To The Moon

From Brownian Motion to Linear Equations: Systemic Entropy Reduction and Valuation Reconstruction of the $Robo.ai Inc(AIIO)$ MergerToday marks the final trading day of 2025. The New Year's fireworks outside are merely a placebo for emotional investors; for quantitative traders, there is only one task worth performing at this moment: The Annual Factor Re-weighting of portfolio holdings.Regarding the discussion surrounding Robo.ai (Nasdaq: AIIO) acquiring Jidu (Jiyue Brand), the market is saturated with literary rhetoric. As a Data Fundamentalist, I must strip away this qualitative noise and return to the quantitative essence.My model indicates that this transaction is not a simple "expansion," but a textbook case of "Systemic Entropy Reduction." I

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Intel(INTC)$  📊🧠🚀 $META Compression, Pattern Reset, and a Strategic AI Inflection 🚀🧠📊 I’m reviewing all charts together, including the full pattern trading structure, and this is one of those moments where the signal is quietly stronger than the headlines. While much of the AI space is chasing narrative momentum, $META is doing something far more interesting structurally. I’m watching price coil tightly inside the $655 to $666.80 blue bands. This is not random chop and it is not late cycle indecision. This is controlled compression sitting directl

$PulteGroup(PHM)$ $Toll Brothers(TOL)$  $Lennar(LEN)$  📉🏗️📊 PHM Pullback Into the 320DMA, Noise or Opportunity? 📊🏗️📉 I’m watching PulteGroup $PHM ease about −1.2% as homebuilders cool after the hotter Case-Shiller print. That macro pressure is clear, but it’s also well flagged and broadly priced across the group. I’m far more interested in where price is landing. PHM is pulling back into its 320DMA around $117–118, a zone that has historically acted as a stabilisation area rather than a breakdown trigger. About half the time, tests of this long-term average have resolved higher, particularly when the broader trend structure remains intact. I’m no

$Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical(RARE)$ $Spdr S&P Biotech Etf(XBI)$  $iShares Biotechnology ETF(IBB)$  🧬🎯 Brittle Endpoint, Resilient Helix 🎯🧬 When a price cut sharpens the aim, not the thesis 🚨📰 Just in: $RARE proves you can put the target on a diet without starving the thesis. 🏦 Wells Fargo cut its price target on $RARE to $45 from $65 while maintaining Overweight. I read this as probability discipline, not loss of conviction. At roughly $19.72, the revised framework still implies about 128% upside, reframing the move as risk calibration rather than thesis erosion. ✂️ The reset followed Ultragenyx’s setrusumab miss in osteogenesis imperfecta, wh

Imagine a world where AI data centers devour power like never before, electric vehicles zoom across highways in droves, and renewable energy grids stretch farther than ever—all fueled by one essential red metal that's suddenly in ultra-short supply. That's the explosive reality hitting copper right now, and it's pushing prices into uncharted territory with no signs of slowing down. 💥 As we close out 2025, this breakout isn't just a blip; it's a massive signal for investors eyeing macro plays that could redefine portfolios heading into the new year. Let's dive deep into what's igniting this fire. First off, supply chains are cracking under pressure—major mines worldwide are facing disruptions from strikes, weather woes, and aging infrastructure, slashing output at a time when the world need

New year, new resolutions. Some people promise to go to the gym 🏋️‍♂️. Some promise to eat healthier 🥗. Some promise to sleep earlier 😴. Me? I promised myself: 👉 “I will let the market decide my fate, but I will collect premium while waiting.” And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how I ended up selling an IWM put at 251, collecting $0.70 premium, with 3 days to expiry, as a New Year joke — because what better way to welcome a new year than by gambling responsibly with math? 📊😂 ⸻ 🧨 The Setup: A Joke… That Wasn’t Really a Joke It was one of those moments where the market was quiet, coffee was warm ☕, and confidence was high (a dangerous combination). I looked at IWM and thought: “Hey… you look stable. You’re not flying, you’re not crashing. You’re just… existing.” And that’s when the thought h

1. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ I would NOT be buying #silver / $SLV / $Global X Silver Miners ETF(SIL)$ here.This isn’t “Silver is about to crash.” It’s “you’re massively overpaying.”Monthly BX has been in a bull cycle since March 2024 and $SLV is now +190%, trading well above the 2x deviation bands.Historically that’s where pullbacks show up. 2. $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ GLD is up 117%+ since Monthly BX confirmed a bull cycle in Nov 2023.My model had an expected move to 320 by Dec 2025 – we’re already there, trading at a massive premium.Yes, it’s stayed “expensive” and kept rallying, but I would not be buying here. My goal is to buy strong bull cycles at discounts, and

1. $Alibaba(BABA)$ Last 3 times this setup fired on BABA, it rallied ~80% within months.Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle and price is back in the same weekly buy zone.I like 135–145 as an entry range for a potential 50%+ leg higher. 2. $PayPal(PYPL)$ PYPL has a real shot to be a massive winner in 2026 – but not yet.Price is in a strong discount range, but Monthly BX is still dark red = Bear Cycle ❌I’m staying patient on this one. No position for me until Monthly BX confirms a new bull cycle. 3. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ NBIS Bull Cycle started in May 2025 and it’s now up 200%+ since that confirmation.Last 2 months it’s sold off 42% and is now testing Weekly Bias = short‑

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  Today’s Most Active Stocks and Options 30Dec25 🇺🇸 | 31Dec25 🇳🇿🥳 Top 5 symbols controlling the tape: $NVDA $TSLA $SLV $MU $VOO 📊 Flow and Volume, Big Money Has Already Voted I’m watching $NVDA dominate activity with 286,134 total contracts and a +27,892 net imbalance across stock and options. That is not speculative churn. That is capital rotating with intent. Structure remains intact, momentum rebuilt, and prior downside attempts resolved into a clean bear trap. Flow has flipped back toward leadership. 🧠 M&A Optionality, Talent Over Headlines NVIDIA is reportedly in advanced

$NVDA$For January, the most reliable sell put strike is undoubtedly still 160. A large block trade opened, selling the January 30th 160 put $NVDA 20260130 160.0 PUT$ , with 36.9k contracts opened.On the call side, the January 16th 190 call $NVDA 20260116 190.0 CALL$  saw 30k contracts added in new opens, leaning towards the sell side, bringing total open interest to 100k contracts. The market message is that it will be difficult for the price to break above 190 before January 16th.However, referencing last January's price action, if the broader market does not correct after the New Year but maintains its current consolidation, given the scale of open in

Buckle up, folks – the silver market just delivered a thriller that'll make your portfolio sweat! 🌟 After skyrocketing over 160% this year, hitting a jaw-dropping high near $84 per ounce, prices took a nosedive that had traders scrambling. But hold on, this wasn't some random sell-off; it was a classic case of leverage gone wild, amplified by whispers of a massive bank stumble. 😲 Let's unpack the chaos, explore the mechanics behind it, and peek at what's brewing next for this shiny powerhouse. First off, picture this: silver's been on a tear, fueled by exploding demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and tech gadgets that gobble up the metal like candy. 🏭 Global supply chains are straining under shortages from key mines in Mexico and Peru, where strikes and weather woes have slashed

$TSLA 20251017 275.0 CALL$ 

Thank you all for your enthusiastic participation.It’s time to announce the winners again! Let’s reveal last week’s winning Tigers! Vouchers & Tiger Coins have already been distributed[Heart][Heart]please check the Tiger Coin Center to find in your history!From 12.22-12.28Lucky Tigers: Each of you has received 100 Tiger Coins! Don’t forget to check them@KingDw@jobobo@moliya@Petworld@LaikenAll it takes is one post in the weekly topic to have a chance at winning the lucky draw!Active Tigers of the week: each of you ha

Nothing to see here... Or is there?  Traders and speculators react to news flash and rumours. I don't. Not that I don't care, but life is more than chasing after every stories. I read in @Shernice軒嬣 2000 post on a rumour on a major bank imminent collapse due to its shorts position in silver market. Apparently, the rumoured bank is JP Morgan. Rumours as they are, stay where they are.  There are obviously many banks 🏦 that have shorted silver in the past. JP Morgan happened to feature prominently but that doesn't mean they are doing it now. Silver, not sure why, has always been a hated cousin of gold. Silver price has always been depressed artificially by major financial institutions.  Even when silver has in recent years