Nebius Q4 Review: 2026 ARR Unchanged, Execution Still Key; Not the Best Time for NeoClouds Yet? $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ The Q4 earnings report is very “cloud-provider” in its core message: demand is strong → capacity is the real ceiling → first secure power and data-center space, then turn revenue into a run-rate (ARR), while in the short term the income statement may actually look weaker as depreciation and expansion investments weigh on it. Financial Snapshot Q4 2025 – Revenue: 227.7 million (slightly below expectations). – Adjusted EBITDA: +15 million (first time turning positive at the consolidated/group level but below the expected $33 million). – Net loss from continuing operations: -$249.6 million. Why is “Adjusted EBITDA positive”
Applovin Q4 Earnings Review: Blowout Results, Strong Guidance. How Should Investors Play the Volatility? Amid intensifying debate over AI's long-term impact on software business models and heightened volatility following Unity's earnings, $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ reported its fourth-quarter results. The company delivered revenue of $1.66 billion (vs. $1.62 billion expected), up 66% year over year, and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $3.24 (vs. $3.07 expected). Shares initially fell more than 10% in after-hours trading before sharply narrowing losses to around 1%. Such volatility suggests the market is digesting concerns about future competition and structural industry shifts rather than questioning the quarter
Coinbase Is Down 60%+ Since July. What Its Chart Says Ahead of Earnings. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is heading into earnings this week at a time when the crypto firm's stock has fallen more than 60% from its July all-time high, has lost some 50% in three months and recently fell for 13 consecutive sessions. Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis tell us about this stock. Coinbase's Fundamental Analysis COIN is set to release Q4 results after the bell on Thursday, but its stock has been falling as Bitcoin has been falling. ( $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ is down some 45% from its October record highs.) The Street is looking for the company to report $0.66 in Q4 earnings per share on about $1.85 billion
🌟🌟🌟"Unshaken" is the word I would use this week. With markets swinging like a monkey from branch to branch -chaotic, noisy and unpredictable - I am still here, steady on my branch, waiting to snap great stocks at bargain prices - because volatility doesn't scare me, it just widens the discount aisle. I believe that $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is currently on sale as it is trading below USD 200, down 2%. It has fallen 18% over the last 10 days. This can be attributed to capex shock after Amazon announced a massive USD 200 billion capex plan for 2026 to expand AI and AWS infrastructure. Many analysts view the recent sell off as an opportunity, suggesting the stock maybe undervalued relative to its long term potential. Consensus target price is
My stock in focus today is $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ after its latest earnings. Q4 capex jumped to $2.1B as the company aggressively expanded AI chips and data centers to meet demand that still exceeds supply, with further global expansion underway. Revenue surged more than sixfold year over year to $227.7M, while losses widened due to heavy investment. Like $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ , Nebius is riding the AI infrastructure wave and benefits directly from supplying Nvidia chips and cloud capacity, with contracted power capacity now above 2GW. Management is guiding for a sharp ramp in annualized revenue into 2026, reflecting confidence in sustained AI demand. Technically, the stock is holding firm near its EMA200,
My Take The +10% moves in Micron and SNDK suggest capital is rotating back into the AI hardware trade, specifically memory and storage. The key driver mentioned—HBM4 capacity ramp—is important. High Bandwidth Memory is becoming a bottleneck component for AI accelerators, and companies with credible supply visibility are being re-rated. Morgan Stanley lifting Micron’s target from $350 to $450 (while reiterating Overweight) indicates: • Increased confidence in pricing power • Improved earnings visibility • Potential multi-year AI-driven demand cycle What Matters Fundamentally • HBM Supply/Demand Tightness If HBM4 ramps successfully and remains supply-constrained, Micron could sustain premium pricing and margin expansion. • AI Data Center Capex Durability The thesis depends on hyperscalers co
Can Medtronic (MDT) Continue The "Underpromise and Overdeliver" Era?
$Medtronic PLC(MDT)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, before the market opens. The company is currently in a "turnaround" phase, shifting from a slow-moving legacy giant to a more innovative, agile competitor. After a strong Q2 beat and raise, the market is looking for evidence that this momentum is sustainable. Earnings Expectations & Key Metrics Analysts expect a slight year-over-year dip in earnings despite a healthy jump in revenue. 1. Cardiovascular Strength (The Growth Engine) This is the most critical segment to watch. In Q2, Cardiac Ablation grew a massive 71%. Look for continued adoption of the Affera Sphere-9 (pulsed field ablation) and the Evolut FX+ TAVR system. If cardiova
$NBIS 20260618 80.0 PUT$ Nebius just reminded the market of one simple truth:In a bull market, you get rewarded for spending. In a bear market, you get punished for it. NBIS: • Revenue missed expectations • CapEx surged • Stock down ~6% pre-market You don’t get to burn aggressively and miss growth targets. Look around: AMD beats earnings → drops on guidance UNH reports → collapses Semis are cracking AI infra names are wobbling This is not euphoric momentum anymore. The market is quietly shifting from: “Spend now, profits later” to “Show me the cash flow.” And when capital expenditure outruns revenue growth, the market stops dreaming and starts discounting. Is AI dead? No. But the easy money phase is over. In bull markets,
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ wait some more days to get profit again from this wonderful share! $Apple(AAPL)$ same ways for this share! Just buy when it come down and wait for profit! Gogogo!
