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10-14
Navigate the Q3 Earnings Kickoff: Sector Divergence and Chip Volatility in October 2026
U.S. stock market indexes finished near the flatline on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, as investors saw major banks early third-quarter earnings offsetting the tech/chip sector selloff. In this article, we would like to look at the Q3 earnings kickoff, and how sector divergence and chip volatility in October 2026 played a part in this earnings kickoff. 1. Introduction & Market Context As Wall Street formally stepped into the third-quarter earnings reporting season on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, equity markets faced a balancing act between foundational corporate health indicators and escalating valuations concerns in high-growth technology segments. Trading throughout the session was characterized by narrow ranges, choppy momentum, and ultimate exhaustion near previous record highs. More tha
TOPblinkix: Mgmt caution matters more than the flat index tape here. When chip names start guiding tighter, AVGO and MU multiples usually compress before estimates fully reset
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10-14
How to Find a Great Trade Idea 🔎📈
Instead of just posting a chart and telling you what I like, I’m going to walk you through my process for finding and managing a potential trade. 1️⃣ Start with sector strength I head to Finviz and create a watchlist of major ETFs, then bring them into the screener and filter by relative strength over the week, month, or quarter. Right now, energy and software stand out. Software looks like the cleaner setup. 2️⃣ Narrow it down to the strongest stocks Clear the filters, go to the Themes section, select software, add any other filters you prefer, and sort by monthly performance. Take the top 10 names and switch to the Charts tab. Look for stocks holding near their highs without being overly extended, or names forming a flag with a clear risk/reward setup. 3️⃣ Find the best setup, then check
TOPNice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @koolgal @JC888 @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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10-14
🐶 Options Puppy’s Market Diary: Wednesday, 14 October 2026 TigerTrade
🐾 Three things that could make Wall Street wag its tail — or bite back! Today is a big day for my trading watchlist. I have US September CPI inflation data, major financial-sector earnings, semiconductor equipment results, and Anthropic’s pre-IPO investor day to watch. My job as Options Puppy is simple: I don’t chase every green candle, and I don’t panic at every red candle. I sniff out opportunities and manage my risk! 🐶📈 🐶 1. 🇺🇸 September CPI — the inflation boss fight At 8:30pm Singapore time, the US September Consumer Price Index (CPI) arrives. This is the number that could make the market bark loudly. Investors are watching whether inflation is cooling or whether higher energy costs are keeping prices stubbornly high. * 🟢 Cooler-than-expected CPI: Investors may become more optimistic
TOPASML earnings and semi equipment demand are the real tell today, CPI is just short term noise. Backlog and capex commentary will matter more
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10-14
First Principles Financial Framework: Deconstructing Personal Expenditure and Modern Equity Investments
Applying first-principles thinking means stripping away social norms, marketing hype, and emotional habits (reasoning by analogy) to look at the raw, undeniable truths of a situation, and building your logic up from scratch In this article, we would be discussing how we are going to do stripping away market analogy, social mimicry, and heuristic distortions to reveal core economic truths. 1. The Epistemology of First Principles in Personal Finance Most economic actors reason by analogy. When faced with a purchasing or investing choice, the natural human reaction is to copy existing models, rely on industry norms, or follow societal consensus. A consumer buys a new sports utility vehicle because peers in their income bracket drive similar vehicles; a retail trader buys a stock because its c
TOPFirst principles does help, but only if you reduce it to hard drivers. For Nvidia the real base layer is compute infrastructure plus CUDA lock-in, not the daily narrative noise
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10-14
Coinbase's "Record 48% Subscription Revenue" Is Partly An Illusion. I'm Still Long It.
