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10-15
Blood bath today 🩸
Blood bath today 🩸 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped 100+ points, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped 17+ points from yesterdays close. CPI numbers came in hot and the % chance of a rate hike in 2 weeks just increased. We have PPI numbers coming up tomorrow then OPEX on Friday. Tread lightly, it's possible we see a gap fill at 722 on $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ then back higher. $SPX to 7650 in play if it can't defend 7700 next. Memory stocks still showing no signs of strength yet, MU and SNDK tried to pop higher yday but gave it all back today. Let them find a bottom. It's almost time to go shopping. This will be another buy the dip scenari
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10-15
TRADE PLAN for Oct 14th ✅
TRADE PLAN for Oct 14th ✅ CPI data came in hotter than expected and Rate hike odds increased to 33% from 21%. $SPX will open up under 7800 and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is down 5 premarket. if QQQ sells off today 734 in play, $SPX to 7750 if it can't reclaim 7800. We need to see if SPX and QQQ can move red to green otherwise it's a risk off environment for now. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ needs back above 600 to consider calls. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ through 1500 and $Micron Technology(MU)$ above 955 today would look more bullish as well. I would be more careful until
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10-14
$ServiceNow(NOW)$ the cleanest sell-put setup on my list, with one gate that fails ServiceNow is the one name where my gates are nearly all green, and a single date holds me back. The business hasn't changed since my last review, but analysts have caught up. Stifel went to $160 from $120, UBS to $150 from $110, Argus to $170 from $134, and RBC to $176 from $130, all within a week. Consensus is $149.93, about 7.6% above the $138.61 close on 13 Oct. The numbers behind that are solid. Q2 subscription revenue was $3,877M, up 24.5%. Current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) were $13.20B, up 21%, and total contracted backlog is $29.0B. Trailing free cash flow is $4.57B, a 31% margin. The stock is 32
TOPJessieTheresa: I am not sold on the immunity angle here. If AI agents compress seat growth, 31% FCF margin will not save this multiple
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10-14
$DBS(D05.SI)$ should accumulate more?
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10-15
$Amazon (AMZN) Drops -1.74%: AI Debt Fears Pressure Cloud Giants, $252 Support in Focus
📊 Market Recap As of the close on October 15, 2026 (America/New_York), 'AMZN' settled at $254.08, down -1.74% with an intraday range of $252.66 – $259.65. The stock remains about 11.5% below its 52-week high of $287.20, while still holding well above its 52-week low of $196.00. Volume came in at 33.53 million shares with a volume ratio of 1.04, indicating only slightly above-normal participation during the pullback. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Debt Anxiety Spills Over: Rising yields on AI-infrastructure debt, highlighted by stress in names like CoreWeave and Oracle, weighed on the broader technology complex and pressured mega-cap cloud names including 'AMZN'. Hyperscaler Capex Scrutiny: J.P. Morgan Asset Management data suggests hyperscaler capex could reach $800 billion in 2026 and exceed $1 trillio
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10-15
$Strategy (MSTR) Slumps -5.87%: Bitcoin Treasury Giant Tests $127 Support as Momentum Cools
📊 Market Recap As of the close on October 15, 2026, 'Strategy' (MSTR) settled at $143.24, down -5.87% on the day. The stock is now trading roughly 54% below its 52-week high of $312.71, while holding above its 52-week low of $81.81. The session showed clear distribution, with total outflow slightly exceeding inflow and a turnover rate of 4.88%. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Debt Contagion: A sharp sell-off in AI infrastructure names such as CoreWeave and Oracle sparked risk-off sentiment across high-multiple tech and leveraged equity proxies, pressuring MSTR as a high-beta Bitcoin Treasury play. Capital Flight: Five-day capital flow data shows persistent net outflows, including -$28.53 million on October 12 and -$10.99 million on October 13, indicating institutional de-risking ahead of the decline. Ele
