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06-25
Bull Market Intact, But Valuation Risks Are Rising
The bull market remains intact, driven by AI optimism, strong earnings expectations, and rapidly improving sentiment. However, with mega-cap valuations becoming increasingly stretched and investors once again pricing in perfection, the line between sustainable growth and speculative excess is beginning to blur. 1.US Stockmarket Valuations -Mega Caps= Very Expensive -Large Caps = Expensive -SMID Caps = Cheap 👀 🧐 🤔 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 2.Stocks are an Anticipatory Asset. Investors buy and sell bas
587
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06-25
$SPY 0DTE Outlook: Stabilization or Another Leg Lower?
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 0DTE premarket read 6/24 Yesterday was big gap-down / negative GEX. Today the structure is trying to stabilize but we’re still sitting at the decision point. Spot: 735.26 Gamma flip: 734.79 Pin: 740 Net GEX: +$378.8M Range: 730–740 Key zone is 734.8–736. Above 736 with acceptance → bulls can press into the positive GEX ladder: 737 / 738 / 739 / 740. But 740 is the call wall / overhead ceiling. That’s where upside can start getting dampened. Below 734 and holding → dealer behavior gets unstable again, and downside can open toward the 730 put wall.
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06-25
$MU Is the AI Infrastructure Bottleneck: 20 Stocks Positioned to Benefit
$Micron Technology(MU)$ is the biggest bottleneck for AI infrastructure. It's revenue increased 346% in 1 year. Here's 20 AI bottleneck stocks to buy: Memory / Storage 1. $Micron Technology(MU)$ — HBM monopoly w/ SK Hynix, Samsung; 2026 sold out, ramping for 2027. 2. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ — NAND flash bottleneck; up 464% in 2026 on supply tightness. 3. $Western Digital(WDC)$ / $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ — HDD makers; AI storage demand outstripping supply, pricing power surging. Compute / Foundry 4. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ — GPU compute layer; nothi
642
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06-25
$SPX Breaks Daily FVG Support: Is Wave 4 Heading for 7200?
$SPX inverted the Daily FVG support. Bearish warning now. Lean: another leg down under W4 → 7235–7200. First, a relief bounce into the new bearish Daily FVG. Then rejection → next wave lower into the June low to complete W4. Daily close above 7468 flips it back bullish — W4 triangle back in play. As I mentioned in the update on June 21, Daily FVG support HELD. $SPX still positioned for a new all-time high. W5 targets: 7620–7700. Price may triangulate inside the FVG, but the primary lean holds. Daily close below the FVG invalidates. New highs are the destination.
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06-25
Can MU Rescue the Broader Market?
Over the weekend, the Weekly Compass anticipated a bearish reversal for the market. This anticipation came despite the rally the market printed on Friday because, as mentioned then, many elements remained bearish beneath the surface. The Setups Blueprint highlighted strong probabilities for a bearish reversal in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , targeting 7,409 for a 1.2% drop. The actual low for the week reached 7,336.8, representing a 2% decline from Friday’s close 🎯. Another high-probability setup was a bearish reversal for $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ . I indicated that 646.6 would be breached, triggering a confirmed target of 629.3 for a 4.6% decline. The actual low hit 607 🎯 for an 8% drop, closely approa
978
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06-25
$SPY, $QQQ, and the Rising 50-MA: Where the Next Opportunity May Emerge
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ & $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Below 10- and 20-MA: My Market Posture Review After a Gap-Down Day Focused on Near-Term Opportunities $SPY and $QQQ are now both below 10 and 20-MA but macro backdrop remains healthy. Defensive may be favored in the short term as witness in yesterday's market close. $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ +0.9% $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ +1.3% $Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLRE)$ +2.7% $Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ +2.3% vs
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06-24
🎯 $IBM Options Strategy: Short Put Spread with a Twist (Bearish Credit Spread)
