$TSLA 20260116 420.0 PUT$ Was going to close this option earlier but ended up holding to expiry day this friday. Will close on any bad news that may come out.
$Intel(INTC)$ Saw an article and it plays right into Intel situation and playbook. Catalyst: Recent news highlights that TSMC is hitting capacity limits for Nvidia and other major AI chipmakers — meaning supply bottlenecks. That constraint is reshaping the AI chip supply chain, creating space for alternative foundries. Intel’s Foundry Services could benefit as customers seek available, reliable capacity versus waiting on TSMC backlogs — calling it a potential “golden ticket” for Intel’s foundry comeback. 📊 Short Technical Analysis (Daily/Weekly View) Trend: • Price has broken past recent consolidation, holding above key horizontal support near prior congestion zones (mid-term pivot). • Stronger higher l
JPMorgan’s investment-banking (IB) miss is a useful caution signal, but it does not on its own prove a broad-based collapse in capital markets activity. 1) Does the miss imply a wider slowdown in capital markets? More “uneven recovery” than “broad slowdown”. JPM’s miss was product-specific and timing-driven. Reporting indicated the shortfall was materially tied to debt underwriting coming in below what the bank itself had guided, rather than a uniform decline across all capital-markets lines. The wider industry backdrop is not signalling a freeze. Dealogic data cited by Reuters showed global investment banking revenue rose about 15% in 2025, with M&A volumes also materially higher year on year. That is inconsistent with a generalised capital-markets slump. Trading strength
Missed Nvidia or SpaceX? The "Second Source" Strategy Could Be Your Next Alpha 🚀 Everyone loves a winner. In this market, the spotlight is permanently fixed on the kings: Nvidia ($NVDA) in AI, SpaceX in aerospace, and Tesla ($TSLA) in EVs. But here is a counter-intuitive truth that smart money knows: Sometimes, the "Second Best" offers a better risk/reward setup than the King. Why? Because in business and national security, reliance on a single supplier is suicide. When one company holds a 90% monopoly, the market (and the government) will pay a premium to keep the runner-up alive. This is the "Second Source" trade—and if you missed the rally on the leaders, this is where you should be looking. 1️⃣ The "Hostage" Dilemma: Why Big Tech Needs a Backup Imagine you are the procurement chief at
Monetizing the AI Boom: Strategies to Justify Soaring Capital Expenditures in 2026
Look, I’ve been following this AI gold rush pretty closely, and right now it feels like we’re watching the most expensive bet in tech history play out in real time.The numbers are honestly insane. The biggest cloud players — think Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta — are burning through something like half a trillion dollars in capital expenditures over just two years. We’re talking new data centers popping up faster than anyone can count, insane power deals, custom chips, whole new grids being planned… it’s like the entire industry decided to build the next decade of computing all at once.And the question everyone (including me) keeps asking is:Okay… but how are they actually going to make that money back?Here’s what I’m seeing in early 2026 — the realistic ways companies are starting to tur
The Gold Miners ETF (GDX) continues to demonstrate strength, advancing in the form of an impulsive Elliott Wave structure. The cycle that began from the October 28, 2025 low remains in progress, unfolding as a clear five-wave sequence. Within this development, wave 1 concluded at $91.67, followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2 that reached $83.22, as illustrated on the one-hour chart. The internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as a double three corrective pattern, reflecting the complexity of the retracement. Specifically, wave ((w)) ended at $84.89, the subsequent rally in wave ((x)) terminated at $88.48, and the final decline in wave ((y)) completed at $83.22, marking the end of wave 2 at a higher degree. From that point, the Index resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3. Progressin
From the TRIP.COM: A Practical Breakdown of Short Put Risk Management