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10-15
$Nebius (NBIS) Plunged -10.08%: AI Debt Fears Hammer Neocloud Stocks, $183 Support Under Siege
📊 Market Recap As of October 15, 2026 (New York time), 'NBIS' closed at $186.01, tumbling -10.08% with an intraday range of $183.11 - $198.60. The stock is now roughly 37.9% below its 52-week high of $299.86, while the after-hours price of $186.01 signals persistent selling pressure. Amplitude reached 7.49% with turnover at 12.14%, reflecting intense volatility and aggressive distribution. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Debt Anxiety: CoreWeave's bond yields surged toward 15%, triggering a sector-wide selloff in AI neocloud names; 'NBIS' fell 9% in sympathy as investors repriced leverage risk. Capital Flight: 5-day capital flow showed a sharp -$67.78 million outflow on 10-12, followed by only partial recovery, indicating institutional hesitation at current levels. Valuation Squeeze: With a TTM P/E of 113
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10-15
$SanDisk (SNDK) Drops -5.33%: Storage Leader Enters Oversold Zone, $1,380 Support Under Siege
📊 Market Recap As of the October 15 close, 'SanDisk' (SNDK) settled at $1,403.34, down -5.33% from the prior session. The stock now sits roughly 40.4% below its 52-week high of $2,354.39, reflecting a sharp risk-off phase in the storage sector. Intraday range spanned $1,402.02 to $1,461.80, indicating heavy distribution near the $1,460 area. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Debt Anxiety Spillover: Broader tech sell-off driven by concerns over AI infrastructure leverage pressured high-beta semiconductor names, with SNDK swept up in the risk aversion. Capital Outflow Signal: Five-day capital flow data shows net outflows on four of the last five sessions, with large and mid orders leaning to the sell side, signaling institutional de-risking. Short Interest Normalization: Short volume ratio eased from an Octo
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10-14
TSMC Q3 Earnings Strategy: Good News Already Priced In
The Key to This Earnings Report Is Whether Capex Proves AI Demand Lasts Through 2027–2028 1. Basics TSMC 3Q26 revenue was about $46.7B, up 18% quarter over quarter, already above the top of the company's own guidance. The main drivers were Apple/AMD moving to 2nm, and AI GPUs and ASICs moving to 3nm. The market's focus is no longer the revenue beat. It's the 4Q guidance, 2nm ramp speed, and gross margin. The market expects 4Q revenue to still grow 10–15% quarter over quarter, with full-year dollar revenue growth above 40%. But 3Q/4Q gross margin is about 67.0%/67.8%, a bit below the market's high expectations of 68–69%. The long-term story is still strong: N3/N2 capacity is tight, advanced packaging demand is strong, 2026 capex is about $63–64B, and 2027 could rise to $83B. Key thing to wa
TOP67% gross margin is already elite. I care way more about whether that 83B capex locks in AI demand through 2027 than a 1 point margin miss
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10-14
10/14 Strategy Preview | Inflation Is Heating Up Again
① What Happened Today U.S. inflation rose to 3.7%, and rate pressure is back in the market. CPI came in hotter than expected: September CPI rose to 3.7% year over year, and core CPI rose to 2.6%. Higher energy prices pushed inflation up. Treasury yields jumped, the dollar strengthened, and gold and silver came under pressure. The market is starting to bet on more Fed rate hikes ahead, which is bad for tech stock valuations. Anthropic becomes the focus of the AI trade: Investor Day will test how AI commercialization is going. The market is watching whether annual recurring revenue (ARR) can keep growing, and when AI spending will turn into profit. Semiconductors were recently cut by hedge funds, but overall positioning is still high. If earnings or guidance miss, the sector could keep swing
TOP3.7% CPI is enough to keep duration under pressure. If 10Y can't stay below 4.5%, QQQ and semis probably test lower first
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10-14
Apple (AAPL) Tops Out? Elliott Wave Says Not Yet
