April has historically been a strong month, and with extreme fear in the market, a rebound could be likely. Fear-driven sell-offs often create buying opportunities, but tariff uncertainties and inflation risks make it unclear if we’ve hit bottom. I’m cautiously optimistic while watching macro trends.
The tariff situation is a major risk. If the worst-case scenario unfolds, volatility could intensify, dragging markets lower. However, if investors grow desensitized to tariff news, temporary recoveries may follow. The key is whether tariffs remain a persistent concern or fade into the background.
An antifragile approach seems smart in this environment. Gold, Treasuries, and defensive currencies offer hedges against volatility, while Buffett’s strategy of holding strong companies is proving resilient. I’m not fully shifting strategies but see value in balancing growth with defensive plays.
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