$IBM(IBM)$ - Underlying: IBM - View: Cautiously Bullish (short-term oversold rebound), but expecting consolidation in the $255-$275 range with significant resistance at $287. The extremely high IV (97.61% percentile) presents a premium selling opportunity. - Strategy Type: Credit Spread / Volatility Selling - Option Contract Portfolio: - Sell 1 IBM 2026-07-02 $270.00 PUT @ $10.90 (Mid) - Buy 1 IBM 2026-07-02 $255.00 PUT @ $3.70 (Mid) - Max Gain & Loss: - Max Gain (Credit Received): $7.20 per spread ($720 per contract) - Max Loss: $7.80 per spread ($780 per contract) [($270 - $255) - $7.20] - Initial Cost/Credit: Net Credit of ~$7.20
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06-24
Familiarity is Not Diversification | Iggy Answers Podcast | Episode1671🦖
Everyone feels safer when their portfolio screen is full of familiar Singapore names, especially when banks, REITs and telcos are all flashing green together. What almost no one realises is that those “different” counters can still be marching to the same drumbeat, all leaning on the same interest rate and property engine that keeps the local market humming. 📺 YouTube: https://youtu.be/ZU4Tj6rCcKs 📩 Substack: https://investingiguana.com/p/familiarity-is-not-diversification
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06-24
🎯 $Walmart (WMT) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread
$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ - Underlying: WMT - View: Cautiously Optimistic / Bullish Breakout Potential - Strategy Type: Debit Spread / Defined Risk Bullish - Option Contract Portfolio: - Buy 1 WMT Call, Strike $120, Expiry 2026-07-17 - Sell 1 WMT Call, Strike $125, Expiry 2026-07-17 - Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain = $500 (Width of spread - Net Debit). Max Loss = Net Debit Paid. - Initial Cost/Credit: Debit of ~$2.50 (Estimated from chain: Long Call ~$1.92, Short Call ~$0.37, Mid-Price ~$1.55).
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06-24
All eyes on PCE as inflation test looms for U.S. markets
U.S. markets are likely to stay focused on inflation ahead of the May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report due tomorrow night, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Consensus expectations point to headline PCE rising 4.1% year-on-year (YoY), up from 3.8% in April and marking the highest reading since April 2023, while monthly PCE is forecast at +0.5% month-on-month (MoM). Core PCE is expected at +0.4% MoM and 3.3% YoY. The anticipated increase is largely attributed to elevated energy prices, with economists describing inflation as remaining sticky in the near term despite expectations that price pressures could ease later this year as oil prices moderate and tariff-related effects fade. Investors will be watching the PCE release closely for clues on the Fed's
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06-24
🎯 $Procter & Gamble (PG) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)
$Procter & Gamble(PG)$ - Underlying: PG - View: Cautiously optimistic, expecting a move towards the $154.15 resistance level but not a major breakout beyond $160 in the near term. - Strategy Type: Debit Spread / Directional (Bullish) - Option Contract Portfolio: - Buy 1 PG 2026-07-17 $152.5 Call @ $1.64 (Mid-Price) - Sell 1 PG 2026-07-17 $157.5 Call @ $0.395 (Mid-Price) - Max Gain & Loss: - Max Gain: $3.055 per spread ($305.5 per contract) = (Short Strike - Long Strike - Net Debit) - Max Loss: $1.245 per spread ($124.5 per contract) = Net Debit Paid - Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit of ~$1.245 per spread.
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06-24
🎯 $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY) Options Strategy: Bull Put Spread (Short-Term)
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ - Underlying: CHWY - View: Cautiously optimistic for a short-term oversold bounce, expecting a consolidation or modest move above the $18.0 pivot. - Strategy Type: Credit Spread / Defined Risk - Option Contract Portfolio: - Sell 1 CHWY 2026-07-02 $17.0 Put @ $0.22 (Mid) - Buy 1 CHWY 2026-07-02 $16.0 Put @ $0.05 (Mid) - Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain = $17 Credit, Max Loss = $83 - Initial Cost/Credit: Net Credit of ~$0.17 per spread.
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06-24
🎯 $Microsoft Corp(MSFT) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ - Underlying: MSFT - View: Cautiously Optimistic / Oversold Bounce. Expecting a move towards the upper end of the consolidation range ($380-$390). - Strategy Type: Debit Spread / Directional Bullish - Option Contract Portfolio: - Buy 1 MSFT 17 JUL 2026 $375.00 Call @ $2.60 (Mid Price) - Sell 1 MSFT 17 JUL 2026 $385.00 Call @ $0.37 (Mid Price) - Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain = $7.77 ($10.00 spread width - $2.23 net debit). Max Loss = $2.23 (Net Debit Paid). - Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit of ~$2.23 per spread.
