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avatarFutures_Pro
06-20 08:20

Middle East Tensions Fuel Oil Price Surge, but Caution Is Advised for Chasing Highs

Recently, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has intensified rapidly, with renewed conflict between Israel and Iran sparking concerns over potential disruptions to Middle Eastern crude oil supply. As a result, international oil prices have experienced sharp volatility and significant gains. For example, on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the price of the August WTI crude oil contract surged to as high as $75.50 per barrel, currently hovering around $73. A market that was previously characterized by oversupply has now witnessed a short-term boost due to fears of supply constraints.However, whether the oil market can sustain its rebound—and how high this recovery might reach—ultimately depends on the progression of the Israeli-Iranian conflict. If hostilities further esc
Middle East Tensions Fuel Oil Price Surge, but Caution Is Advised for Chasing Highs

GOLD: The Sell Signal Took Effect

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, and remained unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting, which is in line with market expectations! I emphasized yesterday that the interest rate will not change! After the data was released, gold rose first and then fell, reaching a low of 3362.5! The sell signal took effect! Technical aspect: At present, gold has come out of the box shock, and it is expected to continue to fall in the Asian market today! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privile
GOLD: The Sell Signal Took Effect
avatar程俊Dream
06-18 07:34

Will the Iran-Israel Conflict Spur Further Oil Price Gains?

While the market eagerly anticipates developments in US-China negotiations and tariff issues, Israel has once again stirred the scene. Sensitive geopolitical factors have made oil prices last week’s biggest winner, as prices quickly rebounded above $65 and began to climb toward $80, approaching the median price range that prevailed during the Biden administration. How the Israel-Iran situation unfolds will introduce significant uncertainty for oil prices and other markets, which have so far remained relatively calm.According to JPMorgan, in the worst-case scenario where the Strait of Hormuz is closed, oil prices could surge to $120 per barrel, though this remains relatively unlikely at present. The bank also believes the fair value for US crude is in the $60–$65 range, as persistently high
Will the Iran-Israel Conflict Spur Further Oil Price Gains?

Outbreak of the Israel-Iran Conflict: Crude Oil Price Surge May Exceed Expectations

During last week's livestream, I highlighted the significant opportunities present in the crude oil market. The very next morning, news broke that Israel had launched a fierce attack on Iran. This led to the largest single-day price swing in crude oil since the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with intraday prices soaring by more than 12% and triggering substantial volatility in the oil market.Those who have followed my livestreams and articles know that I have previously predicted a major price low for crude oil this year. From that low, I forecasted a potential doubling in oil prices. Up until now, the exact catalyst for such a rally had not been clear, but the eruption of the Israel-Iran conflict has now given new momentum to oil price increases. For more details, you can revisit last week’s li
Outbreak of the Israel-Iran Conflict: Crude Oil Price Surge May Exceed Expectations

Silver’s Sudden Surge: How High Could Prices Go in the Future?

In June 2025, the COMEX silver futures market saw an unprecedented surge, with spot silver prices successfully breaking above $36 per ounce—a 13-year high. As of the close on June 10, the July contract settled at $36.64 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of 22.54%.Technical Breakthrough and Historical SignificanceSilver prices have decisively breached the psychologically significant $35 per ounce resistance level, signaling a major technical breakthrough after years of consolidation. However, historical data indicate that silver is still trading far below its inflation-adjusted peak; the $50 record reached in 1980 would equate to roughly $180 today. From a technical standpoint, silver’s current move has effectively overcome a key resistance zone, setting the stage for further gains
Silver’s Sudden Surge: How High Could Prices Go in the Future?

GOLD: The Price Began to Skyrocket!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Breaking! Israel Officially Strikes Iran, Gold, Crude Oil Instantly Skyrocket! Gold breaks through $3,410 / ounce, hitting a neThe w high since 8 May. Today is destined to be an ordinary day! Gold is expected to rise unilaterally! Close your eyes and keep buying trades! New highs will be made! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.<
GOLD: The Price Began to Skyrocket!

Internal Turmoil vs. External Optimism: When Will U.S. Stocks Choose a Direction?

Since Donald Trump took office, the markets and news cycles over weekends have become increasingly active. As a result, many traders who traditionally operated on a “five-days-on, two-days-off” basis are now paying attention to the markets around the clock. This past weekend was no exception, with two hot topics emerging: the civil unrest in Los Angeles and the first meeting of the U.S.-China economic and trade consultation mechanism. These represent a clash of potential bearish and bullish factors. After several weeks of consolidation, many assets may finally see a clear direction this week, helped by these breaking developments.Judging from Monday’s opening, the market is currently taking a relatively calm approach toward these two news events, as there has been no significant gap in pri
Internal Turmoil vs. External Optimism: When Will U.S. Stocks Choose a Direction?