Smart ideas deserve to be seen. Drop a trade idea and help others learn. 💬📚 Catch up fast:These events rocked the markets today. More News Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively! 📊 Friday — Earnings Focus Interpret key corporate earnings reports to grasp performance-driven investment opportunities. 📌【Today’s Question】 Amazon, with its highest capital expenditures, has fallen into a bear market. Are you optimistic about its future? Yesterday's winners: Last night, $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ down 7.9%. There were 15 Tigers that
Real Estate Selloff Depends On Its AI Focus, Fee and Labor-Intensive
The "AI scare trade" we have noticed is hitting the real estate services sector particularly hard because these companies operate on high-fee, labor-intensive business models. When AI tools (like those recently released by Anthropic) demonstrate an ability to automate complex tasks like financial research and legal document review, investors begin to fear "margin compression" — a fancy way of saying they think AI will force these firms to lower their fees or lose work to automation. In this article we would like to look at the breakdown of the situation as of mid-February 2026. Will the Panic Selling Continue? The consensus among market analysts is mixed but leans toward a "wait-and-see" stabilization. The Bear Case (Continued Selling): If subsequent economic data shows a significant drop
Strong Jobs, Delayed Cuts & Why I Am Still Buying STI ETF & SPYM S&P500 ETF
🌟🌟🌟The market is in mayhem today, pushed in 3 directions at the same time and none of them are gentle. First, January's non farm payrolls smashed expectations: 130,000 vs 55,000 jobs expected. Unemployment fell to to 4.3% instead of 4.4% expected. A labour market this strong gives the Fed zero urgency to cut. Traders have now pushed the first rate cut from June to July with March rate cut odds collapsing and the probability of no change to above 94%. Second, delayed rate cuts mean the market's upside may stay capped in the near term. Hot jobs mean sticky inflation. Sticky inflation means delayed easing. And delayed easing means the market's upside may stay capped in the near term. Third, geopolitical tensions are simmering, especia
$NVDA$ Barring any surprises, NVIDIA looks set to continue grinding between 170 and 200 through the first half of the year—a sweet spot for option sellers. I came across 10k contracts opened on the $NVDA 20260618 220.0 CALL$ . Nothing flagged as a block trade, but digging into the fills shows the orders were chopped up into tiny pieces. The screenshot says it all. Most of the flow? Sell-side. Not a coincidence—Broadcom showed the exact same footprint. $AVGO 20260618 400.0 CALL$ also saw around 10k contracts, finely sliced, same direction: sells. Why the cloak-and-dagger? Likely to avoid getting front-run. Both are ~0.35 delta. If the stock runs the wr
WSC Five Year Rounding Top Fundamentals Meet Technicals
$WillScot Corporation(WSC)$ - The 5-Year Rounding Top, A Lesson In Fundamental Gravity, Why These Filter Matter in Your Screen Setting This is a textbook example of why fundamental momentum and technical structure are two sides of the same coin. A 5-year rounding top on a name like $WSC is essentially a "slow-motion" map of institutional distribution as the growth story cools. Price doesn't just fall, it exhausts.
SPX is overbought while SPY shows caution and NDX remains weak
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Once again, we've reached a moment of truth. The oscillator is overbought, and the 4-hour chart reflects indecision with pullback potential if the pattern repeats. Sooner or later, one of these reversal signals will give way. Bullish breakout? the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ continues above 17. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The price continues above the 20DMA but today's bearish engulfing candle suggests extreme caution. The VIX is still high and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ below the 20DMA. If the supports are breached, the lower Bollinger band could be tested again during the usually weak second half of
Alphabet’s aggressive capital programme signals one clear message: scale will decide the AI hierarchy. 1. Why borrow when cash is abundant? Alphabet holds substantial liquidity, yet tapping global debt markets achieves several objectives: Locks in long-duration funding before rates potentially reprice higher Preserves cash flexibility for acquisitions and strategic pivots Optimises capital structure while debt remains comparatively cheap The 100-year GBP issuance is particularly strategic. It reflects confidence in long-term cash flow durability from Search, Cloud, and AI infrastructure. 2. What is the $185B funding? Primarily: Data centres and hyperscale expansion Custom silicon such as TPUs AI infrastructure to defend Search and accelerate Cloud Model training and inference capacity This