To The Moon

$100 oil is not just an energy story. It is a margin story. If oil stays above $100 for more than a short spike, the clearest winners could be low-cost energy producers and oilfield service companies. The losers may be airlines, logistics, chemicals and other businesses with high fuel costs but limited pricing power. Tech is more complicated. Most software companies are not directly exposed to oil, but persistent high oil prices could keep inflation elevated and delay rate cuts. That would put more pressure on expensive growth stocks. I would also watch gold if high oil comes with geopolitical risk and weaker growth expectations. For my portfolio, I would not chase energy just because oil crossed $100. The key is duration. If prices stay high for months, I would gradually favour qu

Oil above $100 won't climb forever. demand destruction kicks in eventually, growth slows. Supply shocks could push it higher, but expect a bumpy ride, not a straight rally. Winners: low cost energy producers with solid balance sheets, plus oilfield services and pipelines as spending ramps up. Losers: airlines, transport, fuel heavy businesses. Consumer discretionary takes a hit too, manufacturers feel margin pressure. I wouldn't chase oil after a rally though. I'd rather own businesses that benefit without depending on it. 

Beneficiaries and losers • Beneficiaries: Integrated majors (Exxon, Chevron, Shell), low-cost E&Ps (EOG, COP, OXY), refiners (MPC, VLO), and midstream/MLPs (OKE, EPD). • Hardest hit: Airlines, cruise lines, shipping, trucking/logistics, and fuel-intensive chemicals; consumer discretionary and high-duration growth stocks also face pressure via inflation and rates.

Oil Strategy Oil prices could pull back after the recent surge, but the risk of staying above US$100/barrel is significant if Middle East supply disruptions persist. I would expect considerable volatility rather than a straight upward move. Potential beneficiaries: * Integrated oil majors: Exxon Mobil, Chevron * Low-cost producers: ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, Occidental * Oilfield services: SLB, Halliburton * Midstream/infrastructure: Enbridge, Kinder Morgan * Gold/precious metals could also benefit from inflation and geopolitical uncertainty. Potential losers: * Airlines and transportation companies * Chemicals and other oil-intensive industries * Consumer discretionary businesses * Highly leveraged companies * Expensive, speculative growth stocks if higher inflation

With conflicts in multiple parts of the world threatening shipping lanes and an increase in natural disasters, vulnerabilities are compounding. It would be no shock to see crude rally back toward its July 2008 all-time high of more than $140 per barrel. Just keep in mind that this perspective is purely for informational and educational purposes, so you should always consult a certified professional to align any strategy with your personal financial goals.

Oil above $100 for a certain period will impact the global economy with the higher inflation across all consumables and earnings report as we all know, the increased prices on all products is only one way, as the business leaders wont revert back to keep their profits/margins. Beyond the investment returns this will impact the people's everyday life. With the high AI circlic spending and longer monetization, will add some job losses to it to worsen the situation. So, I expect some pullbacks and may expect a sideways market for a little while until the consumer economy with the moderate inflation and affordable living. Added Tarrifs is making this more worsen. Increasing 10 year Treasury yield is a concern too. Hope Trump's and Netanyagu's  term ends soon for the new leaders with

it certainly won't be good for the cost of transporting goods, remote communities and island nations like NZ/AUS should expect steep cost of living increases. The profits will be made in South American oil over the next few years, I believe the mid-east is intentionally being destabilised by the same bully administration that recently seized South American oil and presidents. Any tips on specific oil companies investing in Venezuela, or oil tickers recently noticed by Congress would be greatly appreciated

Oil at $100 per barrel acts as a massive global tax, transferring wealth directly from energy-consuming households, businesses, and importing nations to net energy exporters and producers. The Winners * Net Oil Exporting Nations: Exporters such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Norway, and Guyana see massive windfalls in fiscal revenue and current account balances, easing state budget pressures and expanding sovereign wealth funds. * Upstream Producers & Oilfield Services: Exploration and production (E&P) companies (e.g., ExxonMobil, Chevron, Occidental) capture near-instant margin expansion. Equipment and drilling suppliers (e.g., Schlumberger, Halliburton) profit as drilling activity accelerates. * Petroleum Refiners: When refined product demand remains tight relative to crude, re

As long as the US government continues to be a puppet under Israeli control and keeps fuelling the current crises in Gaza , Iran and Venezuela there will be no end in sight to rising fuel shortages and prices.  As everything else hangs on the desperate backing of the dying petro-dollar market volatility will only worsen.   As for Trumps bullying of its northern neighbours , I think the world is slowing seeing the US for what it has always been right from its infancy . in the meantime,  any stock attached to oil discovery will remain strong . stocks attached to processing and distribution will remain in flux until the supply stabilises . US markets won't come out the winners here despite the huge cash reserves we hear about , there's too much worthless paper and not eno

The Saudi East–West pipeline is particularly important because it was one of the major routes allowing crude to avoid the disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Its temporary shutdown adds another potential bottleneck at precisely the wrong time. The Houthi advance creates a second problem: Bab el-Mandeb controls access between the Red Sea and Arabian Sea. Reuters describes Iran-aligned Houthi gains as creating a new challenge for global shipping while Hormuz is already destabilised. Energy/refining/nuclear/defence: likely relative winners. Airlines/logistics/chemicals/discretionary/Asian energy importers: losers After sticky CPI and the energy shock, the question is no longer simply whether the Fed changes rates; it is the balance between energy-driven inflation + resilient labour demand + weak