RMB Enters an Appreciation Cycle: Opportunities in Hong Kong and A-Share Markets

On June 5, Xinhua News Agency reported that, at China’s invitation, the Chinese head of state held a phone conversation with the U.S. President, delivering a major signal toward normalizing Sino-U.S. trade negotiations. Easing and stabilizing China-U.S. trade relations would serve as a vital booster for the global economy: when China and the United States cooperate, both benefit; when they drift apart, both suffer. Although the details remain to be finalized, the mere fact of this high-level call—and the prospect of an in-person meeting—suggests that the broad contours of a trade agreement are largely settled. Barring any unexpected policy moves from President Trump before the end of July, market expectations should remain relatively stable and the impact of tariffs on further market devel
RMB Enters an Appreciation Cycle: Opportunities in Hong Kong and A-Share Markets

GOLD: Gold Trend Becomes Weaker

1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ It's the start of a new week, so good luck with trading! Gold opened briefly higher today. Continued to fall back down, fell below 3300! In line with my prediction on Saturday! At the same time, the sell order signal successfully hit TP, the highest profit of 170 points, pay attention to my friends should see! Congratulations to friends who entered the sell order trade! Gold trend becomes weaker, is expected to continue to maintain the downward trend, the Asian and European markets need to focus on 3271 key position! Trading continue to maintain sell-single trading mainly! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 com
GOLD: Gold Trend Becomes Weaker

Entering a Turbulent Market Cycle? Key Issues to Watch Before Stability Returns

In recent weeks, the market has been caught in a delicate state of turbulence, with many assets that are typically correlated diverging from their usual patterns. It is difficult to determine whether this is merely a temporary anomaly ahead of an eventual convergence in market trends, or if some assets are beginning to establish independent trajectories. However, when considering the element of time, it is unlikely that such abnormal relationships will persist for much longer.Indications from the Foreign Exchange MarketThe weakness of the US dollar index reflects the tariff battles initiated by the United States and the rising concerns over a potential economic recession. As a result, most non-US currencies have appreciated, with the Japanese yen standing out more prominently due to its sa
Entering a Turbulent Market Cycle? Key Issues to Watch Before Stability Returns

GOLD: The Uncertain Policy Provided Strong Impetus for Gold's Rise

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Thursday (June 5) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow range shock, currently trading at 3373.95 U.S. dollars / ounce near. Gold prices on Wednesday (June 4) rose 0.56% to close at $ 3372.18 per ounce, once climbed 1% to $ 3384.52 during the session. The unstable global economic environment, especially the unexpected contraction of the U.S. service sector, low employment data and the impact of the Trump administration's new tariff policy, provided strong impetus for gold's rise. 2.After a wave of rise, gold failed to continue to hit 3400! But I firmly believe that it will break through 3400 US dollars/ounce before the release of NFP data on Frid
GOLD: The Uncertain Policy Provided Strong Impetus for Gold's Rise

The Start-of-Month Effect: Watch for Short-Term Trading Opportunities

Investment behaviors in the US market differ to some extent from those in China, mainly because of:In the US market, information disclosure tends to happen at fixed and predictable times. Although the timing norms have been somewhat disrupted by social media since Trump took office, especially with his frequent use of such platforms, major economic data are still released according to a regular schedule. These calendar-based trading opportunities are thus relatively easy to spot and capture in overseas investments.Next week is the first week of June. It is notable for the release of both the regular and ADP non-farm payroll reports, as well as the announcement of OPEC’s oil production plans (which will be released over the weekend and reflected in prices the following week). Typically, the
The Start-of-Month Effect: Watch for Short-Term Trading Opportunities

GOLD: Wait for the Break Point!

1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold continues to fluctuate widely, the market fluctuates greatly, the price rises and falls as much as it falls during the day, all of which are influenced by fundamentals, and there is no technical aspect at all. The first resistance above is 3316, and the second resistance is 3325! If it successfully breaks through 3316, gold will continue to rise! However, the US market is likely to fluctuate downward! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:
GOLD: Wait for the Break Point!

