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07-25 07:31

Who Is Orchestrating the Great Commodity Rebound of 2025? Fantasy or Opportunity?

Three Core Forces Driving Commodity Market VolatilityThe year 2025 brings the most intense policy-driven turmoil to global commodities in recent memory. Three main forces are reshaping the resource landscape :Supply chain upheaval triggered by impending US tariffsAn escalating crisis in Federal Reserve independence, complicating monetary policySupply-side shifts sparked by China’s “anti-involution” initiativeAs capital and policy interact, NY COMEX copper futures spiked to $9,900/ton, silicon prices surged nearly 6% in a single day, and lithium carbonate jumped 4.55% in one week. Meanwhile, the US dollar index hovered anxiously at the 97.5 mark .US Tariff Deadline: Copper and Aluminum Markets RespondOn July 9th, the Trump administration announced a 50% tariff on imported copper starting Au
Who Is Orchestrating the Great Commodity Rebound of 2025? Fantasy or Opportunity?

GOLD: Keep Selling Order!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Keep selling orders today, I have explained it! At the same time, I have provided 3 signal selling strategies in my VIP group! The first target of 3330 has been reached. Trump's tariff policy did not meet expectations! At the same time, the US 20-year Treasury bond yield has a rebound trend, the US dollar index has climbed, and gold has fallen sharply today! There is almost no room for selling orders to rebound today! It will hit 3300 next week! ImageImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimited
GOLD: Keep Selling Order!

Key Developments for U.S. Soybeans: Market Trends to Watch

This week, financial market news has been relatively scarce. This is understandable since previous updates were quite intense, making the current news seem much milder. Although the overall market lacks notable developments, the agricultural products sector has seen significant news—particularly at a critical juncture for U.S. soybeans (post-June)—which inevitably demands attention.While reviewing industry websites over the weekend, I realized that China-U.S. agricultural trade has been interrupted for a substantial period. China has not purchased U.S. soybeans for a long time. However, as the world’s largest soybean buyer, China’s recovering consumption means relying solely on purchases from Brazil and Argentina can no longer meet its demand. Back when China-U.S. trade was normalized, Chi
Key Developments for U.S. Soybeans: Market Trends to Watch

Ethereum's Lone Struggle to Lead: Is There Still Room for Growth in the Overall Cryptocurrency Marke

Is there still room for growth in the overall cryptocurrency market, or is Ethereum's recent independent surge an anomaly?Bitcoin's Status and Ethereum's Unexpected RiseBitcoin has shown volatile trends after reaching its projected target price of $120,000-$130,000 earlier this year. In contrast, Ethereum has recently surged independently, an unusual occurrence given that most other cryptocurrencies have not followed suit. This raises questions about whether this independent movement signals an impending end to the rally or if Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will soon catch up, leading to a broader market uptrend.The Influence of Political FiguresA crucial factor in answering this question is understanding the changing status of Bitcoin and Ethereum during Donald Trump's potential term.
Ethereum's Lone Struggle to Lead: Is There Still Room for Growth in the Overall Cryptocurrency Marke

GOLD: Still Maintained Upward Momentum Due to Uncertainties

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold prices rose on Friday aStols a weaker dollar and ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty boosted demand for safe-haven gold. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,353.25 per ounce, after falling 1.1% in the previous trading session. U.S. gold futures also rose 0.4% to $3,359.70. Gold prices remained largely stable around the $3,350 level this week. Whether gold prices can sustain a break above the $3,350 level next week remains uncertain, with tariffs remaining a key focus. Additionally, statements from potential successors to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding inter
GOLD: Still Maintained Upward Momentum Due to Uncertainties

Inflation Warnings from CPI in a Tariff Storm: Can Gold Prices Go Higher?

In the first half of 2025, international gold prices repeatedly hit new highs, driven by escalating global tariff risks and geopolitical tensions. At its peak, the price once surged past the $3,500/oz mark. As the second quarter began, the upward momentum significantly slowed, with prices currently fluctuating narrowly between $3,300 and $3,400/oz. The key factors fueling the price increase, such as geopolitical strife and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s policies, are losing their impact. Meanwhile, renewed turbulence in U.S. tariff negotiations and the latest CPI data, which is far from reassuring, have reignited market concerns about inflation.Renewed U.S. Tariff Shock Elevates Global Trade RisksThe newest wave of U.S. tariff threats has injected even greater unpredictability into
Inflation Warnings from CPI in a Tariff Storm: Can Gold Prices Go Higher?

GOLD: Why it still Fall Sharply?

$Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ New York market: After the shock adjustment, it continued to fall sharply! The lowest point was 3322 US dollars. Gold began to fall at 3342 and has reached the target position of 3325! The highest profit has been 170 points! Successfully reached TP! Friends who follow me should have seen that the signals I tweeted for three consecutive days have all made a big profit! But here are only a few signals. Friends who need more signals can add my contact information on the homepage. ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US
GOLD: Why it still Fall Sharply?