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Mathematical Money | October 14, 2026 COINBASE closed Monday at $180.39, which is 50% below its 52-week high of $361 and 1.7% under its 200-day average. I hold the shares, I write calls above them and puts below them, and I have not reduced the position. But I spent this week going through every business line properly, and the headline everybody repeated after the last quarter does not survive the check. I would rather be the one to say so. The illusion, first The reported line was that 48% of net revenue came from subscriptions and services, a record, and that Coinbase has successfully diversified away from trading. Here is what that leaves out. Subscription revenue was $727 million in Q4 2025. It was $55
TOPUSDC is the shakier piece here. Circle just showed interest income down 15% QoQ, so if rates ease that subscription mix starts looking naked fast
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10-14
Your Passport To Global Wealth: 4 UCITs Have Landed on SGX
🌟🌟🌟For years, building a world class, tax optimised investment portfolio felt a bit like booking a complicated international flight. If you were a retail investor in Singapore wanting to buy the S&P500 or the Nasdaq 100 without getting hammered by aggressive US taxes, you had to park your money in an overseas brokerage account. You had to convert your hard earned Singapore Dollars into US Dollars or British Pounds, trade in the middle of the night and swallow heavy currency conversion spreads. But on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, the local financial landscape has shifted permanently. DWS, the global asset management platform of Deutsche Bank, has officially cross listed 4 blockbuster Xtrackers UCITs ETFs right here on the SGX. Think of this as global finance opening a high spee
TOPThis really fixes the biggest pain point for SG investors — timezone and FX drag. Ngl the SGD trading convenience matters more than people think
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10-14
5 of Monday's best charts and insights
1. Dollar positioning Institutional investors have piled back into USD in recent weeks. 2. BTC vs. 200MA "Bitcoin reclaimed its 200-day on Aug 19 after 289 sessions below, the 3rd-longest stretch since 2014. 51 sessions on it is +19.2%; the 2019 reclaim was +62% at this point and 2023's +13%, then +55% and +36% a year out. Friday $82,546, -34% from the peak. Trend reclaimed." 3. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ vs. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ skew "VIX upside convexity has gone extremely bid while SPX downside convexity remains very offered ... as a colleague on our index vol desk said, 'there is almost a higher probability of VIX 25+ than there is of SPX -2%'" 4. EBIT margins "Corporate margins con
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10-14
Bitcoin Trend Reclaimed
"Bitcoin reclaimed its 200-day on Aug 19 after 289 sessions below, the 3rd-longest stretch since 2014. 51 sessions on it is +19.2%; the 2019 reclaim was +62% at this point and 2023's +13%, then +55% and +36% a year out ... Trend reclaimed." $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$ $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$ $Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF(BTCO)$ $WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund(BTCW)$ $NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF(BTCI)$
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10-14
This morning's newly listed OCBC call warrant!
See how the warrant $OCBC Bk MB eCW270329(UUDW.SI)$ moves alongside $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ shares:
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10-14
$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Elite business, deepest point of the investment cycle, and why I'm not selling puts before the print Alphabet is two stories in one quarter. The operating business is excellent, and the cash story is the weakest it has been in a while. Q2 revenue was $119.8B, up 24%, with a 34% operating margin. Google Cloud grew 82% at a 35.6% margin, with $514B of contracted backlog, about five years of current revenue. Search grew 17%, so the AI-disruption bear case isn't in the numbers. The reported profit overstates it. Q2 GAAP EPS was $9.11, but $6.26 of that came from unrealised equity gains. On clean consensus EPS, Alphabet trades at 29.9× 2026 and 23.2× 2027, not the 17.7× on the screen.
TOPGAAP EPS is flattered here, that $6.26 unrealized gain muddies the quarter. I care more about the core operating margin holding up once that accounting noise is stripped out
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10-13
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ holding on for the Roadster event on 15 Oct - conviction of a surge back over $400 in near term
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10-14
The CET1 ratio determines the room banks can do three things: loan, buy back shares, and take losses JPM: CET1 from 14.8% → 13.9%, RWA increased $51 billion GS: CET1 from 14.3% (early year) → 12.4%, both market and credit RWA rose WFC: CET1 from 10.3% → 10.0%, target range bottom line Citi: CET1 maintains 12.8% but is only about 120 basis points higher than requirement
TOPJPM dropping to 13.9% with $51B more RWA reads more like balance sheet usage than capital stress
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10-14
🔥 CPI DROPS TODAY — Here’s the quick estimate everyone’s watching US CPI (September data) releases today at 8:30 AM ET. Market consensus estimates: Headline CPI: +0.6% month-over-month → 3.6% year-over-year (up from 3.4% last month) Core CPI (ex food & energy): +0.2% month-over-month → ~2.4–2.5% year-over-year Likely range most expect: Headline YoY: 3.5% – 3.7% Core YoY: 2.4% – 2.5% Energy prices are the main reason headline is expected to tick higher. Core is expected to stay relatively calm. Markets will react fast to any surprise — hotter = higher yields / stronger dollar; cooler = the opposite. Simple as that. Watch the number. What do you think will be the numbers for CPI? $TQQQ 20261030 60.0 PUT$
TOPCore probably lands around 2.4% to 2.5%, and that is the part QQQ cares about more. If core stays there, yields probably cool a bit
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10-13