Oil’s Short-Term Rally Can’t Mask Medium-Term Risks: Where Are the Market’s Investment Opportunities

1. Recent Review of Oil Price TrendsAt the beginning of April, the international crude oil market suffered a significant drop, with Brent crude and WTI crude both falling below key support levels of $68 and $64 respectively. This decline was primarily triggered by the dual pressures of a tariff shock initiated by the United States and an unexpectedly large production increase by OPEC+. Over the following month and a half, oil prices oscillated within a range of roughly $10, with WTI fluctuating between $55 and $65, while Brent traded between $58 and $68. In the absence of any major systematic risk events, prices are likely to continue fluctuating within this range; however, in the medium term, there remains a genuine risk of a further breakdown.图表信息:WTI原油日K线The daily candlestick chart for
Oil’s Short-Term Rally Can’t Mask Medium-Term Risks: Where Are the Market’s Investment Opportunities

Trump’s Shifting Political Expectations: Will the U.S. Dollar Continue to Decline?

Last week, Trump confidently recommended imposing a 50% tariff on the European Union starting June 1, stirring up considerable media and market speculation. Yet by the weekend, he had already backtracked, announcing an extension of the deadline for these tariffs to July 9. What some call “the art of negotiation” has become, in Trump’s hands, a constant display of unpredictability. Whether this is true art is debatable, but what’s clear is that with Trump, a simple remark can easily trigger a major market turning point.On a broad scale, tariffs are just being postponed, not resolved. This helps explain why the U.S. dollar performed poorly after today’s news and why long-term Treasury yields remain under upward pressure. In my view, these two metrics are key indicators for assessing potentia
Trump’s Shifting Political Expectations: Will the U.S. Dollar Continue to Decline?

GOLD: Continue to Enter Buying at 3303-05

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Good morning, yesterday's signals from the New York market hit a high of 3315 for a maximum profit of 250 pips! Gold is expected to continue to maintain its swing higher in the Asian markets today! Continue to enter buying at 3303-05, TP:3330ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commiss
GOLD: Continue to Enter Buying at 3303-05

GOLD: Buy Traders Still the Main Forces!

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices retreated on Monday as traders appeared to be taking profits amid thin liquidity and low volatility during the U.S. holiday period. Not enough, Trump's inconsistency on trade policy could lead to sharp price swings when trading resumes on Tuesday.The bullish trend for gold remains intact. Gold could test last week's high of $3,365. If it breaks above that level, the next target for gold would be $3,400, followed by the May 7 high of $3,438 and the all-time high of $3,500.On the bearish side, if gold falls below $3,300, it is expected to fall to the May 20 low of $3,204, followed by the 50-day simple moving average (SMA)
GOLD: Buy Traders Still the Main Forces!

Trump Turns Up Tariff Pressure on Europe: What’s Next for U.S. Stocks?

Last Friday, Trump escalated pressure on the European Union by proposing an additional 50% tariff on EU goods. Although the EU responded by expressing its willingness to negotiate, it also signaled that as the 90-day tariff truce draws to a close, such failed negotiations might become increasingly common. This suggests that the market is likely to remain highly volatile for now.1. Impact of Increased Tariffs on the S&P 500During the tariff truce, as long as the EU doesn’t respond too aggressively, the overall impact on U.S. stock indices should be limited. Ultimately, it all comes down to the outcome of ongoing negotiations. Trump clearly felt the EU’s response since the truce was too slow, so he is using the “maximum pressure” tactic to push for a speedy agreement. Typically, such new
Trump Turns Up Tariff Pressure on Europe: What’s Next for U.S. Stocks?

The Upcoming Week's Important Events and Data Preview

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Monday's Trend Asian Market Trend: Gold extended its gains and is on track to test the 3400 handle in the near term. Gold's bullish momentum remains strong, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI); the technical indicator has plenty of upside before turning overbought.On the upside, the first resistance level for gold is $3,400, followed by the swing high of $3,438 on 7 May and $3,450. A break above these levels would take gold prices to an all-time high of $3,500.On the bearish side,, if gold falls below $3,300, it is expected to fall to the May 20 low of $3,204, followed by the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3,199. (but the odds are slim)! Monday's open will see gold rise sharply! A test of 3385
The Upcoming Week's Important Events and Data Preview
avatarDSYS83
05-22
good read. thank you for your input.

U.S. Stock Market at a Critical Juncture: How Should Retail Investors Respond?

The market is currently at a turning point, and a reversal in U.S. equities may be imminent.Last weekend, the unexpected downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Moody’s put significant pressure on the markets. However, looking at the crypto markets—which remained open over the weekend—there was only limited panic. Clear divisions between bulls and bears persist, with pronounced roller-coaster swings during trading. The gradual return of volatility is generally negative for risk assets, but whether this marks the end of the current rebound remains uncertain; another catalyst may be required to drive the next significant move.In fact, changes in market dynamics have already appeared in the gold market. In the latter part of last week, gold twice tested support near 3,100 before stabilizing, s
U.S. Stock Market at a Critical Juncture: How Should Retail Investors Respond?
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