Tariff Deterioration and the Resurgence of Inflation: Key Opportunities in the Futures Markets

This week, there have been two notable pieces of news—one largely speculative and the other more concrete. The speculative news surrounds rumors that Jerome Powell might resign due to a certain issue. However, these reports lack substance for two reasons: first, Powell has only a short time left in his current term, making resignation unnecessary; second, the issue being cited appears to be more of a procedural pretext for testing reactions, with little chance of success. Should the Federal Reserve Chair actually resign under such circumstances, it would destabilize the US financial system—a risk far too serious for mere conjecture.The more substantial development involves Donald Trump, who has taken initiative ahead of the tariff negotiation deadline by sending letters to key trading part
Tariff Deterioration and the Resurgence of Inflation: Key Opportunities in the Futures Markets

GOLD: The Short-term Upward Trend Remains Unchanged

1. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: Gold prices (XAU/USD) have maintained an overall upward trend, currently testing the key resistance level at 3,365 USD. If this level is effectively broken, it could open up further upside potential, with targets at 3,400 USD or even 3,435 USD.On the daily chart, the MACD remains in a positive divergence, with momentum indicators showing that buying activity remains strong, suggesting a short-term bias towards further gains. Conversely, if gold prices encounter resistance around the 3,370-73 level, they may pull back to the 3,340 USD support zone, with further support levels at around 3,326 and 3,300 USD, which are still
GOLD: The Short-term Upward Trend Remains Unchanged

Can We Still Chase Silver After Its Rally?

In recent months, while gold has been trading sideways, silver has been quietly climbing. Although it’s still some distance away from its all-time high, silver’s inherent volatility means it can’t be ruled out that a new high might be within reach. Interestingly, previous surges in silver prices have often been followed by significant market events of various kinds—each time marking dramatic moves in global finance. The question now is whether this pattern will repeat.Looking back at the monthly silver price chart, it’s clear that during the years 2008, 2011, and 2020, silver experienced sharp rises or rebounds, only to be followed by equally dramatic crashes. Chronologically, these peaks align with three major market shockwaves: the subprime crisis, the European debt crisis, and the Covid
Can We Still Chase Silver After Its Rally?

GOLD: Surged Again Due to Stronger Safe-haven Demand

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Barrick Gold Corp(GOLD)$ prices rose again due to stronger safe-haven demand, boosted by a new round of trade tensions. Spot gold rose to around $3,374 per ounce. Earlier, US President Trump announced that he would impose a 30% import tariff on the EU and Mexico starting next month, sparking market concerns about a further deterioration in trade relations.Gold prices rose 0.6% overall last week, despite earlier market bets that some tariff threats would be withdrawn. However, the latest developments have reignited safe-haven sentiment.“Trump has continued to issue tariff ultimatums to multiple countries last week and this week, with the latest targets including Mexico, the EU,
GOLD: Surged Again Due to Stronger Safe-haven Demand

COMEX Copper Futures Surge: Will the Rally Continue?

Last night, COMEX copper prices experienced an extraordinary surge, with intraday gains exceeding 10% and a peak increase of 17%, setting a historic record. This dramatic movement caused a stir in the market, prompting widespread discussion about the reasons behind the spike in copper futures prices and the potential duration of this rally.Core Drivers Behind the Surge1. Sudden Stimulus from U.S. Tariff PolicyU.S. President Trump unexpectedly announced last night that he is considering imposing an additional 50% tariff on imported copper. This announcement far exceeded prior market expectations and triggered an intense market reaction.Market participants fear that, if implemented, the tariffs will create a structural shortage in U.S. copper supply. This concern led traders and downstream c
COMEX Copper Futures Surge: Will the Rally Continue?

Is a US Dollar Rebound Imminent? How Long Will We Have to Wait?

The US dollar index has shown signs of long-term support, but a decisive break below this level could open up much greater downside potential. After Donald Trump assumed office and initiated a trade war, the logic behind the dollar’s movement shifted, which has already been discussed previously. As a result, the dollar has experienced a sustained decline over the past several months. From the perspective of current fundamentals and monetary policy comparisons, this downward trend appears to be ahead of itself and reflects expectations of future risks. Whether the dollar will continue to fall further depends not only on subsequent developments and news but also on whether the current key long-term support can hold.The chart below shows the monthly trend channel of the dollar since the 2007/
Is a US Dollar Rebound Imminent? How Long Will We Have to Wait?

Musk’s “American Party”: Empty Rhetoric or Opportunity for U.S. Stocks?

During the U.S. Independence Day weekend, while Trump was busy passing his signature "Great American" bill, his former "ally" Elon Musk announced the establishment of a new party to oppose the bill, creating a dramatic situation. In the U.S. system, as long as certain conditions are met, forming a new party is not very difficult. Although the Democratic and Republican parties are the most commonly heard of, there is no law stating that the U.S. can only have these two parties.In reality, the U.S. operates a multi-party system, with over 100 legally registered parties including the Libertarian Party, Green Party, Independent Party, Communist Party, Constitution Party, and Pirate Party. However, the Democratic and Republican parties are overwhelmingly dominant. Since 1853, the U.S. has been
Musk’s “American Party”: Empty Rhetoric or Opportunity for U.S. Stocks?