Short Term Elliott Wave analysis in Apple (AAPL) shows the cycle from the August 1, 2026 low unfolding as a five‑wave impulse. From that low, wave 1 ended at $322.37. A corrective decline in wave 2 followed, finishing at $309.90. The stock then advanced in wave 3, reaching $345.34. A measured pullback in wave 4 completed at $325.81, setting the stage for the next rally. The subsequent advance carried the stock to new highs in wave 5. Yet the rise from wave 4 has developed in only three swings, which signals that further upside is likely. From wave 4, wave ((i)) concluded at $341.57. The pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at $330.70. The stock then resumed higher, with wave ((iii)) extending to $348.15. A near‑term pullback in wave ((iv)) is expected, but it should remain above $330.70 to preser
TOPElliott count is neat, but three straight weeks with daily RSI above 70 matters more to me. 343 premarket with put/call at 0.53 still feels late-cycle
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10-14
BREAKING: TRUMP TRIGGERING A GREENLAND ENERGY RUSH! 🇬🇱🛢️
Greenland Energy Co. $Greenland Energy Co(GLND)$ is skyrocketing in premarket trading after President Donald Trump dropped a major announcement on Truth Social! 📈🔥 🚨 What’s Happening? * 📢 Trump's Announcement: Trump revealed that "massive" oil, gas, and mineral exploration is preparing to launch in Greenland. * 🛢️ Unlocking Reserves: He cited top experts claiming Greenland could hold some of the world’s largest and most accessible oil reserves. * 🛡️ Strategic Dominance: Trump highlighted Greenland's vital geopolitical importance for North American and European defense and energy security. * 📈 Stock Reaction: $GLND is surging on massive volume as traders rush into the pure-play Arctic explorer! 🚀 💡 Why It Matters: Gree
TOPOnly TACO 🌮 trades are real as far as corrupt Trump is concerned… he can’t control others. He can only influence himself… by giving up. He knows no shame anyway… [Facepalm][Smug][Chuckle][Evil]
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10-14
What the Tigers say:JPM, GS, WFC, C Kick Off Q3 — and Wall Street Picks Its Metric
Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to "What the Tigers say." 👋 Big-bank earnings season kicks off on October 13 with $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ and $Citigroup(C)$ reporting third-quarter results, and the community spent the run-up debating what actually holds bank valuations up: headline profits, net interest margins, or tangible book value. With rates volatile and $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ still trimming $Bank of America(BAC)$
TOPI agree most with @D1ane ’s view that headline profits alone do not tell the whole story. For me, credit quality, loan-loss provisions, funding costs, and net interest margins all matter when evaluating whether a bank can sustain its earnings. I also find @nerdbull1669 ’s point about tangible book value important, especially when Treasury yields remain elevated. A bank may report solid profits, but hidden balance-sheet pressure and unrealised losses can still affect its long-term valuation. As for Berkshire trimming $Bank of America(BAC)$ , I would treat it as a signal worth monitoring rather than an automatic reason to sell. I prefer to look at the bank’s fundamentals, valuation, and earnings outlook before making a decision. Ultimately, I want to invest in banks that can deliver sustainable earnings through different interest-rate environments, not just benefit from temporarily favourable conditions. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @WallStreet_Tiger
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10-14
NVDA Earnings Review: Fundamental Highlight, But Market Focuses on Core Debate
NVIDIA enters this earnings review with expectations already set at an unusually high level. Based on the provided consensus-style forecasts for the current quarter, the market is looking for revenue of $109.16 billion, up 98.74% year over year, EBIT of $71.79 billion, up 99.61% year over year, and EPS of 2.476, up 98.16% year over year. Those figures imply that investors are not debating whether demand remains strong; they are debating whether the company can sustain nearly doubling growth on a much larger revenue base. The previous quarter’s reported results were powerful enough to support that optimism, with revenue of $96.22 billion, up 105.85% year over year, EBIT of $63.96 billion, up 112.02% year over year, EPS of 2.22, up 111.43% year over year, and very high reported profitability