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06-24
🎯 $Snowflake (SNOW) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread
$Snowflake(SNOW)$
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06-24
🎯 $Unity Software Inc.(U) Options Strategy: Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread)
$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ - Underlying: U - View: Cautiously Optimistic / Oversold Bounce. Expecting the stock to hold above support and potentially challenge resistance. - Strategy Type: Credit Spread / Defined Risk, Bullish - Option Contract Portfolio: - SELL 1x U 26 Jun 2026 $25.0 Put - BUY 1x U 26 Jun 2026 $23.5 Put - Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain = Net Credit Received. Max Loss = (Strike Difference - Net Credit). - Initial Cost/Credit: Net Credit of ~$0.035 per spread (Estimated from chain data: Sell $25 Put @ $0.085, Buy $23.5 Put @ $0.05).
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06-24
Option Focus | SPCX Sees $30 Million Deep ITM Put Block, Synthetic Long Fails to Offset Broadly Bearish Tone
SPCX shares closed at $156.11 on Tuesday, up 0.98%, but activity in the options market painted a more cautious picture. A deep in-the-money put purchase worth more than $30 million stood out as the session’s most notable trade, while a mix of bullish and bearish structures emerged across the tape. Overall, options flow suggested a defensive bias, with downside protection attracting the bulk of institutional capital. Options Metrics SPCX's implied volatility (IV) stood at 94.07%, with its IV percentile reaching 98.58%, indicating that option premiums are trading near the upper end of their historical range and remain relatively expensive. The IV-to-historical volatility (HV) ratio was 0.50, highlighting a divergence between implied and realized volatility expectations. Meanwhile, the call-t
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06-24
💰 22 US Stocks Hit New Highs: Stocks with Market Cap Over $10 B
According to TradingView data, 22 U.S. stocks with market capitalizations above $10 billion reached new all-time highs as of June 19, 2026. The top 10 tickers leading this cohort — $Bank of America(BAC)$, $Bank of Montreal(BMO)$, $Bank of New York Mellon(BNY)$, $Monster Beverage(MNST)$, $Travelers(TRV)$, $Allstate(ALL)$, $State(STT)$, $V
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06-24
AI Supercycle Litmus Test: Will Micron’s Q3 Print Defy the Sector Pullback?
$Micron Technology(MU)$'s fiscal Q3 2026 earnings, arriving on June 24, 2026, have become a high-stakes "litmus test" for the broader AI infrastructure rally. After a recent 13% pre-earnings plunge, the market is intensely focused on whether the "memory supercycle"—driven by extreme demand for AI-related high-bandwidth memory (HBM)—remains intact or is showing signs of exhaustion. Analysis of the Fiscal Q3 2026 Print The narrative around Micron has shifted from a cyclical commodity memory maker to a vital pillar of the AI hardware ecosystem. The Expectations: Consensus estimates are aggressive, projecting revenue of ~$34.66 billion (up ~272% year-over-year) and EPS of ~$19.95 (up ~942% YoY). The Pre-Earnings Volatility: The stock’s recent 13% drop w
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06-24
Option Movers｜Traders Are Buying Micron's $1,100 Calls Expiring This Week; AMC Sees 82% Call Options
he Nasdaq and the S&P 500 closed at more than one-week lows on Tuesday(Jun 23), dragged down by sharp losses in semiconductor stocks as investors scrutinized growing debt-funded AI spending and braced for a more hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 57,081,340 contracts was traded. Top 10 Option Volumes Source: Tiger Trade App Highflying memory chip stock Micron Technology was down 13% Tuesday as the tech selloff gathered pace, its largest drop in more than a year. There are 633.42K Micron option contracts traded on Tuesday, up 15% from the previous trading day. Call options account for 50% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $1100 strike call option expiring June 26, with 16,279 contracts tra
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06-24
Want to Start Investing? Use My Prestige Referral Code to Unlock Deposit Rewards
If you have been thinking about opening an account and starting your investing journey, this may be a good time to join the current deposit program. I am currently under the Prestige referral level, which means eligible friends who register and deposit through my referral link may enjoy higher voucher benefits when they meet the campaign requirements. Instead of registering directly, you can use my referral code to participate in the deposit program and unlock rewards based on your deposit amount. How Deposit Rewards Work The campaign is based on deposit tiers. After you register through my referral link, you can deposit the required amount and maintain the threshold for 30 days to accumulate daily vouchers. Deposit Amount Daily Voucher Total Voucher Over 30 Days ≥ USD 10,000 or SGD 13,000