GOLD:It Will Continue to Maintain its Status as a Safe-haven Asset

$Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: D1 Chart, Gold prices are currently consolidating above the 20-day moving average (3,300 USD), with the overall trend still leaning towards an uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above 60 and has not entered the overbought zone, indicating that prices have further room to rise.If the gold price holds above the 3,300 support level, it may test the 3,355 resistance level; a break above this level would strengthen the medium-term upward momentum. The key support level is near the 50-day moving average, around the 3,260 USD area.Although the gold market has experienced a technical correction in the short term
GOLD:It Will Continue to Maintain its Status as a Safe-haven Asset

GOLD: Will Gold Maintain Upward Momentum?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Due to the impact of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, trading in precious metals, crude oil, foreign exchange, and stock indices will conclude early, ending at 13:00 Eastern Time on the 5th! The gold market saw limited volatility, as I already mentioned during the Asian market session! The buy orders near the 3,330 level mentioned in the European market have now entered a small profit-taking phase! For safety reasons, you may choose to close your positions to lock in profits Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend! To better understand the market, it is essential to closely monitor weekend market news!ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading lim
GOLD: Will Gold Maintain Upward Momentum?

2025 US Stock Market Review: Hidden Risks Behind Record Highs

In the first half of 2025, the US stock market displayed dramatic swings, initially declining and then sharply rebounding to complete a 'Deep V' reversal. By the close on June 30, the S&P 500 Index had risen more than 28% from its intraday low on April 7, while the Nasdaq climbed over 37% from its low, both reaching record highs.Looking back at this year's performance, the market rallied early on, fueled by the AI boom and optimistic economic expectations. However, the so-called 'DeepSeek shock' and the impact of Trump’s tariff policies triggered a sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 nearly touching bear market territory in early April. Subsequently, a softening in Trump’s tariff stance helped the market stabilize and sparked a robust rebound.Looking ahead, the US stock market still f
2025 US Stock Market Review: Hidden Risks Behind Record Highs

After New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Slow Bull Ahead or Bull Trap Looming?

After the U.S. stock market reaches new highs, should we expect a slow bull market to continue or fall into a bull trap?In an environment where "no news is good news," the U.S. stock index has once again hit new highs. Although this outcome was not entirely ruled out previously, the bulls’ progress amid various looming risks has slightly exceeded expectations. Historically, after reaching new highs, the market tends to revert to a slow bull phase. However, could Trump’s unpredictable behavior disrupt this conventional pattern? Actually, closely monitoring a common indicator allows for timely strategic adjustments.The ATR (Average True Range) volatility indicator is commonly used to measure market intensity. In the stock market, it exhibits a clear trend: rising volatility usually signals f
After New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Slow Bull Ahead or Bull Trap Looming?

GOLD: Upward Channel Has Opened!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ As the US dollar index continues to pull back! There is no sign of rebound, causing gold to break through the important resistance of 3352! This wave of rise will reach 3380! It will break through $3400 this week! (The US dollar index and gold move in opposite directions) Image2.Gold reached a high of around 3342.5 and is currently in a phase of volatile growth! However, it is important to note that there is strong resistance in the 3345-50 range! Today's gold purchases also yielded significant profits! With a maximum profit of over 230 points, it is recommended to close profits around 3345! Protect your profits!
GOLD: Upward Channel Has Opened!

After the Israel-Iran Cease-Fire, Will Oil Prices Keep Falling? Not So Fast

Last week, after the United States bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities and Iran retaliated by striking U.S. military bases, the situation flipped abruptly: Israel and Iran reached a cease-fire, and oil prices collapsed. The ensuing surge and slump in crude, each sparked by fresh headlines, show that the earlier war-risk premium has evaporated and prices have returned to their pre-conflict levels. Because the dominant factor around that price zone was OPEC+ supply growth, oil is likely to remain range-bound unless the group announces a materially larger output hike.Steady U.S. Equity IndicesWhen regional tensions rise, the market’s focus drifts away from U.S. tariff issues, allowing American stock indices to keep grinding higher.The end of July is the deadline for trade talks, and it is unclea
After the Israel-Iran Cease-Fire, Will Oil Prices Keep Falling? Not So Fast

GOLD: The Short-term Adjustment

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Gold hit a low of around 3255, and I predict it will reach 3250! The decline is inevitable, and the sell orders of gold continue to make a big profit. I have already prompted my partners to enter the sell order transaction in the Asian market... Obviously, the sell orders have made a biThg profit! Remember that the short-term decline and adjustment of gold has not ended yet, and it will definitely fall below 3200 next week. This post is a proof! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Fi
GOLD: The Short-term Adjustment
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