🧠⚡📈 Earnings season ignites, mega-cap flow, volatility expansion, and a regime-defining week 📈⚡🧠
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 💼 Earnings concentration, volatility expansion, and dispersion risk Next week sets up as a high-dispersion, flow-led market environment where mega-cap earnings, macro catalysts, and options positioning converge. This is not a single-stock tape. It is a cross-sector liquidity event where correlations can fracture, leadership can rotate, gamma can flip intraday, and volatility becomes a strategic edge. In regimes like this, capital flow, positioning, liquidity pockets, and factor rotation matte
🔥 SanDisk Smashes $500: Still Early in the AI Storage Supercycle? 🔥
SanDisk has officially cracked the $500 level, trading around $503–$509 and printing fresh all-time highs. This is not a random spike. It is the result of a structural squeeze where AI demand meets tight memory supply, and something has to give. Since its 2025 spin-off from Western Digital, SanDisk is up over 1,000%, with 2026 YTD gains above 100%. Hyperscalers are racing to lock in NAND and high-performance storage capacity, while supply remains disciplined after years of under-investment. The result: pricing power has snapped back hard. 📈 The price action is being backed by data. TrendForce now projects Q1 2026 DRAM contract prices to surge 55–60% QoQ, with server DRAM exceeding 60% as AI servers take priority. This already dwarfs prior cycle peaks, where quarterly increases typically ca
Here are the key considerations for the upcoming critical earnings week for the “Mag 7” (Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Apple) and how the results might impact their recent underperformance: 1. Can strong earnings from Apple and Microsoft reverse recent underperformance? Strong results from Apple and Microsoft could indeed help to stabilise sentiment and potentially reverse some of the recent underperformance. Analysts expect Apple to deliver solid earnings driven by robust iPhone demand, which could buoy confidence if it beats expectations and offers positive guidance given concerns about margins. For Microsoft, a beat supported by continued cloud and AI growth would demonstrate resilience despite broader valuation pressure among software stocks; both outcomes may ease investor risk aversion and
Boeing (BA) Earnings Preview: Production Ramp Meets Structural Weakness Signal at Max Pain
Boeing (BA) | January 27, 2026 Pre-Market Earnings | Entry Indicator: -0.52 (Bearish) Executive Summary $Boeing(BA)$ reports Q4 2025 earnings Monday, January 27, before the bell. Consensus calls for a loss of $0.37 to $0.45 per share on $22.4 billion in revenue. Our proprietary Entry Indicator sits at -0.52, flagging structural weakness despite the stock trading near 52-week highs. The options market prices in a 4.31% earnings move. That's your corridor: $260.85 to $239.11. The stock sits at $252.15, just $2.15 above Max Pain at $250. Dealers have the magnet turned on. The Earnings Risk Corridor: 4.31% Expected Move The market expects BA to swing $10.74 in either direction post-earnings. Upper bound at $260.85. Lower bound at $239.11. Historical con
I have always told myself that one day, I would invest in Singapore stocks. It sounds ironic now, considering that today, my portfolio still contains exactly zero of them. When I first started investing, I was young, curious, and armed with nothing more than YouTube videos, blog posts, and late-night Google searches. Like many beginners, I was looking for certainty in a world that had none. Somewhere online, I read that US stocks had historically outperformed Singapore stocks. Someone wrote that America was bigger, innovative and ambitious. Another said that the US market was where “real growth” happened. So I believed it. And just like that, I became a US-focused investor. I bought ETFs, along with a few individual stocks. I read about Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Amazon. I admired how these
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$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ 🤖🧠 Tesla Optimus: Embodied Intelligence and the Emergence of a General-Purpose Labour Platform 🤖📈 I view Tesla’s Optimus as a structural inflection point, not only for Tesla, but for labour economics, automation, and long-term productivity across the global economy. This is not an incremental robotics initiative or a speculative moonshot. It represents the moment artificial intelligence transitions from digital environments into persistent, physical execution at scale. The iPhone plac
Microsoft Just Saw a 'Death Cross' Ahead of Earnings. What That Means $Microsoft(MSFT)$ has been one of the weaker "Magnificent Seven" stocks over the past year, rising just some 5% over 12 months and trailing the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Apple(AAPL)$ during that period. Let's see what its chart and fundamentals say heading into next week's f
Intel Plunges 16%. Why Nvidia, AMD and Micron Didn't Care? After $Intel(INTC)$ reported Q4 earnings and its shares plunged 16%, the semiconductor sector did not come under broad pressure. Instead, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , and $Micron Technology(MU)$ moved higher. The market response suggests investors saw Intel's results as a company-specific issue rather than a sign of weakening industry demand, while reinforcing the divergence in
Can strong earnings from Apple and Microsoft reverse their underperformance? Strong results from Apple and Microsoft could mark a turning point if they deliver clear beats on both earnings per share and revenues relative to forecasts. The consensus estimates for Apple (about USD 2.65 EPS on USD 137.5 B revenue) and Microsoft (about USD 3.88–USD 3.93 EPS on ~USD 80.2 B) reflect modest year-over-year growth and positive revision trends, which suggests analysts expect resilience in core businesses, including iPhone demand and cloud growth. If both companies beat expectations and give confident forward guidance, this may restore some investor confidence and contribute to relative performance improvement versus the broader market. Does Meta need upside surprises to regain investor confide
Seagate (STX) January 27 Earnings: HAMR Dreams vs. Structural Weakness
Executive Summary $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ reports fiscal Q2 2026 earnings Monday, January 27, after the bell. Consensus calls for $2.76 EPS on $2.73 billion revenue. Our proprietary Entry Indicator is -1.00, flagging severe structural weakness despite the stock trading near 52-week highs at $346. The options market prices in a 9.78% earnings move. That's your corridor: $373.17 to $305.49. The stock sits $26.10 above Max Pain at $320. The Put/Call ratio at 2.21 shows traders are loading up on downside protection. The magnet is pulling hard. The Earnings Risk Corridor: 9.78% Expected Move The market expects STX to swing $33.86 in either direction post-earnings. Upper bound at $373.17. Lower bound at $305.49. This is double the volatility we saw
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Mag7 starts along with ExxonMobil (26Jan2026)
Earnings Calendar (26Jan2026) I am monitoring the earnings results from Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Tesla, UPS, GM, Chevron and ExxonMobil. Let us explore the recent performance of ExxonMobil. Stock Performance and Analyst Recommendations Technical analysis for ExxonMobil indicates a “Strong Buy” recommendation, suggesting favourable market signals and trends. In addition to technical factors, analyst sentiment supports a positive outlook for the stock, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The current price target stands at $132.48. However, this target implies a potential downside of approximately 1.84%, reflecting a drop from the current trading price. ExxonMobil Earnings Highlights Revenue Growth ExxonMobil has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the past decade. The company’s revenue incr
(Part 3 of 5) - Market Outlook of S&P500 (26Jan2026) - what 20+ indicators tell us?
