: Is the uptrend in silver over? How likely is a continued sharp decline? Could it end the US stock market's Christmas rally as well?In fact, we warned about a potential silver drop in our previous analysis. I specifically highlighted the importance of the 5-day moving average for the main continuous silver futures contract. Theoretically, a short squ
TOPCyrilDavy: Silver's flash crash is brutal! Your MA strategy sounds solid, but I'd hold off pivoting until rebound signs.[看跌]
60.24K
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2025-12-29
AIZ Analysis: 10% Rally From Blue Box—What’s Next?
AIZ broke a new record high to continue the all-time bullish cycle. This recent break makes one of the most profitable in its sector. Traders should continue to buy the dip just as we did from the blue box in the last update. About AIZ Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) is a leading global provider of risk management and insurance solutions, serving the housing and lifestyle markets. Headquartered in Atlanta, it operates across Global Housing and Global Lifestyle segments, offering products such as mobile device protection, vehicle service contracts, and renters insurance. With operations in over 20 countries, Assurant partners with major financial institutions and retailers, leveraging data-driven innovation to deliver consistent growth and strong shareholder value. AIZ Long Term Elliott Wav
TOPSpot on! AIZ's momentum is unstoppable, keep buying the dips.[看涨]
60.12K
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2025-12-29
PM Price Analysis: Risk-Free Target Met, $215 Ahead?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) may have ended the over 4 months bearish cycle from June 2025. The current rebound happened at the blue box where the October 29 blog post alerted traders to go long. After reaching the first target, why do I think it could reach $215 in the coming days or weeks. Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) is a leading global tobacco and nicotine company headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut. It manufactures and markets well-known cigarette brands, including Marlboro, and is actively transitioning toward smoke-free products through its “Beyond Nicotine” strategy. PMI’s flagship smoke-free product, IQOS, uses heat-not-burn technology and has gained significant global adoption. Operating in over 180 markets, the company focuses on reducin
TOPSolid call on PM! Reaching $215 soon sounds spot on.[看涨]
599
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2025-12-29
My top pick this week is $Taiwan Fund Inc(TWN)$ . With its upcoming ex-dividend date, it’s a great way to secure a solid payout while staying exposed to Taiwan’s key sectors. As a fund, it provides diversification and reduces single-stock risk, which I value for stability and growth. TWN has posted positive YTD gains, unlike some other high-dividend stocks, reflecting strong fundamentals and a disciplined dividend track record. Buying before the ex-dividend date lets me capture the payout while still benefiting from potential long-term upside in Taiwan’s tech and industrial sectors. I’ve also checked the analyst price targets on Tiger Trade, and the outlook looks
TOPWah, solid choice! TWN's dividend and growth very promising. I'm in too![强]
874
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2025-12-29
Buffett stepping down is undoubtedly the end of an era, but it doesn't automatically weaken my confidence in Berkshire Hathaway as a defensive stock. What Buffett built over six decades is not just a portfolio of businesses, but a deeply embedded culture of capital discipline, long-term thinking, and risk control. In my view, that culture matters far more than any single individual, even someone as legendary as Buffett. I do have confidence in his successor, largely because this transition has been planned for years, not rushed at the last minute. The operating businesses are already run independently by strong managers, and capital allocation has long been a shared process with clear principles. Berkshire today is less about stock picking genius and more about a system that prioritizes ca
TOPNice Sharing 😊 @JC888 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
1.29K
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2025-12-29
2025 Recap: Which Opportunities Do You Regret Missing the Most?
I won’t say I regret missing opportunities in 2025. Regret is a heavy word, one that implies certainty—that I should have known better, that the outcome was obvious. Markets don’t work that way. What I will say is that there are moments, charts, and earnings calls I sometimes revisit with a quiet sense of curiosity: What if? 2025 was a year that made hindsight feel louder than it deserved to be. The headlines were cinematic. Trump’s return to the political stage reintroduced policy uncertainty like a recurring plot twist—tariffs resurfaced, trade rhetoric hardened, and markets oscillated between panic and indifference. At the same time, artificial intelligence stopped being a “theme” and became an infrastructure race. Capital flowed not just into models, but into chips, storage, energy, an
TOPSpot on about opportunity cost, mate. Patience pays off! [666]
813
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2025-12-30
Bitcoin $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ reclaiming the $90,000 level feels more like a test of conviction than a clean victory lap. When price approaches a major psychological level like this, I'm less focused on the headline and more on how the market behaves around it. The strength in crypto-related equities alongside Bitcoin suggests risk appetite is still there, but historically, these levels often come with hesitation rather than immediate follow-through. Between direct Bitcoin exposure and crypto-related equities, I still prefer holding Bitcoin itself when prices are near key levels. Bitcoin gives me cleaner exposure without company-specific risks like balance sheets, dilution, or operational issues. Crypto equities
919
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2025-12-30
Buffett Era Ends: Will Berkshire Crash or Pull an "Apple-Under-Cook" Surge? The inevitable has finally arrived. Warren Buffett is stepping down as CEO at the end of the year, closing the book on perhaps the greatest capital allocation run in history—from a struggling textile mill in 1965 to a $1 trillion conglomerate today. But for traders and long-term holders of $BRK.B and $BRK.A, the nostalgia needs to be replaced immediately with cold calculation. The market hates uncertainty, and the "Buffett Premium" has anchored this stock for decades. With Greg Abel taking the wheel, we are facing the single biggest structural test in Berkshire’s history. Is this the moment the fortress cracks, or are we about to see a value-unlocking phase similar to Apple after Steve Jobs? 1️⃣ The "Buffett Premiu
4.21K
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2025-12-30
🤖🚗📈 Tesla’s 2026 Inflection Point, Is This Pullback Repricing FSD, Robotaxi and Optimus 📈🚗🤖
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ Bullish $Intel(INTC)$ Bullish 29 Dec 2025 🇺🇸 | 30 Dec 2025 🇳🇿 I’m not reading this $TSLA pullback as failure. I’m reading it as repricing. The daily gap is now fully closed, downside liquidity has been harvested, and the market is being forced to decide how much of Tesla’s 2026 autonomy, robotics, and energy roadmap it wants to capitalise today, rather than debate near-term delivery noise. 🧠 Daily structure, what actually matters I’m seeing a textbook daily reset, not a breakdown. • The gap below has been fully filled, removing downside magnetism • A clean gap remains overhead, leaving unfinished business ab
TOP$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-Rex 2x Inverse Tesla Daily Target ETF(TSLZ)$ This is exactly the kind of tape the Grinch shows up for 🎄😈🔥📉 I’m seeing today’s sell-off drive price straight into the gap-fill and key moving average zone 📊📉. Bears controlled the tape 🐻, no question. Now it becomes a structure test ⚖️, do we get follow-through and acceptance lower ⬇️, or does this turn into stabilisation after liquidity is flushed 💧. This next session decides whether the move extends 📉➡️ or exhausts 🔄. 🤖🦾🔋 🚘🤖 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESLA ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
902
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2025-12-30
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
1.01K
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2025-12-30
$Reddit(RDDT)$ $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$
TOPSpot on analysis! Reddit's AI shift is a game-changer. Massive upside ahead.[看涨]
751
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2025-12-30
$Noodles(NDLS)$ $Yum(YUM)$
TOPThey obviously didn’t use their noodle 🍜🤣
846
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2025-12-30
Why Bull Put Spread For Amazon (AMZN). Expire: 09 Jan 26
We saw $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ getting a slight decline of 0.19% on Monday (29 Dec) after the Christmas holiday, and guess this show that Amazon fundamental is still strong enough to go through the volatility we are going to see coming from S&P 500 and NASDAQ dip. AMZN implied volatility (IV) is 24.3, which is in the 9% percentile rank. This means that 9% of the time the IV was lower in the last year than the current level. The current IV (24.3) is -10.1% below its 20 day moving average (27.1) indicating implied volatility is trending lower. In this article, I would like to share my plan for a Bull Put spread for Amazon. With Amazon expected move for 09 Jan at around $238 to $225, I have decided to do 230/225 bull put spread with expiration on 09 J