As we know, crude oil has crossed the $100 mark recently. Under this scenario, investors have to assess if this is a fundamental shift in macro dynamics or just a temporary speculative spike.  Some key factors to consider include: 1) Structural supply constraints 2) Shipping channel disruptions 3) Persistent geopolitical friction While we can't predict 100% regarding short term price movement, if crude oil will continue to spike or pullback, we can still analyze  the projected winners and losers under this scenario, in order to analyze and rebalance our own portfolio. The Clear Winners 1) Upstream exploration and production oil majors like ExxonMobil and Chevron are clear beneficiaries. They are able to generate substantial free cash flow and net income as oil price soars. 2

At roughly $154.90, USO 🛢️ looks like a compelling tactical short on a mean-reversion view. The current price is near its 52-week high and appears to embed a large, conflict-driven supply and shipping-risk premium. If disrupted production and trade flows normalize—as the base case expects during 2027—the premium should unwind. Higher prices also encourage supply response while curbing demand, reinforcing the downside once scarcity fears ease. “normal” USO reference is around $70, with a broad normal range of roughly $60–80. $90–100 remains elevated; $165–170 is a disruption/shock regime. Timeframe: base case expects most disrupted oil flows to normalize around Q2 2027 STRAT✨: A synthetic short is a strategy you can consider in current scenario often results in a credit - allowing you

Oil prices are drumming pass $100 per barrel, pushed by severe Middle East supply risks and rapidly shrinking global inventories. Energy stock and oil companies such as $Marathon Petroleum(MPC)$ have strong profit potential. Consumers and households, businesses, and the broader U.S. financial ecosystem are under tremendous pressure in addition to the inflation. This energy rally is going to kill! Come join in the comments @1PC Thank you @Tiger_SG

My Take on the oil price: Expect prices to stay elevated due to geopolitical tension. Sectors/Stocks to Benefit: 1. Upstream Energy Producers & Oil Services (e.g: $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ ) as higher revenue 2. Renewable Energy Alternatives (e.g: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) as high oil prices accelerate the pivot to clean energy. Sectors Hit Hardest: 1) Airlines (e.g: $American Airlines(AAL)$ ) as jet fuel and transportation costs eat straight into bottom-line profit margins. Consumer Discretionary: (e.g: $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$  ) as higher oil prices squeeze disposable household

$ECHOIQ LTD(EIQ.AU)$ It has been 5-6 days since the announcement by EIQ that FDA didn’t approve its application. EchoSolv HF is off for now. 501(k) is supposed to be an easier and faster way to bring EchoSolv HF into the market. However, FDA has apparently cut that path off with the way the objection was raised. Obviously EIQ can still put EchoSolv HF to the market by using a different path (De Novo) for FDA approval. It’s not a preferred way since it would require a lot more time and effort. At least another 12-18 months would probably be required. Given this new unexpected uncertainty, the big crash in its stock price was expected. This is a genuinely difficult situation, and the honest answer is that there is no "safe" price in the traditiona

$Silvercorp Metals Inc(SVM)$ It has not been a good week for precious metals group related investments. It has been a strange one though. One that I had struggled to hold above water with my current positioning of neutrality. I guess I have weighed too heavily towards precious metals and critical metals. $Silvercorp Metals Inc(SVM)$ is still going strong despite the week's mayhem. With the active war between US and Iran, oil prices have been rising, raising the prospect of global inflationary pressure. EU has just raised its interest rate. Japan, Australia and probably US are all expected to raise their interest rates to combat inflation. Strangely, technology companies' share

$BlackBerry(BB)$ earning soon. Let's go!

$TSLA 20261120 385.0 PUT$ continuing the journey to expiry.

🌟🌟🌟Despite US Treasury Secretary  Scott Bessent's recent action to prop up the bond market, the selloff of the US bonds has only worsened.  The benchmark 10 year Treasury yield has surged toward 4.93%, its highest level since late 2023. By tripling the US government's standard bond repurchase limit to USD 6 billion, Bessent attempted to artificially constrain bond supply, drive prices up & push down the yields. But the market is not buying it.  Why? Global macro funds view a USD 6 billion buyback as entirely too weak to combat a USD 32 trillion US government debt market that must continuously absorb heavy issuance to fund a USD 2 trillion annual deficit. Then there is energy shock caused by the war in Iran and high corporate debt demand for the AI buildout plus a hawkis

Oil matters to inflation more than almost any other single commodity because it touches everything. Transport costs more, manufacturing costs more, even your electricity bill costs more, because an oil price move flows through to nearly every other price in the economy. BNO is also the top performer on this entire list, which tells you how large this year’s Middle East supply shock has actually been. The risk cuts both ways. The same headline risk that took this up 104% can reverse just as fast if there is real de-escalation, and futures funds bleed a little to the roll from month to month even when the price goes nowhere. Commodities usedlike oil  to mean opening a separate futures account. Futures are leveraged, and they come with quirks like contango and backwardation, where near-t