TOP112% EBIT growth and 74.98% gross margin are absurdly strong. The real debate is whether data center demand stays broad enough to defend that margin stack
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10-14
🇸🇬 MAS October Policy Review — An Investor's Briefing
The one-liner: No change, but still on the hawkish side — the SGD keeps grinding stronger to pre-empt inflation, with clearer relief expected from mid-2027. 📌 What did MAS do? Policy on hold: The rate of appreciation of the S$NEER policy band is unchanged — no change to the band's width or centre. Context: In July, MAS had nudged the pace of appreciation up "very slightly"; this round, it's staying patient. Where the SGD sits: The S$NEER has strengthened modestly, trading in the upper half of the appreciating band. 📈 Growth: The AI engine is still humming Q3 GDP: +5.4% y-o-y, +1.1% q-o-q seasonally adjusted (a touch slower than Q2). Tech-related sectors are the star — global AI investment is powering regional industrial production and trade, with strong orders and expanding capacity. Const
TOPI see MAS staying on the hawkish side as a prudent move, especially with energy, food and transport costs putting renewed pressure on inflation. A stronger SGD helps cushion imported inflation, although it also means exporters may face some headwinds. I remain cautiously optimistic about Singapore’s growth, particularly with AI-related investment supporting manufacturing, trade and technology supply chains. However, I will be watching whether this momentum can sustain into 2027, as consumer-facing sectors remain softer and the AI investment cycle may eventually moderate. For my portfolio, I will continue balancing growth opportunities with stability, while keeping an eye on SGD strength and interest-rate trends. I would rather stay disciplined and focus on quality businesses than chase short-term momentum. The key is whether earnings growth can remain strong when inflation finally cools from mid-2027. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @Tiger_SG
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10-14
Yesterday Korea's Memory Stocks Fell 8% On A China Scare. ASML Has Never Shipped China A Single EUV Machine
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Mathematical Money | October 2026 Yesterday the KOSPI broke below 6,000 intraday. SK Hynix fell more than 9%, Samsung Electronics more than 8%, and a sell-side trading curb was triggered for the first time in two months. The trigger was CXMT, a Chinese memory maker, announcing progress on a memory-cell design that packs more storage into less space. Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron are roughly 90% of the world's DRAM, so a credible Chinese entrant with a density advantage threatens all three at once. I wrote about it that day because I own Western Digital, and I argued the selloff was being applied to companies it did not belong to. This morning the one company that decides whether anybody can build dense memory at
TOPTime window is a moat too. If ASML is effectively sold out through 2028, a memory-cell design win still hits a manufacturing wall first
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10-14
[Winning Trade] Trump Gives Newborns $1,000 to Invest. Should You Buy the S&P 500?
What if your child started investing in the stock market before learning to walk? That’s the idea behind Trump Accounts, a new government-backed investment program designed to give American children an early start. In October, the U.S. Treasury completed automatic enrollment for eligible children under 18. U.S. citizens born between 2025 and 2028 can also qualify for a one-time $1,000 government contribution, provided a parent or guardian claims the account and meets the program’s requirements. Here’s the interesting part: The default investment isn't Nvidia, Tesla, or another high-flying stock. It's SPYM, a low-cost ETF tracking the S&P 500. Why the S&P 500? The answer comes down to a simple investing principle: You don't have to pick the next big winner to build wealth over time.