TOPSpot on strategy! AMZN's low IV makes it perfect for a bull put spread.[强]
1.28K
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2025-12-30
Bitcoin Next Move: Consolidation and Potential Breakout
Over the past week trading sessions, $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ Bitcoin has gained more than 2% to climb back above the $90,000 per BTC zone, a level not seen since we saw $84,000 around 22 Nov 2205, and Bitcoin have been trying to push for a renewed bullish momentum. It looks like the current sideways trading, primarily in the $85,000 to $95,000 range, is a natural period of market indecision where buying and selling pressures are temporarily balanced. Currently, Bitcoin continued to hover around $87,000, so is the current behavior gearing more towards a “Pump and Dump”, or we think that the current price behavior is far more consistent with a high-level consolidation following a prior impulse move than with a classic “pump and dump”
740
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2025-12-30
L🚨 New Year, New Rules: The "Easy Mode" Trade is Officially Dead The confetti has settled, and the charts are resetting. Are you ready for the 2026 reality check? If you made money in 2025 just by blindly buying the index, congratulations—but don’t expect that strategy to work in January. We are shifting from a market powered by liquidity promises to one that demands profit proof. While the street consensus is calling for a smooth ride to new highs, the internal plumbing of the market tells a different story. The "Fed Put" is in the rearview mirror; now it’s all about execution. Before you load up your portfolio for Q1, here is why the 2026 playbook is completely different. 1️⃣ The Bull Thesis: It’s Time to "Show Me the Money" 💵 The bulls aren't relying on hope anymore—they are betting on
686
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2025-12-30
My focus today will be on silver $FUT:Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ , especially after this sharp pullback. The recent move feels more like a liquidity-driven shakeout than a breakdown in fundamentals, but that doesn’t mean prices can’t stay volatile in the near term. After such a crowded trade unwinds, the market needs time to rebuild confidence & depth. At this stage, I’m firmly in the “steady first, act later” camp. The long-term logic for precious metals remains intact, yet short-term liquidity is clearly thin and sentiment fragile. I’d rather anchor my portfolio with gold ETFs as a core holding, while watching silver patiently for signs that
TOPGood approach, mate. Silver's tricky now; patience pays off. Holding gold too.[强]
974
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2025-12-30
Iy really means nothing if the S&P fell on Monday. Days are irrelevant, so are weeks, even months. And let's face it, most are on holiday atm so everything that happens will be based on low volumes. So don't worry bout a thing. I invest in companies with a 1 to 3 year outlook Minimum. to make meaningful predictions beyond that timeframe is pure conjecture. Example, 10 years from now will $McDonald's(MCD)$ still be the world's biggest burger maker? Well actually McDonalds doesn't make burgers. It owns property and collects franchise fees from franchises that make burgers. So will they be doing that in ten years from now, or will they bulldoze all their restaurants and build high rise apartments and hotels. I know I'm being
998
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2025-12-29
Beyond the Hype: Why Robo.ai's Acquisition of Jidu Actually Reduces Risk
Foreword: Put Away the Champagne, Open ExcelWhile the market revels in the sensational headlines of Robo.ai $Robo.ai Inc(AIIO)$ acquiring Jidu (the Jiyue brand), as an analyst who trusts only data, I care little for grand narratives about "dreams." I care about only one thing: How does this transaction change the denominator in my DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model—specifically, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)?The conclusion is cold and counter-intuitive: This merger does not increase "Integration Risk" as retail investors fear; on the contrary, it is the single greatest "Risk Reducer" in Robo.ai's corporate lifecycle.Based on the latest asset injection information, I have lowered AIIO's Beta coefficient from a high-growth tech 2.5 to 1.
TOPSpot on! Lowering Beta makes sense, risk reduction is real.[强]
47.12K
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2025-12-30
$MP Reclaims $100 Level in 2026. Yes !
As the curtains draw on a historic 2025, $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ (in my humble opinion) stands as the centerpiece of a high-stakes geopolitical drama. After a year defined by a staggering +228.8% surge in share price, the company is not merely resting on its laurels. Instead, MP is preparing for a "Phase II" breakout in 2026, fueled by the commissioning of the West’s first heavy rare earth facility and a unique $1.1 billion government-backed pricing safety net. Before we look at MP materials in 2025 retrospectively, below are posts I have shared previously - Enjoy ! 14 Jul 2025 - AAPL pushed $MP to $62 Intraday. OMG! 11 Jul 2025 -
TOPMP's set to climb higher with that new plant.[看涨]
740
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2025-12-30
I see the recent pullback in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$