AI-Powered Talent Management: YXT Helps FMCG Enterprise Build Organizational Capabilities
Recently, a leading Chinese FMCG enterprise partnered with YXT.com Group Holding Limited ( $云学堂(YXT)$ ). Based on YXT’s AABL (AI-Augmented Blended Learning) program, the company has integrated AI into the full process of mid-level talent identification, development, assessment, and insights, advancing its talent development system toward a more data-driven and intelligent model. For an FMCG enterprise with annual sales exceeding RMB 10 billion, middle managers play a critical role in connecting business strategy with frontline execution. As businesses expand and organizational needs evolve, companies need not only to develop existing managers, but also to identify leadership potential, understand capability gaps, and establish sustainable talent de
TOPAABL actually sounds like a real workflow win here, not just AI garnish. The closed loop from identification to development to assessment is the part I care about
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10-13
Beyond Net Interest Margins: What Truly Drives Major Bank Valuations in Volatile Rate Environments
Major banks reporting tonight, but other than net interest margins, should investors be looking at other key factors or drivers, which could likely affect the major banks holding up valuations? In this article, we would like to provide an analysis that evaluates the critical drivers beyond NIM that investors must track to evaluate bank valuation durability. 1. The Limitations of Net Interest Margin Primacy Net Interest Margin (NIM) measures the net yield earned on a bank's interest-bearing assets relative to its interest-bearing liabilities. During the initial phases of monetary tightening, NIM expansion served as the core engine powering bank profitability. Assets re-priced rapidly to higher market rates while deposit costs lagged due to sluggish deposit beta response. However, relying on
TOPRWA optimization matters just as much here — in this setup, capital allocation efficiency can do more for multiples than NIM alone. Buybacks only help if the balance sheet stays flexible
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10-14
AI Capex Reality Check: TSMC & ASML Signals
Semiconductor giants $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ TSMC and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML release their Q3 earnings, market attention focuses on whether corporate AI capital expenditure (Capex) remains structurally durable. In this article, we would like to share how investors can look out for the signals that TSMC and ASML earnings is giving for the AI Capex reality check. 1. Macro Backdrop: The Global AI Capex Expansion The technology sector’s multi-year rally has been underwritten by an unprecedented surge in capital spending among hyperscale cloud providers (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta). Total AI-related Capex is projected to surpass $200 billion annually as tech leaders compete to
TOPTSMC and ASML do matter here, but CoWoS bottlenecks still distort the capex read more than demand does. Forecast quality matters more than the headline spend now
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10-14
ASML Earnings Are Coming: Are AI Chipmakers Still Willing to Expand Capacity?
Asian semiconductor stocks just experienced a sharp selloff, with SK hynix, Samsung and Kioxia coming under heavy pressure as investors reassessed future memory supply and pricing power. Now, ASML is set to report its Q3 earnings, offering another important signal about the future of the AI infrastructure cycle. The key question is not simply how much ASML earned this quarter, but whether chipmakers are still willing to spend heavily on capacity they may not need until 2027 or 2028. ASML's fundamentals remain strong. In Q2, the company reported €9.33 billion in revenue, a 54% gross margin and approximately €2.9 billion in net income. Management previously guided for Q3 revenue of €11 billion–€12 billion and gross margins of 55%–57%. Analysts surveyed by Visible Alpha expect roughly €11.71
TOPFor ASML, however, that same capacity expansion can create demand for more manufacturing equipment. In other words, what worries memory investors may initially benefit equipment suppliers.
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10-14
🏆 What’s Your Take - higher and longer? Winners Are Here!
Hi, Tigers 🐯 Our “What’s Your Take?｜Higher for Longer: How Would You Invest??” campaign has officially come to an end! Different views are what make a market. And great takes deserve to be seen. After careful evaluation, we’re excited to announce the winners of our first What’s Your Take? campaign! 🎉 🥇 Legendary Take This take really hit the mark. 🔥 Congratulations to: @Kentzw @Adz5150 @Shyon 🎁 Million-Dollar Reversible Blanket 🪙 5,000 Tiger Coins 🥈 Market Oracle When the market gets interesting, these are the takes worth a second look. 🔮 Congratulations to:
TOPThank you so much @TigerStars been a bit quiet this month otherwise but I’ve got some new stuff cooking. Just need a few more events to happen in the latest stock moves and I’ll have some content incoming :)
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10-07
Full Guide to Chip Distribution Analysis for Industries and Individual Stocks: A Practical Manual for Traders
Full Guide to Chip Distribution Analysis for Industries and Individual Stocks: A Practical Manual for Traders 1 Fundamental Analysis of Chip Distribution 1.1 Core Concepts and Market Implications Chip distribution (also known as cost distribution) is a technical analysis tool that displays the holding cost structure of stocks. It calculates the volume distribution across different price ranges to visually present the concentrated areas of shareholding costs among market participants. In stock quotation software, chip distribution is shown graphically to illustrate the quantity of tradable shares held by market participants at various price levels. Due to its intuitive visual form, chip distribution exhibits distinct morphological features when measuring stock holding cost structures. These
TOPUseful framework, but chip distribution always lags the tape a bit. Sudden news or guidance shifts can rebuild the cost map way faster than the chart shows