TOPB — Dollar-cost averaging, with one important twist. The biggest risk today isn't necessarily buying at the top; it's confusing a strong market with a risk-free market. With AI stocks driving much of the S&P 500's gains, index diversification doesn't completely eliminate concentration risk. Historically, investing a lump sum has tended to outperform spreading investments over time because markets rise more often than they fall. However, DCA can reduce emotional pressure and help investors avoid panic when prices decline. If I had $10,000, I'd invest a portion upfront and deploy the remainder over the next few months, while keeping an emergency fund separate. I'd also continue investing regardless of short-term headlines. Why? Because waiting for a 10% correction sounds sensible until the market rises another 15% without giving you an entry point. The real edge isn't predicting tomorrow's price. It's having a strategy you can stick with for the next 10–20 years @MillionaireTiger
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10-14
Tom Yuen's Playbook: What Futures Really Are (and Why Exchanges Created Them)
Speaker: Tom Yuen (YCK), a futures trader with 30+ years of experience, walks first-timers through where futures come from, how they differ from buying something on the spot, and why the exchange exists at all. [About the Speaker] Tom Yuen (YCK) has over 30 years of professional futures trading experience. He started as an independent floor trader at the Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX, now SGX-DT), trading his own capital for 14 years before markets went fully electronic. A Computer Science graduate of the National University of Singapore, he teaches an approach built on technical analysis, trading psychology, probability and risk management. He is one of the trainers invited and endorsed by SGX-DT to conduct futures trading programmes, and has trained traders across Sing
TOPI think the biggest takeaway from this sharing is that futures themselves are not a problem; the real risk is trading rashly without understanding the rules. Unlike buying stocks directly, futures trading allows you to go long or short, but leverage amplifies profits and losses. Even if you invest only a small amount of margin, you may incur losses far exceeding the margin. For beginners, I recommend first understanding the fundamentals of stocks and companies, and then gradually learning tools such as futures and options. If you want to try futures trading, you should first use a demo account to familiarize yourself with contract rules, expiration dates, and stop-loss methods. Don't rush to invest real money. Investing doesn't need to be complex from the start. Learn before you act; controlling risk is more important than making quick money.
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10-14
Tom Yuen's Playbook: Reading a Futures Contract, from Contract Size to Margin
Speaker: Tom Yuen (YCK) shows what to check on a contract specification before placing a trade, and explains margin, margin calls and leverage in plain language. [About the Speaker] Tom Yuen (YCK) has over 30 years of professional futures trading experience, beginning as an independent floor trader at SIMEX (now SGX-DT). A Computer Science graduate of the National University of Singapore, he is one of the trainers endorsed by SGX-DT to conduct futures trading programmes and has trained traders across Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand. [The Hook] Before any chart, any setup, any prediction, YCK asks one question: do you know what you are actually trading? Every futures contract comes with a specification sheet, and he walked through the items that matter. [The Contract Spec: What to Check] C
TOPI picked the CME Micro E-mini S&P 500 (MES). Contract size: US$5 × S&P 500 Index Minimum tick: 0.25 index point Tick value: US$1.25 Expiry: Quarterly, on the third Friday of Mar, Jun, Sep and Dec. At an index level around 7,765, one contract has about US$38,825 notional exposure. • 1 tick = US$1.25 • 1% move = 77.65 points × US$5 = about US$388.25 gain or loss Margin varies over time and by broker, so I would check the current requirement before trading rather than treat it as fixed. I would be more comfortable with MES than the full-size E-mini. The smaller multiplier gives much better control over position sizing and losses while still providing S&P 500 exposure. Leverage still means even a Micro contract needs strict risk management.
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10-14
Tom Yuen's Playbook: The Two Golden Rules, and Why Trading Is Not Investing
Speaker: Tom Yuen (YCK) shares the two rules he says matter most from his floor-trading days, how he thinks about probability and discipline, and how trading differs from investing. [About the Speaker] Tom Yuen (YCK) has over 30 years of professional futures trading experience, including 14 years trading his own capital as an independent floor trader at SIMEX (now SGX-DT). He teaches an approach built on technical analysis, trading psychology, probability and risk management, and is an SGX-DT-endorsed trainer. [The Hook] When YCK started on the floor, senior traders passed on all kinds of tips. After boiling them down, he says only two really matter. [Golden Rule 1: Don't Trade Against the Trend] On the old trading floor, big orders came in by phone and pushed the market for a few ticks wh
TOPI think the most important thing in this presentation is not the Fibonacci retracement, but...Plan stop-loss, take-profit, and position management before entering the market.。 Taking profits in 80/20 batches can help lock in some profits, but technical indicators cannot guarantee trading success. Futures trading involves leverage, and losses may quickly widen. Option buyers may also lose all premium, while sellers may bear greater risk. For beginners, I recommend practicing with a demo account first to familiarize yourself with the trends of gold or major indices. Don't rush into highly leveraged products, and don't copy other people's contract volumes. Learn to control losses first, then consider how much to make.Long-term stability is more important than making a lot of money in one go.