Hello everyone. Today, I'd like to use the Ctrip stock crash incident to discuss managing short put positions.What Happened:💡 Cause: On January 14th, based on China's Anti-Monopoly Law, the State Administration for Market Regulation formally launched an investigation into Ctrip for suspected abuse of market dominance.💡 Impact on Stock Price: Ctrip's US-listed stock (Ticker: TCOM) closed at $75.68 on January 13th and plummeted 17% to close at $62.78 on January 14th. Ctrip's Hong Kong-listed stock (Ticker: 09961) closed at HKD 569 on January 14th and fell sharply intraday, down 20% to HKD 452 on January 15th.💡 Impact on Business: Ctrip issued an announcement stating that all company operations are normal and that the investigation has not yet had a material impact on its business.Changes in
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ META’s $14B Nuclear Gamble: Is Mark Zuckerberg Building a Moat or a Money Pit? Meta Platforms (META) dropped 2.2% following reports that its new nuclear-powered data center could come with an eye-watering $14 billion price tag. This isn’t just a headline about a single factory; it’s a wake-up call regarding the true cost of the AI arms race. While Big Tech has been battling over GPUs (Nvidia chips), the battlefield has quietly shifted to the one thing chips can’t run without: Energy. But for traders, the immediate question is sharper: Does this massive CapEx spend signal a visionary long-term play, or are we seeing a return to the unchecked spending that crushed the stock in 2022? 1️⃣ The Sticker Shock: Why
🚨 China's Iron Grip on AI: Nvidia's H200 Chips Banned Except for "Special Cases" – Tech World in Turmoil! 💣
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🌏 Buckle up, tech enthusiasts! In a bold escalation amid the US-China tech showdown, Beijing has slammed the brakes on Nvidia's powerhouse H200 AI chips. Customs agents are outright blocking imports, and officials are warning domestic giants: don't buy unless it's absolutely critical – think university R&D labs only. This isn't just a speed bump; it's a full-on roadblock that could reshape the global AI landscape. 😲 🔍 Let's dive deep into the drama. Sources reveal Chinese authorities summoned top tech firms for urgent meetings, delivering a crystal-clear message: H200 purchases get the green light solely under "special circumstances." No explanations, no timelines – just a vague "necessary" clause that's leaving everyone scratch
$UAVS isn’t a drone company — it’s a dilution Prata shop.
Listen, don’t say I didn’t warn you. $AgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc.(UAVS)$ is exactly like one of those fake prata stalls that suddenly pop up at 2 a.m. in an empty carpark or industrial estate. From far away it smells amazing, lights blazing, music pumping. You walk up, and the guy behind the counter goes: “Special promotion! Prepaid card right now — load $100, get $200 worth of prata credit! Only $1.23 per piece if you preload, that’s 75% below normal price! Crispy, tasty, best deal in town. This business is going to explode — we’re opening ten more stalls soon. Load up while you can! It sounds too good to be true, right? So you hand over your cash or transfer via app, they hand you a shiny plastic “prata membe
$AMN Healthcare Services Inc(AMN)$$Cross Country Healthcare(CCRN)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ 📈🏥🚀 $AMN Healthcare triggers a JPM-driven regime shift 🚀🏥📈 $AMN just ripped +19% after releasing its JPM Healthcare Conference deck, triggering a liquidity pocket breakout and a full institutional repricing across healthcare staffing, hospital services and defensive growth. This was not retail. This was fund flow, gamma reset and earnings regime change. 💰 Why Wall Street hit the buy button AMN is no longer being treated as a cyclical staffing name. It is now being repriced as a healthcare workforce infrastructure platform with pricing power, margin levera
$Netflix(NFLX)$$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ $Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$ 📈🎬🔥 Netflix vs Warner Bros Discovery, M&A tension meets a volatility inflection 🔥🎬📈 $NFLX is pressing into a critical liquidity pocket after sliding inside a clean descending channel from the late-June record high of $134.12. Price is now sitting in the same $83 to $90 demand zone that defined the April structural low, even while Netflix is still up +7% over the last 12M. That divergence between price and fundamentals is where mean reversion setups are born. 🧠 Options Flow and Volatility Options positioning is flashing extreme asymmetry. The 10-day call to put r
📊⚡️🔬 Volatility Compression, Gamma Flow and Liquidity Breakout in TSMC 📊⚡️🔬
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ This tape is mispricing a volatility regime shift into $TSM earnings on 15 Jan. Price is not stalling, it is compressing, and when compression appears alongside rising institutional flow, short dated gamma and suppressed IV, it creates the highest probability environment for non linear price discovery. Taiwan Semiconductor is not trading like a mature foundry, it is trading like an AI infrastructure gatekeeper with a liquidity vacuum above the tape. $TSM is sitting at $325.40 (-1.75%) after printing a gap down and go from $324 to $333+ immediately following
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ $T-Rex 2x Inverse Tesla Daily Target ETF(TSLZ)$ This FSD shift isn’t cosmetic, it’s structural ⚡️ With $TSLA around $436.61 and sitting right on the $437 liquidity pivot 👀📉, the timing of Elon Musk’s move matters. Tesla is killing the $8k one-time FSD purchase and shifting to subscription only by 14Feb, likely around $99 per month. That reframes FSD as a living software service, not a fixed promise. 1️⃣ Eliminating the purchase option removes the hardware upgrade and retrofit overhang for new buyers, subscribers aren’t promised anything beyond the service. 2️⃣ One of Elon Musk’s
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $MasterCard(MA)$ 📊💰🔥 Hedge Funds Are Refusing to Short the Real Market Leaders 🔥💰📊 TODAY’S UNUSUAL OPTIONS ACTIVITY, 14Jan26 If hedge funds control roughly 85% of U.S. short interest and still refuse to lean into names like $WMT, $AMZN, $MA, $LLY and $CB, that is not passive behaviour, it is institutional conviction. That positioning signals where real money sees durable earnings power, pricing leverage, balance sheet dominance and secular growth insulated from macro volatility, liquidity cycles and regime shifts. When shorts avoid platform monopolies with expanding margins, recurring revenue, scale economics
State Street (STT) Beat on NII and 2026 forecast To Watch
$State(STT)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results on Friday, January 16, 2026, before the market opens. The company enters this report near all-time highs (trading around $132–$134), having rallied significantly in late 2025. While the fundamental backdrop is strong, the market reaction to recent earnings has been "sell the news," even on beats, making this a high-stakes report for short-term traders. Q4 2025 Consensus Estimates State Street (STT) reported its fiscal third-quarter 2025 results on October 17, 2025. While the company delivered a "double beat" on both the top and bottom lines, the market’s reaction was initially cautious, providing a clear lesson on what investors value most in the current environment. Q3 2025
TSMC's financial report exceeded expectations, how to use options to bet on the rise?
Just now, January 15, 2026-$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) $Announced today that for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, the company's consolidated revenue reachedNT $1.04609 trillion, net profitNT $505.74 billionDiluted earnings per shareNT $19.50(Yield per unit of ADR$3.14)。On a year-on-year basis, revenue growth in the quarter20.5%, both net profit and diluted earnings per share increased35.0%; QoQ Q3 2025, revenue growth5.7%, net profit growth11.8%。 All financial data are based onTaiwan Financial Accounting Standards(TIFRS), prepared on a consolidated basis.In U.S. dollars, fourth-quarter revenue was$33.73 billion, year-on-year growth25.5%, month-on-month growth1.9%。Gross profit margin for the quarter was62.3%, operating profit m
Heavy Oracle Put Buying Flags Downside Risk Amid Software Selloff, Lawsuit Risk On Wednesday, U.S. software stocks broadly weakened, with $Oracle(ORCL)$ shares falling more than 5% intraday. Beyond news that the company has been sued by a creditor, an unusual options trade suggests institutional investors are proactively pricing in downside risk for Oracle over the coming weeks. Heavy Put Buying Signals Institutional Short-Term Bearish Positioning Options data show significant activity in ORCL's February 13, 2026 $160 put, where nearly 10,000 contracts traded in a single session while open interest previously stood at only single digits. The volume-to-open-interest ratio (V/OI) exceeded 100, strongly indi