Market Outlook of S&P500 (26Jan2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are converging. We can expect a change from the current bullish trend after the 3 lines have completed their overlap. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
NVDA Options Turn Defensive While IREN Bets Accelerate After 11% Surge Against the backdrop of a sharp selloff in Intel shares following its earnings release, price action within the compute and AI supply chain showed clear divergence. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ all posted gains on the day, with IREN surging more than 11%, suggesting institutions did not simply extrapolate Intel's earnings disappointm
Waiting with TLT: A Story of Patience, Dividends, and Quiet Conviction
When I first bought TLT, I didn’t imagine it would become the largest holding in my portfolio. It didn’t promise overnight riches. It didn’t trend on social media. It was, quite literally, a basket of long-term U.S. government bonds — about as exciting as watching paint dry. And yet, here I am. TLT now sits at the top of my portfolio, quietly occupying the biggest space in both my investments and my thoughts. Not Tesla. Not Nvidia. Not some exciting AI startup. No. Bonds. Long. Slow. Boring. Beautiful. My average price is around $90.76. Today, it trades near $87.93. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) On paper, that looks like a loss. If you stopped there, this would be a sad story. The Plot Twist: Dividends But portfolios, like life, are rarely that simple. Because despite the lower
🔥 Big Tech Earnings This Week: Bullish or Bearish? Show Your Hand!
Attention pioneers! 🚀 The next wave is forming.Seeing what others don't? Backing an underdog?Post your most contrarian view and prove you're ahead of the curve!Catch up fast:These events rocked the markets today.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, EarningsCovering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!🌍 Monday — Macro EconomyU.S. stocks declined in a volatile, holiday-shortened week. The S&P MidCap 400 fell the most (-0.55%), followed by the Dow (-0.53%) and S&P 500 (-0.35%). Earl
From Veins to Volume: Aris Mining’s Boring Turn Into Something Valuable
The Porphyry Pivot: How Aris Mining Is De-Risking Colombian Gold Through Industrial-Scale Underground Mining While analysts still tend to file Aris Mining under ‘high-risk Colombian juniors,’ the company is quietly doing something far less exciting—and far more valuable. It is building an underground gold operation designed to behave less like a prospecting venture and more like a factory. The market loves romance in mining. What it often struggles to price correctly is repeatability. That mismatch matters, because $Aris Mining(ARMN)$ no longer resembles the speculative profile it is routinely assigned. With a market capitalisation around US$4 billion, nearly US$770 million in trailing revenue, and operating margins above 40%, this is not a story
🚀 AI rocket fuel 🚀 Add to crowded AI plays as rare Earth minerls powers the Mag 7 boom with rocket fuel. The top five rare earth elements most critical to AI progression are neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and europium, due to their roles in high-performance magnets, semiconductors, and data center hardware. Shortages against current or forecasted demand—driven by AI’s explosive growth in GPUs, cooling systems, and servers—would severely hamper scaling. China dominates rare earth mining, producing over 60% globally, but the top five ex-China or major producers controlling significant shares of neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and europium supply are 1. MP Materials (USA) 2. Lynas Rare Earths (AUS) 3. Energy Fuels, (USA) 4. Iluka Resources, (AUS) and 5. Arafura Resour
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 1. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis (with Analyst Insight) From a medium- to long-term perspective, TSLA remains firmly classified within a Bearish trend zone, where the optimal investment stance continues to be Sell and Observe. This zone typically consists of two internal dynamics: a strong downward trend phase and a rebound trend phase marked by limited, unstable recoveries. Historically, this environment offers low expected returns and elevated downside risk for long-only investors. The current Sell and Observe position has been maintained for 19 days since entry into the Bearish zone. During this period, downside exposure has been effectively mitigated, resulting in a cumulative avoided loss of -7.5%, undersco
1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The diagonal trendline was breached, confirming the MACD crossover posted last week. After bouncing from short-term oversold conditions on Wednesday, the price filled the 'bullish' gap and is now at the 20DMA with two indecisive candles. $685 will be decisive next week. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The series of lower highs and higher lows had a bearish resolution. However, see that dragonfly at the very edge of the volume shelf. Don't rule out a bounce. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG