To The Moon

① Weekly Market Overview Last week, the core tension in U.S. equities shifted from "can AI keep rallying" to "can AI growth + high rates + energy risk be digested simultaneously." On the AI front, Meta's Muse topped the U.S. App Store free chart, with Meta surging 12.9% for the week. AMD, Intel, and Arm also strengthened in tandem, as the market began trading the new CPU, inference, and consumer entry-point demand that AI Agents are expected to drive. On the other hand, Middle East tensions escalated again. On 9/26, U.S. President Trump rejected Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, making energy supply risk a key variable for oil prices and inflation expectations this week. This week's core focus: AI looks to earnings and event catalysts, while the market must simultaneously wat

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ I Stopped Trying to Outsmart the Fed, and It Saved My Portfolio I used to think I could predict the Fed. I’d read every dot plot, hang on every word from Powell, and convince myself I knew when the pivot was coming. Then August happened. The 10-year yield punched through 5%, and suddenly every stock I owned was trading on macro, not fundamentals. Good earnings? Didn’t matter. Strong guidance? Ignored. If you were a long-duration growth name, you got sold. I watched solid companies drop 10–15% in a week for no other reason than “rates are higher.” That’s when I finally accepted something simple: I can’t control rates. I can only control my exposure. So I changed my approach. I cut my position sizes. I stopped averaging down on broken c

For me, the most interesting call is definitely $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ . Rothschild & Co Redburn at $54 versus JPMorgan at $125 shows how divided Wall Street is on AI infrastructure. I am bullish long term, but I also see the risks from high capital requirements, valuation and execution. I would rather build gradually than chase a rally. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is another upgrade I find interesting. Azure, enterprise AI adoption and its broader ecosystem give Microsoft multiple ways to monetize AI. Still, I would watch valuation closely because even strong companies can pull back when expectations get too high. For my

🌟🌟🌟Wall Street just gave a masterclass in market psychology.  One minute $Intel(INTC)$ is ripping higher.  It is up a huge 33% that makes you feel like a genius holding it.  The next minute it drops 3.45% last Friday afternoon.  Anxiety is creeping back and you wonder if the party is over. Let's be honest.  The market loves to whisper scary things into an investor's ear.  It tells us that massive, legendary years are almost impossible to duplicate back to back.  It reminds us of the ghosts of dot.com failures. But this time, history did not anticipate a world where the US government becomes a core stakeholder of Intel, a world where tech titans like NVIDIA inject billions into joint fab partnerships.  This

🌟🌟🌟For the past 2 years, the investing world acted like the AI revolution began and ended with high powered microchips.  We fell all over ourselves to buy the shovels - the silicon, the fabricators, the packaging plants. But nobody stopped to ask a basic question: How are we going to plug these monsters in? Enter $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ with its huge 8.27% surge.  Selling the electricity has officially become sexier than selling the hardware. There is no denying that Bloom's eye watering vertical climb has priced in a lot of perfection.  But don't lose sight of the reality.  This isn't a speculative software.  Bloom's immediate onsite power generation is being deployed by hyper scalers like Oracle & Intel who cannot af

Replying to @dong123:Fair on SGA, but look at the Barber Lake extension: 20-yr lease locked in with a top AI lab taking contracted revenue to $9B+. Securing elevated rates 10 yrs in advance isn't something competitors are doing. If execution hits through 2027, top-line growth easily absorbs that overhead.//@dong123:Execution quality can be modeled though. If SG&A has been growing faster than revenue, the “right people” story may already be showing up as cost before occupancy does

For years, investors had a strong incentive to stay fully invested because cash and short-term bonds offered very little return. That equation changes when interest rates stay elevated. If cash and short-duration assets can generate meaningful income, investors have something they didn’t have during the ultra-low-rate era: A real return for patience. That changes my approach. I wouldn’t necessarily sell everything and hide in cash. Instead, I’d think about creating a barbell: 🔹 Keep exposure to businesses with strong long-term growth potential. 🔹 Hold some short-duration assets that can generate income while waiting. 🔹 Keep cash available for periods when valuations become more attractive. The interesting part is that this gives investors more flexibility. If markets continue rising, you’r